Start Up No.2700: huge datacentre project cancelled, the book club scam explained, AI superforecasters are here, and more


Rocketing DRAM prices could mean that budget smartphones effectively disappear as a category next year. CC-licensed photo by Didit Putra on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.

A selection of 9 links for you. One in the hand. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


World’s largest data centre campus project, Virginia Digital Gateway, dies over a newspaper-notice technicality • Tom’s Hardware

Etiido Uko:

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Data center developer QTS has officially terminated plans to build a portion of the planned 2,100-acre “Digital Gateway” data centre campus in Virginia, following years of legal battles with local residents and historic preservation groups. According to a Bloomberg report, the Blackstone-owned company formally submitted a written filing to the Virginia Supreme Court on July 2, explicitly stating it was withdrawing its last remaining appeal “after careful consideration”.

QTS’s withdrawal marked the official end of the project, as other stakeholders had earlier pulled out due to prolonged litigation. In a major win for opponents of the data centre, the proposed land — situated at the edge of the Manassas National Battlefield Park, a historic Civil War battlefield — will now remain under its original rural zoning restrictions.

Digital Gateway was a planned massive 22-million-square-foot, gigawatt-scale data centre complex in Prince William County, Virginia, that would have been the world’s largest. QTS was responsible for 800+ of the 2,100 acres, while a second developer, Compass Datacenters, controlled roughly 800-1,000 acres. The rest of the designated 2,100-acre “Digital Gateway” zone consisted of local roadways, environmental buffer zones, and parcels belonging to individual homeowners who had agreed to sell.

Initially approved by the Prince William Board of County Supervisors to capitalize on the soaring demand for AI and cloud computing, the project immediately faced fierce opposition from residents, despite the promise of tens of billions of dollars in capital investment and substantial local tax revenue.

…Several lawsuits followed, with the one that appears to have eventually collapsed the massive project hinging on an ironically small detail. The landmark mega project — roughly double New York’s Central Park’s size with city-sized power needs — collapsed in a domino effect after Virginia courts voided the county’s initial rezoning approval due to improper public notices. The newspaper notices publicizing the hearing at which the project was approved weren’t separated by at least six days, as mandated by state and local codes at that time, thereby invalidating the hearing and the resulting approval.

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First domino?
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Return of the Nigerian Prince redux: beware book club and book review scams • Writer Beware

Victoria Strauss:

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A characteristic of the Philippine and Pakistani scams I’ve written so much about on this blog is that they focus almost exclusively on writers who’ve self-published or who are seeking self-publication. Writers like me, who’ve only ever published traditionally, are hardly ever targeted.

The Nigerian scams are different: they target anyone with a published book. As a result, I’ve suddenly started to receive the kinds of scam solicitations that have been driving self-pubbed writers nuts for years. So this saga of yet another Nigerian PR scam is brought to you not by an author whose name and book title have been carefully redacted, but by…moi.

This scam sends out elaborate email solicitations pitching book reviews from private communities of (supposedly) thousands of passionate book lovers. Of course it’s not free: reviewers get a “tip” of anywhere from $20 to $30. That may not sound like a lot, but you have to commit to a minimum buy of between 30 and 50 reviewers. So not such a small investment after all.

Here’s the solicitation I received at my personal email address. It’s typical of the type, including the extensive (and pretty accurate) personalization, over-the-top flattery, lashings of emojis, and faux-edgy style. (Note to scammers: Chatbots can generate flawlessly grammatical English and incorporate perfectly correct details, but they can’t warn you which parts of a person’s resume should alarm you.)

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If any of you have ever written a book then like me you’ll almost certainly have received one of these scam attempts. Mine pretended to be an American book club attached to a library, which exists; I did check with the library, which assured me it was nothing to do with them. Strauss has been collecting details about these scams since last year, updating as she goes, and the detail is fascinating. But, equally, the tedium of scammers still slogging away doesn’t change; just the methods. Time was when the “Nigerian price” scam literally came on typewritten letters.

Also – will they try this scam on AI-written books and AI authors? Big ouroboros potential.
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The AI superforecasters are here • Astral Codex Ten

Scott Alexander:

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An AI superforecaster is an AI – usually a frontier model like ChatGPT or Claude – which has been modified to be good at forecasting. This usually means a “scaffold” – a program that handholds it through a long research process with various prompts, tools, advice about when to create subagents, etc. The overall experience is a lot like using any other AI, but slower and more expensive, because it’s doing more work.

This might make more sense with an example. FutureSearch – the company that claims to be beating the stock market – kindly offered to let me try their AI superforecaster and write about it here.

For a test question – some Silicon Valley philanthropists recently started a project to end respiratory infections like the common cold. I decided to ask about their chances of success. Since forecasters need very precise questions, I asked how likely it was that the rate of colds would be cut in half by 2040. By two minutes in, the AI had deployed three subagents, read 16 websites, and (at the exact moment I took this screenshot) was “investigating the scalability of ASHRAE Standard 241 air cleaning technology for widespread residential adoption by 2040.”

After five minutes, it had its answer: the chance of US respiratory infections halving by 2040 was 7%. [212 sources were offered.] The forecast had taken five minutes and cost me $8 in credits.

