
The Andean quipu, consisting of knotted ropes of animal wool, are challenging to interpret. Can AI help with that and lost languages? CC-licensed photo by Steven Damron on Flickr.
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Sorry, no post today at the Social Warming Substack. Maybe next week?
A selection of 9 links for you. Took the knots out for you. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.
OpenAI slams court order to save all ChatGPT logs, including deleted chats • Ars Technica
Ashley Belanger:
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OpenAI is now fighting a court order to preserve all ChatGPT user logs—including deleted chats and sensitive chats logged through its API business offering—after news organizations suing over copyright claims accused the AI company of destroying evidence.
“Before OpenAI had an opportunity to respond to those unfounded accusations, the court ordered OpenAI to ‘preserve and segregate all output log data that would otherwise be deleted on a going forward basis until further order of the Court (in essence, the output log data that OpenAI has been destroying),” OpenAI explained in a court filing demanding oral arguments in a bid to block the controversial order.
In the filing, OpenAI alleged that the court rushed the order based only on a hunch raised by The New York Times and other news plaintiffs. And now, without “any just cause,” OpenAI argued, the order “continues to prevent OpenAI from respecting its users’ privacy decisions.” That risk extended to users of ChatGPT Free, Plus, and Pro, as well as users of OpenAI’s application programming interface (API), OpenAI said.
The court order came after news organizations expressed concern that people using ChatGPT to skirt paywalls “might be more likely to ‘delete all [their] searches’ to cover their tracks,” OpenAI explained. Evidence to support that claim, news plaintiffs argued, was missing from the record because so far, OpenAI had only shared samples of chat logs that users had agreed that the company could retain. Sharing the news plaintiffs’ concerns, the judge, Ona Wang, ultimately agreed that OpenAI likely would never stop deleting that alleged evidence absent a court order, granting news plaintiffs’ request to preserve all chats.
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You thought it was bad having your Google search history available to the courts? Turns out there is worse.
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LLMs helped perpetuate a path traversal bug from 2010 • The Register
Thomas Claburn:
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A security bug that surfaced fifteen years ago in a public post on GitHub has survived developers’ attempts on its life.
Despite multiple developer warnings about the 2010 GitHub Gist containing the path traversal vulnerability in 2012, 2014, and 2018, the flaw appeared in MDN Web Docs documentation and a Stack Overflow snippet.
From there, it took up residence in large language models (LLMs) trained on the flawed examples.
But its days may be numbered.
“The vulnerable code snippet was found first in 2010 in a GitHub Gist, and it spread to Stack Overflow, famous companies, tutorials, and even university courses,” Jafar Akhoundali, a PhD candidate from Leiden University in The Netherlands, told The Register in an email.
“Most people failed to point out it’s vulnerable, and although the vulnerability is simple, some small details prevented most users from seeing the vulnerability. It even contaminated LLMs and made them produce mostly insecure code when asked to write code for this task.”
Akhoundali, who contributed to a 2019 research paper about the risks of copying and pasting from Stack Overflow examples, aims to exterminate the bug with an automated vulnerability repair system.
…the authors created two scenarios involving Claude, Copilot, Copilot-creative, Copilot-precise, GPT-3.5, GPT-4, GPT-4o, and Gemini. First, they prompted each LLM to create a static file server without third-party libraries and then asked it to make the code secure. Second, they asked each LLM to create a secure static file server without third-party libraries. These requests were repeated 10 times for each model.
In the first scenario, 76 out of 80 requests reproduced the vulnerable code, dropping down to 42 out of 80 when the model was asked to make the code secure. In the second scenario that asked for secure code at the outset, 56 out of 80 requests returned vulnerable samples.
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So there’s a problem: LLMs swallow up code with vulnerabilities and regurgitate it, and even insist it’s secure. And then how do you train the mistake out of them?
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23andMe’s former CEO pushes purchase price nearly $50m higher • WSJ
Alicia McElhaney:
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23andMe has a path to a higher purchase price than the $256m offered by biotech giant Regeneron after the genetic-testing company’s former chief executive pushed a bankruptcy court to reopen its sale process.
23andMe was set to sell itself in bankruptcy to Regeneron before former CEO Anne Wojcicki bid $305m after the auction ended through her recently founded nonprofit TTAM Research Institute. Wojcicki’s bid dwarfs her previous offer to acquire the company for $40m just ahead of its March bankruptcy filing.
On Wednesday, 23andMe asked Judge Brian C. Walsh of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Missouri to reopen the company’s sale process so it could consider TTAM’s bid. At the hearing, 23andMe’s attorney inadvertently revealed the amount that TTAM offered to pay for the company.
This prompted an on-the-spot negotiation between TTAM, Regeneron and 23andMe that allowed the three to hash out a plan to conduct a second sale process. TTAM’s $305m will serve as a starting point, and if Regeneron wants to participate, it must bid $10m more.
Each bidder will then have the opportunity to submit a final offer, with Regeneron having the last look. The losing bidder will receive a $10m breakup fee.
Pending court approval of the specific dates, the sale will take place later this month.
“From the perspective of an equity holder, it seems like a positive development,” Walsh said Wednesday. Because 23andMe has a relatively small amount of debt on its balance sheet, its equity holders could walk away with a recovery, a relative rarity after bankruptcy. Its stock has rallied to a market capitalization of over $100m.
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Wojcicki owns 49% of the voting stock, and has been holding out for lower prices, and now is offering higher prices. It’s a weird process.
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Everest’s xenon-gas controversy – and others – will last forever • The Atlantic
Alex Hutchinson looks at controversies over the settings of records, whether in running or mountaineering:
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Sports are, in at least some respects, a zero-sum game: when one person wins a race or sets a record, it unavoidably means that someone else doesn’t. Even at the recreational level, if everyone decides to run marathons in carbon-plated shoes that make them five minutes faster, the standards needed to qualify for the Boston Marathon get five minutes faster.
“Once an effective technology gets adopted in a sport, it becomes tyrannical,” [bioethicist Thomas] Murray told me several years ago, when I was writing about athletes experimenting with electric brain stimulation. “You have to use it.” In the ’50s, a version of that rationale seemed to help the British expedition that included [Edmund] Hillary and [Tenzing] Norgay overcome the long-standing objections of British climbers to using oxygen—the French had an Everest expedition planned for 1954 and the Swiss for 1955, and both were expected to use oxygen.
Less clear, though, is why this rationale should apply to the modern world of recreational mountaineering in which [xenon-fuelled Everest trip organiser Lukas] Furtenbach operates. What does anyone—other than perhaps the climbers themselves, if you think journeys trump destinations—lose when people huff xenon in order to check Everest off their list with maximal efficiency? Maybe they’re making the mountain more crowded, but you could also argue that they’re making it less crowded by getting up and down more quickly. And it’s hard to imagine that Furtenbach’s critics are truly lying awake at night worrying about the long-term health of his clients.
Something else is going on here, and I’d venture that it has to do with human psychology. A Dutch economist named Adriaan Kalwij has a theory that much of modern life is shaped by people’s somewhat pathological tendency to view everything as a competition. “Both by nature and through institutional design, competitions are an integral part of human lives,” Kalwij writes, “from college entrance exams and scholarship applications to jobs, promotions, contracts, and awards.” The same ethos seems to color the way we see dating, leisure travel, hobbies, and so on: there’s no escape from the zero-sum dichotomy of winners and losers.
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Britain prepares to go all-in on nuclear power after years of dither • POLITICO
Nicholas Earl:
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Philip Hunt, the unassuming Labour peer put in charge of rejuvenating U.K. nuclear energy, has a favorite joke about how slowly the industry moves.
Hunt — who was first an energy minister from 2008-2010 and retired from his second stint in government just last month — liked to roll out the gag at Westminster receptions, according to one industry figure who saw him in action.
“I came back after 14 years,” the minister would say, “and everything was exactly as I left it.”It was a way to bash the Conservatives’ decade-and-a-half in power, but also an admission of the glacial pace of the nuclear world.
That is about to change. Ministers are prepping a series of high-profile nuclear announcements in the lead-up to the government-wide spending review on June 11.
The government is expected to unveil, after months of delay, the winner of a multi-billion pound contract to build next-generation small modular reactors (SMRs), known as “mini nukes.” A long-awaited financial decision on the mega nuclear plant Sizewell C in Suffolk is on its way. Meanwhile, U.K. officials are discussing buying up nuclear sites from private ownership to bring the industry under greater state control.