But is it true? Ideally we would wait until 2040 and see. For now, I started by comparing its answer to another superforecaster AI. Preseen is the company that claimed to 100,000x their seed money on Kalshi. Here’s their answer: 8.8% compared to FutureSearch’s 7%, not bad!

Are either of these true? I asked a human superforecaster to predict this question, to see if she got the same as the AI. She said that depending on an ambiguity in the wording, she would give it 5-10%. Again, not bad!

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So what might the future look like, with AI superforecasters?

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If the trendline does keep going, things start changing quickly. Finance gets transformed first, as human stock analysts go the way of horse-drawn carriages and kerosene lamps. The opportunity for smart humans to consistently make money on prediction markets likewise dries up – instead, bots duel other bots for the privilege of collecting money from dumb sports fans.

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We really haven’t thought enough about what a machine-intermediated future of transactions looks like. Would it kill sports betting? Or just encourage people to spend more on superforecasting bots?
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How Google and AI nearly made a seasoned reporter spiral • ProPublica

Justin Elliott:

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Last month, my colleagues and I published an investigation into a Texas oil refinery startup, America First Refining, that had secretly gotten investment from Donald Trump Jr. We discovered a saga involving the Trump administration’s tariff policy, sanctioned Russian oil and an Indian billionaire family’s private zoo. 

At the center of the story was the CEO of the refinery company, Texas businessman John Calce. We’d spent weeks examining Calce — pulling old lawsuits, property records, corporate registry filings — and had pieced together a portrait of what appeared to be an obscure serial entrepreneur who’d for years tried and failed to secure funding for his long-shot refinery project.

Then, not long before our story was set to publish, we decided to do a scrub on a separate company he had incorporated called Brownsville Energy Storage Terminals.

Pulling up the company’s website, I felt a brief flash of panic: Had we somehow missed the existence of a major business owned by the man at the center of our next story? 

“From Houston to Rotterdam, Jurong to Fujairah. Our network connects the world’s most vital energy markets with speed, safety, and precision bulk oil storage,” announced the front page of the company’s website.

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Had he missed it?

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No: We checked the site’s domain registration, and we had our (apparent) answer: It was created this year and traced back to a company called Hostinger that offers an AI website builder for $2.99 per month. “Describe it, and AI builds it,” its homepage says. “Appear on Google and AI search automatically.”

Indeed, Google’s “AI Overview” search response, now thrust on users by default with more and more regularity, seemed to ratify the company’s bona fides.

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It was always possible to build sites for fictitious companies, but given how people trust the AI Overview, this is a bigger problem now.
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Trump’s Freedom 250 gives the founders an AI glow-up • CNN

Leah Asmelash and T.M. Brown:

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Meet Dr. Benjamin Rush, the illustrious physician, academic, and Founding Father, as presented in the gallery of founders on the Freedom 250 website. His brow is porcelain-smooth and suffused with light, his locks glossy and curled, his nose straight and regular. He stands upright with his head slightly tilted, an index finger laid coyly against his cheekbone, looking directly at the viewer with methylene-blue eyes and a faint smile.

Paintings of Rush made in his lifetime depicted a man with flat hair and long, pinched features. An 1812 portrait by Thomas Sully presented him with a long, downturned nose and corners of his mouth to match, leaning on one hand at his desk and gazing over the pages of an open book.

The luminous, unreal Rush of Freedom 250 — the nonprofit spun up to lead the Trump administration’s efforts to take control of this year’s semiquincentennial events — looks like some other person altogether, from some other era. Or like no person from no time at all: A digital watermark on the image identifies it as the product of Google’s generative AI.

And he has plenty of company. To educate the public about the semiquincentennial, Trump’s anniversary organization has given all of the dozens of Revolutionary War-era figures in the gallery similar artificial glow-ups, or entirely fictitious faces.

The men’s hairstyles, and often their physiognomies, frequently seem to converge on the canonical portrait of George Washington by Gilbert Stuart. They wear overwhelmingly similar clothing and repeat the same set of poses over and over. And they share the AI watermark.

One small subsection of the gallery features four “Ladies of the Revolution,” generally swan-necked, snub-nosed, and dressed in near-identical clothes. These women, the public historian Isabelle Roughol noted this week in a widely viewed video, are particularly anachronistic. Dolley Madison, shown as an adult woman, would have been 8 years old at the time of the revolution. (Martha Washington, called “Lady Washington” and a key figure of the war, is notably absent.)

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For this to make an impact requires someone involved to be capable of shame. But there is nobody attached to the Trump administration capable of feeling that sensation. And it would also require the public to be more annoyed than to think that this is absolutely typical of the Trump administration. The only surprise, and relief, is that they didn’t mint a Freedom250 cryptocoin whose supply they already controlled and would sell to the public.
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AI could wipe out budget smartphones in 2027 • WCCFTECH

Omar Sohail:

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The DRAM supply situation is predicted to worsen for consumer electronics next year, with multiple industry watchers believing that a grim future for budget handsets could materialize in 2027. Thanks to AI centres gobbling up existing DRAM shipments, which could account for more than 60% in the near future, phone makers will have a negligible supply to work with, forcing them to have little option but to raise prices.