It would trigger more activity on nuclear over a handful of weeks than there has been in a generation.
This flurry of action is coming, insiders say, not because of astute maneuvering by Hunt or his political bosses but because the Treasury — long skeptical about nuclear — has run out of road for ignoring the problem.
The looming spending review, the last chance in this parliament to commit cash to the U.K.’s neglected nuclear energy system, “has forced the government’s hand,” said a second energy figure, granted anonymity, like others in this piece, to speak candidly about government planning.
Bringing more low-carbon nuclear power online is crucial to two of Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s “missions” in government — galvanizing sluggish economic growth and ending the U.K.’s reliance on high-polluting fossil fuels.
Backing more nuclear power in a speech in February, Starmer said he was taking on “the blockers who have strangled our chances of cheaper energy, growth and jobs for far too long.”«
All I can say is: about bloody time. Michael Meacher, as Labour environment secretary in Blair’s government, blocked nuclear for years and years. And planning has done the job for the rest of the time. Finally, perhaps we can get something done.
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The codes AI can’t crack • Long Now
Taras Grescoe:
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a dozen or so ancient scripts — the writing systems used to transcribe spoken language — remain undeciphered. These include such mysteries as the one-of-a-kind Phaistos Disk, a spiral of 45 symbols found on a single sixteen-inch clay disk in a Minoan palace on Crete, and Proto-Elamite, a script used 5,000 years ago in what is now Iran, which may have consisted of a thousand distinct symbols.
Some, like Cypro-Minoan — which transcribes a language spoken in the Late Bronze Age on Cyprus — are tantalizingly similar to early European scripts that have already been fully deciphered. Others, like the quipu of the Andes — intricately knotted ropes made of the wool of llamas, vicuñas, and alpacas — stretch our definitions of how speech can be transformed into writing.
In some cases, there is big money to be won: a reward of one million dollars is on offer for the decipherer of the Harappan script of the Indus Valley civilization of South Asia, as well as a $15,000-per-character prize for the successful decoder of the Oracle Bone script, the precursor to Chinese.
Cracking these ancient codes may seem like the kind of challenge AI is ideally suited to solve…
…[But] The AI models that have filled in lost verses of Gilgamesh are trained on cuneiform, whose corpus is even larger: hundreds of thousands of cuneiform tablets can be found in the storerooms of the world’s museums, many of them still untranslated. The problem with mystery scripts like Linear A, Cypro-Minoan, Rongorongo, and Harappan is that the total number of known inscriptions can be counted in the thousands, and sometimes in the hundreds. Not only that, in most cases we have no idea what spoken language they’re meant to encode.
“Decipherment is kind of like a matching problem,” explains [former DeepMind staffer Yannis] Assael. “It’s different from predicting. You’re trying to match a limited number of characters to sounds from an older, unknown language. It’s not a problem that’s well suited to these deep neural network architectures that require substantial amounts of data.”
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Are wind power generators actually viable at home? My buying advice after months of testing • ZDNET
Adrian Kingsley-Hughes:
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I’ve found the Shine Turbine to be quite effective, but there are limitations. First, the 40-watt output is a low amount of power if you’re used to having 100- or 200-watt solar panels at your disposal. The Shine is ideal for smartphones, tablets, drones, and cameras, but laptops and other bigger devices are off the cards.
Setup is also rather time-consuming. I’m used to being able to throw solar panels out for my power stations in seconds. The best I got the setup time for the Shine Turbine was about ten minutes. Also, taking the turbine down involves carefully packing the guy lines away so as not to make the next setup a painful one.
But despite the downsides, the Shine Turbine is a great way to harvest power from Mother Nature when you are away from an AC outlet.
If you need power and can’t rely on the sun, the Shine Turbine really shines. Yes, it’s weighty [1.3kg], yes, setup takes some time, and yes, its power output is rather limited, but I’ve used a single turbine to keep my iPhone and a drone powered on a multi-day trip where a power station and solar panels weren’t an option.
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So it’s not really for use “at home”, more on trips with bad weather. Certainly not going to set the world on fire with that sort of output.