Even with a class-action lawsuit [alleging collusion] aimed directly at Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, the DRAM price situation won’t be controlled, with a report from MyDrivers stating that, by the end of 2026, more than half of the memory supply will already be used in AI computing. Naturally, this supply disparity means smartphone companies, including Apple, will not just have to deal with higher prices but also tackle the need to obtain adequate supply.

The report mentions that budget handsets in the 1,500 yuan ($220) bracket could cease to exist in 2027, as experts believe that storage costs will now account for 60% of a smartphone’s price, making it next to impossible for companies to generate any margin without resorting to massive hikes. Research firm IDC estimates that smartphone shipments will fall to their lowest since 2013, with PC shipments also witnessing a nosedive.

With Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron controlling 90% of the world’s DRAM supply, the only light at the end of the tunnel comes in the form of China’s CXMT and YMTC. While supplying local chips to companies like Huawei, Xiaomi, OPPO, and others will be no issue for these manufacturers, other firms have to navigate a ton of geopolitical hurdles to bring them into the fold.

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So people are going to hold on to their phones for an extra year or two. Good time to be in the smartphone repair business.
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Japan man rents wife’s murder flat for 26 years to preserve crime scene in hope of solution • South China Morning Post

Alice Yan:

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A grieving husband in Japan paid rent on the empty “haunted house” in which his wife was murdered for 26 years in the hope of uncovering clues about who killed her.

His hopes were finally realised when the suspect gave herself up to police in Nagoya, central Japan. She was the man’s classmate at secondary school and had a crush on him.

The case attracted public attention after it was reported by the news outlet NHK in early November. The murder took place on November 13, 1999, when housewife Namiko Takaba was found dead at home. She had been stabbed in the neck with a sharp object multiple times. Her two-year-old son was left uninjured by her side.

The authorities put 100,000 police officers on the case and 5,000 people were interviewed to no avail. The only clues investigators unearthed were that the suspect was a female with type B blood, she was about 1.6m tall and had been wearing shoes 24cm in length. The police also issued a reward in their hunt for the killer.

In the hope of preserving the crime scene, the victim’s husband, Satoru Takaba, left the property empty for the past 26 years. He and his son lived elsewhere. Takaba never remarried.

The total amount of rent he paid for the empty flat over that period was 22 million yen (US$145,000).

He left every item in the house and did not clean the bloodstains because he was waiting for a breakthrough in the investigation, he told the media. Also, he often distributed fliers on the street and accepted media interviews to call on the public to provide clues.

Last year, the police reopened the investigation and refocused their probe on people related to the family. On October 30, 69-year-old Kumiko Yasufuku surrendered to the police.

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The rent works out at about $5,580 per year, or $465 per month (assuming no increases). That’s quite the sacrifice.
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Life at the end of the metaverse • Prospect Magazine

James Ball:

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Zuckerberg has a good claim to being the first person to try to build the first full metaverse, with Horizon Worlds. His company would build the hardware and infrastructure, but anyone could build a world within his metaverse, people could trade and interact within it, and the metaverse would always be on.

Crucially, unlike the dreamers who went before him, Zuckerberg had the tens of billions of dollars that it would take to build something like this. It is easy to quote the figure of $80bn—the cumulative losses to date of Meta’s metaverse division—and move on without appreciating what an astronomical sum it is.

$80bn is enough to give £2,000 to every single household in the United Kingdom. It is nearly 10 years of the UK’s international aid budget. You could comfortably purchase every single club in the Premier League for such a sum, and have plenty of money left over. It could cover the UN’s humanitarian fundraising target for 2026—designed to support 87m desperate people worldwide—twice over.

Zuckerberg did not commit funding on this level out of some sense of charity. Had the metaverse won, the prize was commensurately huge: a chance to take a percentage of every transaction, like the Apple store does with apps but on a planetary scale. Meta was, by far, the company most committed to the idea of the metaverse, but it was far from the only one. Apple designed a top-specification VR headset selling for thousands of pounds, while Google and others battled to keep up.

History, though, is littered with the mistakes of major companies that bet on virtual reality too early, only to suffer extensive public humiliation and financial loss. In 1995, at the peak of its powers, Nintendo launched the Virtual Boy, a 3D system the company’s president promised “will transport game players into a ‘virtual utopia’ with sights and sounds unlike anything they’ve ever experienced”. It would, executives promised, sell three million units and 14m games cartridges in its first year alone.

In reality, the Virtual Boy was discontinued in Japan within six months of its launch, and worldwide in less than a year.

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At this point one has to think that VR is just not going to happen. It’s been tried enough times, but humans like real-world contact.
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Goose, a new gay dating app, appears to be a psyop • WIRED

EJ Dickson :

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The Instagram Close Friends Story for @miles.sumrall shows an affable-looking guy with curly dark hair and an expertly groomed mustache beaming as he floats on the water. “You’re receiving this because you’re exactly the type of person we’re building this for,” the caption reads, accompanied by a code for an invite to a “members only community.”

The link leads to a login for Goose, a dating and friendship app for gay men with the slogan “for the boys,” which allows users to “meet guys through the life you already have,” according to its website.

The problem is that @miles.sumrall does not appear to be real. Neither does @danielmmulugeta, the cute dark-haired influencer who shared the above caption, with the exact same verbiage, on his Close Friends’ Stories. Both accounts were created in May 2026 and have fewer than 10 posts as well as a high following-to-follower ratio. And both of their Instagram avatars were determined with greater than 90% confidence to be AI-generated, according to the AI Image Detector software. A SynthID check on Google Gemini, which can help identify AI-generated images, also found that “most or all of” Miles’ and Daniel’s profile photos were created using Google AI.

Created by the model-influencer Derek Chadwick, as well as former BeReal growth and community manager David Aliagas, Goose positions itself as a Grindr alternative for gay men who want to build lasting relationships. At the time that it was announced, many scoffed at the idea that the app would be used for anything other than finding casual hookups. “Goose is basically Pokémon Ho,” one X user joked.

…Often, the accounts followed potential members and added them to their Close Friends Stories, but sometimes they directly DMed them to encourage them to sign up, as was the case with Dalton Bauer, who works in marketing and received a DM from a user named @lucalepkowski. “Hey! Okay this might feel random but felt you’d be interested :),” the message begins before inviting Bauer to the Goose community, using language identical to that of the one Cheam received from Alistair.

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So what would be the aim here? A couple that come to mind: pig butchering; or finding influential people and blackmailing them over their use of a gay dating app.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2699: source denies Trump-Anthropic stake talks, Google loses antitrust cases, batteries go big, and more


If the BBC is to survive, should it embrace a subscription model like Netflix and seek international viewers? CC-licensed photo by Yukiko Matsuoka on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 9 links for you. Tuned in. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Trump administration and Anthropic have not discussed the government taking a stake in it, source says • Reuters

Karen Freifeld and Alexandra Alper:

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The Trump administration and AI giant Anthropic have not ​discussed the government taking stakes in the firm, a source familiar with the matter said on Thursday.

The White House and the Commerce Department did not immediately respond to requests for comment. Anthropic declined to ​comment.

The comment comes after the Financial Times reported earlier on ​Thursday that OpenAI has discussed giving the U.S. government a 5% stake, raising questions about whether other AI firms are having ​such discussions.

The companies are facing scrutiny in Washington over the likely ​misuse of advanced models and whether Americans would benefit from the industry’s massive valuations.

The Commerce Department in June lifted export controls on two of Anthropic’s most advanced ​models imposed weeks earlier amid concerns the powerful AI tools ​did not have adequate safeguards to prevent misuse.

Washington has stepped up oversight of new model releases to identify potential threats amid concerns that advanced AI models could be misused by military intelligence in China, Russia or other countries of concern. Still, submission of new models for review ​is voluntary.

Last month, President Donald ​Trump said he was exploring options to give the public a stake in leading AI companies, in response to ​concerns that individual Americans will not share in ​the sector’s expected profits.

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Peculiar that Anthropic can’t say this itself, isn’t it? If they haven’t discussed it, what’s stopping Anthropic or the government, or both, just saying so? Also, the idea that the government should have part ownership of private companies seems like a slippery slope towards, oh, socialism or communism or something, which surely the Republican party in the US would repudiate.

Let’s wait a few days or weeks and see if non-discussion turns out to be a non-non-discussion.
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Google hit with $2bn antitrust judgment for skewing shopping searches in Sweden • Los Angeles Times

Karin Matussek and Christopher Jungstedt:

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Alphabet Inc.’s Google was ordered to pay almost $2bn to Klarna Group Plc’s Pricerunner unit in a dispute over the search-engine giant’s abuse of power in the market for comparison shopping services.

The Patent and Market Court in Stockholm, which issued the judgment on Wednesday, dismissed most parts of the claim in which Pricerunner sought 80 billion Swedish kronor, or roughly $8.2bn, in the wake of a European Union antitrust crackdown.

Still, Judge Linda Kullberg said this is “without a doubt the largest claim that has been ordered in a Swedish competition case.”

Klarna shares rose 5.3% in premarket trading after the ruling.

The ruling can be appealed. The Swedish price-comparison website argued that Google has been abusing its dominant position as a search engine by favoring its own comparison shopping service over competing portals for more than a decade.

Wednesday’s award compensates for lost revenue caused by Google’s preferential treatment of its own comparison-shopping service over independent price-comparison services, conduct that also drives up costs for consumers, Klarna said in a statement after the judgment.

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And meanwhile, separately: Google loses long-running appeal of record EU fine, will have to cough up $4.7bn, by Ryan Whitwam at Ars Technica:

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Back in 2018, Google was handed a record-setting €4.34bn ($4.9bn) fine in Europe for abusing its monopoly on Android. The company has spent the intervening years challenging that decision, but the continent’s highest court has put a stop to that. The Court of Justice of the European Union has affirmed the penalty, meaning Google is out of options.

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And also meaning that Google has been found guilty of abusing two different monopolies – search and Android.
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Microsoft commits $2.5bn and 6,000 employees to AI implementation unit • CNBC

Jordan Novet:

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Microsoft is investing $2.5bn into a new group focused on assisting clients with AI implementations, becoming the latest tech company to commit hefty resources to helping businesses understand and adopt emerging artificial intelligence technologies.