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Ukraine’s attack exposed America’s Achilles’ heel • The New York Times
WJ Hennigan:
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The U.S. military understands Russia’s vulnerability firsthand. Although American pilots have managed to control the skies where they operate since the Korean War, U.S. troops in recent years have come under greater danger from drones. Militant groups have used the aircraft, which are a small fraction of the size of U.S. warplanes, to target American positions in the Middle East, dropping crude munitions that have maimed and killed American service members.
The U.S. military has globe-spanning technology to detect, track and shoot down ballistic missiles, but — so far — its multimillion-dollar systems remain helpless against the drone threat. The Pentagon has tried to develop technologies and defensive tactics, but results have been spotty at best. So-called hard-kill tactics to blast the drones out of the sky, or soft-kill methods to electronically disable them, haven’t proved to be silver bullets. The unmanned aircraft typically fly low to the ground and don’t always transmit their positions. Current radar systems are engineered to spot larger flying objects.
American commanders increasingly realize that forces stateside are just as exposed. Gen. Gregory M. Guillot, the head of Northern Command, told Congress in February that there were some 350 detections of drone overflights above 100 military installations in the United States last year. Those small drones appeared to be more of a nuisance than a threat, but Spider’s Web exposed the risk of not taking them seriously.
The Federal Aviation Administration has licensed more than a million drones in the United States. Most fly by the rules, but sightings of drones making illegal flights are on the rise. The F.A.A. reports there are now 100 drone sightings around airports each month, despite federal law that requires them to avoid flying near airports in controlled airspace without authorization.
Military bases and aircraft hangars should be hardened to guard against the worst. Congress is poised to set aside about $1.3bn this fiscal year for the Pentagon to develop and deploy counter-drone technologies. This is a good start. But the Pentagon’s most ambitious and expensive plans fail to address the threat.
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One neat comment I saw about the Spider’s Web attack: Ukraine basically used buildings (prefabricated spaces inside trucks) to attack planes – so it was a reverse 9/11.
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The People’s Republic of iPhone • New Statesman
Will Dunn:
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On Friday 23 May, Donald Trump threatened to impose a 25% tariff on what is arguably the world’s most successful consumer product, the iPhone. This would be a historic tax hike on American consumers, because Apple currently sells around 70 million iPhones in the US for about $1,000 each; the US government would ask for $17.5bn in additional taxes on a single product line from a single company. But what Trump wants is actually more extreme: he believes that in order to escape his punitive tariff, Apple might bring production of the iPhone back to America.
There are two reasons that this is wishful thinking. The first is that the iPhone is the apex product of globalisation. It would be impossible to make something as complex as a smartphone with the resources of a single country. Apple’s supplier list runs to 27 pages of companies, many of which are themselves multinationals with long lists of their own subsidiaries. It is not the product of one country – more like 50. It will never be the case that the iPhone can be described as a purely American product. As Patrick McGee explains in Apple in China, in light of the company’s long history of contract manufacturing, the vast sums it has invested in China, the knowledge and skills it has imparted to Chinese workers and the Chinese factories it has developed, it makes more sense to describe it as Chinese.
Trump’s discomfort with Americans using Chinese phones is not without foundation. What Apple has achieved in China is a spectacular example of industrial strategy. Apple’s investment in China for a single year, 2015, was $55bn – greater than the combined research and development spending of every business in the UK. Around the same time, Apple’s engineers were working in 1,600 Chinese factories. “We were unwittingly tooling them up,” a former Apple executive told McGee, “with… incredible know-how and experience.”
It is unclear how other countries can loosen China’s grip on technological manufacturing; an American iPhone would cost more than three times the price of current models, according to one analyst. But this is a power that China has been helped to acquire by the Western capitalists who rushed to exploit its people for cheap labour, and who never stopped to consider the long-term implications.
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But the short-term implications were simple: you’d go out of business. Apple originally manufactured its computers in American factories. It was dramatically uneconomic; when Tim Cook arrived in March 1998 one of the big reasons it was near bankruptcy was its inventory and factory costs.
Over-reliance on China is a problem, but the US’s GDP has kept going up even while it hasn’t been making as much stuff.
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| • Why do social networks drive us a little mad? • Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see? • How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online? • What can we do about it? • Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016? Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more. |
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