With the new venture, called Microsoft Frontier Co., the software vendor said Thursday that 6,000 employees will be embedded with clients, in a practice that’s become known as forward deployed engineering. The division will contain existing Microsoft FDEs, technical consultants, support staffers and salespeople with experience in specific industries. Rodrigo Kede Lima, who’s been leading Microsoft’s Asia business, will be its president.

The announcement comes two days after cloud rival Amazon said it was putting $1bn behind an FDE initiative to support fast-paced AI engagements. Leading AI labs Anthropic and OpenAI both established FDE groups in May, partnering with private equity firms, banks and consulting firms.

Alongside its technology peers, Microsoft has sunk tens of billions of dollars into building data centers that run generative AI models. Microsoft has also released a variety of AI services, with mixed results.

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Perhaps all the people in the Xbox division getting canned in the next few days can apply for jobs there?
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Nigel Farage reported to standards watchdog over ‘crypto lobbying’ • The Guardian

Rowena Mason and Tom Burgis:

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The standards watchdog has been urged to investigate whether Nigel Farage lobbied the Bank of England to drop a cryptocurrency plan that could be costly for the billionaire bankrolling his party, potentially in breach of parliamentary rules.

The Reform UK leader has said his party’s major donor, Christopher Harborne, wanted nothing in exchange for the £15m he donated to the party and the undeclared £5m gift to Farage the Guardian revealed in April.

But Farage used a private meeting at the Bank to urge its governor, Andrew Bailey, to drop plans for a state-run alternative to the digital currency that has made Harborne, his Thailand-based benefactor, one of the richest people in the world.

As reported by the Guardian last month, Farage told October’s Zebu Live event in London he regarded the Bank’s plans for a digital pound with “total and utter horror”. He recounted the meeting at Threadneedle Street with Bailey. “I asked him straight: ‘Are you still progressing your plans for a British central bank digital currency?’ And the answer was: ‘Yes.’”

His opposition to the “Britcoin” proposal was so strong that, after the meeting last September, he told the Zebu audience of crypto enthusiasts he would be “prepared to go to prison” to stop it.

The Labour MP Phil Brickell, chair of the parliamentary group on anti-corruption and responsible tax, has now reported Farage’s actions to the standards commissioner, asking him to look into the Reform leader’s interactions with the Bank of England.

The standards commissioner, Daniel Greenberg, is already investigating whether Farage should have declared the £5m gift from Harborne, which he received in the months before he returned to parliament.

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Crypto is always bad news for someone, somewhere. Fingers crossed.
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US home battery installations hit record high on rising electricity costs • Ars Technica

Jeremy Hsu:

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US homeowners have embraced home batteries in record-breaking numbers in early 2026, spurred on by state incentives while seeking to offset rising residential electricity costs. The trend could even unlock a more flexible energy supply for power grid operators and even AI data centers.

New home battery installations reached a record 673 megawatt hours of energy storage in the first quarter of 2026, according to the US Energy Information Administration. That trend was driven by states with high electricity prices that have implemented policies to incentivize home battery installation, Bloomberg News reported.

This residential battery trend stands out as a natural next step for states that have already successfully boosted rooftop solar adoption among homeowners, given how batteries enable homeowners to use stored solar energy at night. California and Hawaii accounted for the majority of new residential battery storage, while Texas and Arizona also saw significantly higher numbers of installations.

California incentivizes homeowners with solar panels to also install batteries by offering better pricing for residential electricity exported to the grid after sunset, Bloomberg reported. Hawaii offers a one-time payment of $400 for every kilowatt hour of battery storage that homeowners install.

However, the record-breaking home battery installations coincided with a slowdown in residential installations of solar panels—the result of the Trump administration and Republican-driven One Big Beautiful Bill having eliminated a 30% federal solar tax credit for homeowners. Nonetheless, US electricity generation from solar power continues to rise and even surpassed coal-fired generation in April.

The battery installation spree also coincides with rising electricity costs for US residential customers.

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It would be good if Ars Technica’s writers knew the difference between a kilowatt (a measure of instantaneous power) and a kilowatt hour (a measure of energy), as the original of this story omitted the “hour” from its measurements.

Anyway, more microgeneration and microstorage all works in everyone’s favour.
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Bye bye, Beeb? • The Critic Magazine

Christopher Snowdon:

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The BBC is no longer a public good as an economist understands the term. Public goods are non-excludable: you cannot prevent people from using them. When all you needed was a TV aerial, the BBC could only make you pay to watch its programmes by sending you threatening letters. By switching to a Netflix-style subscription model, the BBC could exclude those who do not pay.

This is the obvious solution and it needs to be done soon because the threatening letters are no longer working. Since 2014, the TV licence fee “evasion rate” has risen from 5% to 12.5% and revenue from the licence fee has fallen by 28% in real terms; hence another round of cuts.

As David Elstein noted in last month’s issue of The Critic, prosecutions for licence fee evasion have fallen from 150,000 a year to around 25,000 and the average fine is barely more than the cost of a licence. It is an extremely low risk crime and the BBC wastes £160m a year trying to tackle it. As the word spreads that paying the licence fee is essentially optional, more and more people will become “evaders”. 

Some of these people genuinely never watch live broadcasts and never use the iPlayer, but it is safe to assume that most of them are simply saving money. How many of them would cough up £180 if it was the only way they could access BBC content is the big question and it will become more pressing if licence fee evasion spirals, as seems likely. 

As Elstein says, the BBC’s fierce opposition to moving to a subscription model “borders on the irrational”. The corporation fears that if people were given a choice between paying for the BBC and not watching the BBC, millions will decide to stop paying for the BBC. If so, that is not our problem. The BBC is not the army. It is not the police. It provides entertainment, and no one should be compelled to pay for entertainment they do not consume. 

…This is where the opportunity lies. There are two billion televisions in the world and only 50 million of them are in the UK. It might take a bit of trial-and-error to discover the revenue-maximising price for a global BBC subscription, but the corporation should have enough faith in itself to believe it can take a large enough sliver of the overseas market to make up for any losses in the domestic market.

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Netflix has around 325m subscribers. It might take the BBC a while to get to that level, but it would be a behemoth if it could.

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Daily Mail sued over ‘systematic’ lifting of social media images • Press Gazette

Charlotte Tobitt:

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The Daily Mail is being sued over alleged “systematic” lifting of “thousands” of images from social media without permission or payment.

A photographer named Matthew Moore who said one of his own images had been taken without permission has launched a class action lawsuit in New York on behalf of himself and anyone else in the US who has been affected in the past three years.

The legal complaint calls this behaviour “standard practice” at the Daily Mail and is seeking a declaration that it violates US copyright law.

The legal complaint alleges that lawyers found 107 articles that contained at least one photo that had been taken from social media with only a credit to the platform (for example © Instagram) over the course of just nine days in June.

It claims that assuming a payment of between $2,500 and $25,000 per violation of the US Digital Millennium Copyright Act, this rate of alleged infringement would open the Daily Mail up to “more than ten million dollars per year”.

The claim argues that the Daily Mail ensures its use “stays hidden” to the copyright owners by adding a “false credit” to the social media platform the image was taken from.

This is despite the fact the platforms do not own the copyright according to their own terms and conditions, it says.

But it means that rightsholders searching for their name or using credit alerts may never see the usage.

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I certainly know of one person who threatened to sue the Daily Mail of its use of their pictures without permission, which led to an apology and a payment to charity. It’s hard to see how the Mail can successfully defend this one, and there’s then the question of what it does in future if that happens.
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Substack reveals newsletters with most paying subscribers in UK • Press Gazette

Charlotte Tobitt:

»

Substack has revealed the 50 newsletters on its platform with the most UK paying subscribers for the first time.

Michael Howell’s Capital Wars is the top Substack newsletter in the UK based on number of paying subscribers. Capital Wars is currently the fifth-ranked finance newsletter across Substack overall and is written by Howell, a former research director at investment bank Salomon Brothers.

Finance is the biggest topic vertical in the top 50, accounting for 13 publications. Other topics represented multiple times include food and drink, fashion and beauty, news/politics and history.

In second place is Exponential View, an AI newsletter by tech entrepreneur Azeem Azhar which passed 100,000 free and paid subscribers two years ago after nine years of publishing (plus a further 200,000 who received it via Linkedin).

Third is Comment is Freed, which has more than 90,000 free and paid subscribers, by Institute for Government senior fellow Sam Freedman and his father Lawrence Freedman (emeritus professor of war studies at King’s College London).

Substack already published a “bestseller” list in the US, and has now started a separate list in the UK. It counts only paying subscribers, meaning major newsletters without paywalls may be overtaken by smaller brands with higher conversion rates.

Former Guardian media editor Jim Waterson’s local newsletter London Centric, which he started in September 2024 using a voluntary redundancy payment from the national newsbrand, has the eighth most paying subscribers in the UK on Substack.

Waterson said in May that London Centric had about 5,000 paying subscribers and was bringing in enough revenue to support two additional staff members.

«

Excellent news about London Centric, which might get a flywheel effect going as it hires more staff. And Comment Is Freed, which charges the lowest possible amount (£35 per year), is surely generating a nice bit of income for the Freedman household(s). For all the hate aimed at Substack by some people, it has enabled new models of successful journalism that really couldn’t work before.
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Grok’s traffic heavily driven by NSFW content, report says • Forbes

Mary Whitfill Roeloffs:

»

Elon Musk’s xAI is reportedly leaning into explicit content generation as a core driver of its Grok chatbot traffic and adult content now accounts for the majority of the platform’s activity, according to a Wednesday report from The Information.

The report claims xAI is actively doubling down on its explicit video and image-generation tools and that adult-content dominance extends into Grok’s coding model, which The Information reports frequently receives requests for pornographic material.

Well over half of Grok’s overall traffic is driven by pornographic images and videos, adult role-play chats or other such activity, according to the report, which Vital Knowledge analyst Adam Crisafulli called “a desperate attempt for relevancy.”

The move comes as xAI has “fallen further behind” competitor chatbots from Anthropic, OpenAI, Google and Meta, per Crisafulli, and Grok recorded the largest drop in web traffic of any single AI model this year, Similarweb data shows.

22%. That’s the drop in Grok web traffic between January and May, according to Similarweb, more than any other major chatbot. Similarweb’s data doesn’t include interactions with Grok through X, Musk’s social media site.

«

Unsurprising that Musk thinks there’s better money to be had hiring the servers powering Grok out to literally anyone else who wants them.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2698: Apple’s unhidden email, Xbox and PlayStation plan disc-free future, the silencing by the tech bros, and more


Does sunscreen cause skin cancer? The fallacious suggestion it does has caught hold online; but it’s like saying wet streets cause rain. CC-licensed photo by Godverbs on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 9 links for you. Slip, slap, no slop. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Apple ‘Hide My Email’ vulnerability reveals peoples’ real email addresses • 404 Media

Joseph Cox:

»

A vulnerability in Apple’s “Hide My Email” tool lets almost anyone discover a person’s real email address that is supposed to be hidden by the feature, and Apple has failed to fix it for more than a year, according to a security researcher and 404 Media’s own tests.

404 Media is not revealing the exact details of the vulnerability because it can still be exploited as of Monday, when 404 Media verified the issue with one of our own hidden email addresses.

”Apple Hide My Email is leaking email addresses that are supposed to be hidden. We reported the issue and replication instructions to Apple over a year ago. We don’t know why it hasn’t been fixed, but we don’t feel comfortable waiting any longer. Hide My Email users deserve to know that it may be possible for attackers to discover their hidden email addresses,” Tyler Murphy, the co-founder of EasyOptOuts, which discovered and reported the issue to Apple, told 404 Media.

“Free, publicly accessible people-search sites make it easy to link an email address to other personal details, so people relying on Hide My Email for safety may be at risk,” Murphy added.

…To test the issue I generated a new Hide My Email address and provided it to Murphy. Around five minutes later, he replied with my real email address linked to my Apple account which was supposed to be hidden.

“We don’t know the full scope of the issue, but in our limited tests with volunteers, 100% of Hide My Email addresses were exploitable,” Murphy said.

«

As it happens, Apple said at the end of May that it was going to tweak the system. But it still hasn’t.
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Xbox testing disc-to-digital feature that digitizes a physical game collection • The Verge

Tom Warren:

»

Microsoft will likely soon follow Sony and stop the production of physical discs for Xbox games. But instead of leaving physical discs behind entirely, sources familiar with Microsoft’s plans tell me the company has quietly been working on a disc-to-digital feature that will allow Xbox owners to digitize their existing physical game collections.

Xbox employees recently started testing this new feature, after references to “enable Disc2Digital” appeared in the Xbox PC app code in May. I’m told that Microsoft’s disc-to-digital feature will work on Xbox One and Xbox Series X discs only, and not those for the Xbox 360 or original Xbox console.

Getting a digital copy of a game works simply by inserting a compatible disc and installing and playing the game. This will require a Microsoft account on an Xbox console and will grant a digital entitlement for physical games. This digital entitlement is tied to the specific disc, and it will move from account to account if you swap the physical game with a friend or log in to a different Xbox profile and try to play a disc-based game.

«

OK, but how about a digital-to-disc feature, so that you’re not reliant on being online or having tons of (increasingly expensive) storage to store your games?
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Sony will kill PlayStation games on discs in 2028 and offer digital downloads only • AFP via The Guardian

»

Sony said on Wednesday that it would stop releasing new video games for the PlayStation console on disc in January 2028 following a shift in consumer preferences.

“Following this date, new games will be available on PlayStation Store and at retailers in digital formats only,” the company said on its official PlayStation blog.

In practice, that means gamers will have to download directly from Sony’s PlayStation store or obtain a download code when purchasing a title from a retailer.

The announcement comes as the upcoming exclusively digital release of Grand Theft Auto VI, which is predicted to become one of the biggest-selling cultural products of all time, has caused some consternation among gamers.

There was grumbling on social media that the lack of a physical disc would eliminate any secondhand market for the title. Sony said the upcoming shift “has no impact on games that already released, or will be releasing, prior to January 2028 in disc format”.

Sony began its move towards digital downloads in 2020 with the release of the latest console, PlayStation 5, which had a version without a disk drive.

“This is a natural direction for Sony Interactive Entertainment to adapt to consumer trends as the general preference for digital media significantly outpaces physical discs,” the company said. “We remain committed to delivering a world-class gaming experience to our fans.”

«

Along with the coming Xboxcalypse, this feels like a hinge moment. Though Steam has in effect been doing this for years.
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Fact-checkers reckon with shrinking budgets and growing AI threats at GlobalFact 2026 • Nieman Journalism Lab

Andrew Deck:

»

In 2024, the Trump administration shut down the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), which had given grants to fact-checking organizations around the world. Last year, Meta ended its third-party fact-checking program in the U.S. — another significant revenue stream for IFCN signatories — claiming it was an effort to reduce “censorship.”

While Meta has yet to shutter its international third-party fact-checking program entirely, it has made clear its intentions to follow in the footsteps of X and disinvest in professional fact-checks in favor of crowdsourced “Community Notes.”

One signal of big tech’s waning support for fact-checkers was how few major tech companies were in the room at GlobalFact. While Meta and Google have historically sent representatives annually, only TikTok dispatched a proper delegation this year.

“The political wind shifted, and their support shifted with it. To the technology platforms not in this room today, rejoin us in the work of making high-quality, accurate information accessible to everyone,” Angie Drobnic Holan, director of IFCN and a 2023 Nieman Fellow, said in her own opening remarks. “Fact-checking is not censorship. It is not partisan. It never was.”

…“I’m not super at math, but I’m good enough to know you need more funds coming in than going out,” Holan said in a panel about alternative funding models. “Philanthropy has told me there is not enough philanthropic money to support your entire sector. There’s just not. But there’s also evidence to show that there’s a substantial pool of audience revenue.”

In April, IFCN’s annual State of Fact-Checkers report found that 62% of the 141 organizations surveyed had grown their audiences in 2025, but just 22% described their financial position as “sustainable.”

«

Depressing. (Thanks Gregory B for the link.)
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Getty Images scraps $3.7bn merger with Shutterstock over UK scrutiny • Reuters

Jaspreet Singh:

»

Getty Images said on Tuesday it has called off its planned merger with Shutterstock due to the UK competition regulator’s requirement to ​sell Shutterstock’s editorial business as a condition for approval.

Two of the largest ​players in the licensed visual content industry announced the deal in January 2025 to create a $3.7bn stock-image powerhouse geared for the AI era.

The collapse ​of the merger comes as both companies face growing competition from AI image generators ​that offer a cheaper and easier way to create visuals.

“We are not convinced that scale would have done more than stave off competitive pressures for a little while longer, but without the ​scale that the merger would bring, the outlook for each looks even more ​difficult,” said Luke Stillman, a managing director at trend advisory firm Madison and Wall.

Shares of Getty were up about 1.1% at $0.87 in volatile extended trading, while those of Shutterstock plunged about 29% to $9.95.

Britain’s Competition and Markets Authority in May conditionally approved the merger, requiring Shutterstock to sell its editorial arm to address concerns over the supply of news content ​in the country. The regulator’s ​independent inquiry group had found that the editorial business, if not sold, would reduce choice for UK media outlets and could ultimately raise prices ​for customers, as Shutterstock is one of the “few meaningful” rivals ​to Getty.

…Getty, which competes ​with Reuters and the Associated Press in providing ​photos and videos for editorial use, said its board also plans to engage a financial adviser to explore strategic ​financing options for the company.

«

The specific editorial businesses to be divested were Rex Features, Splash News and Backgrid. It’s a little unclear whether Shutterstock would have to sell the picture libraries too: presumably, yes.
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No, sunscreen doesn’t cause skin cancer • Full Fact

Leo Benedictus:

»

A number of social media posts are wrongly claiming that using sunscreen raises people’s risk of skin cancer. These claims are based on a classic misunderstanding.

The posts, which we’ve seen on Facebook and on Instagram, all cite an article on a website called the People’s Voice that we have fact checked many times before. This article describes a study from 2023 that used data from the UK Biobank to compare skin cancer rates in different groups of people.

The study in question found that people who were frequent or very frequent users of sunscreen were also more likely to develop skin cancer. From this, the website article and social media posts conclude that “using sunscreen massively increases the risk of three major types of skin cancer”.

But this doesn’t follow at all—and it isn’t true. Instead it’s a clear case of what’s sometimes called “confounding by indication”.

For example, people who are about to visit malaria zones are more likely to take anti-malaria tablets—and also more likely to catch malaria. People experiencing hair-loss are more likely to take hair-loss treatments—and to lose more hair. And of course people who are about to go in the sun are more likely to use sunscreen—and also more likely to develop skin cancer.

This doesn’t mean that using sunscreen causes skin cancer. It means that something else—sun exposure—leads to both. So people who use more sunscreen are probably exposed to more sunlight, on the whole, which puts them at higher risk of skin cancer that the sunscreen doesn’t completely prevent.

«

It’s a “wet streets cause rain” sort of mistake.
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America at 300: Imagining the next half-century of change • The Washington Post

Joel Achenbach:

»

In April 1976, three months before the American bicentennial, two guys no one had ever heard of formed a little company called Apple.

They were building what were called “microcomputers.” The traditional tech companies of the time built large mainframe computers. Small computers were of interest to hobbyists. They were a bit like toys. But the two nobodies, Steve Jobs and Steve Wozniak, who were working out of a house in suburban California, believed they could make microcomputers that nontechnical people would find useful in everyday life.

“We didn’t get the flying cars that ‘The Jetsons’ promised us,” said Margaret O’Mara, a historian at the University of Washington whose book “The Code” describes the history of Silicon Valley. “But we walk around with supercomputers in our pocket, and these supercomputers were invented by two long-haired, vegetarian college dropouts who didn’t bathe very often and worked out of a garage.”

The future was hurtling toward us at the bicentennial in forms we didn’t see coming. That’s the nature of the future: It’s sneaky, disorderly and can’t be tamed.

Here’s a smart bet: The next 50 years of science and technology will be even wilder than the past 50.

Among the things we might see are permanent bases on the moon and Mars, data centres orbiting Earth, fusion reactors feeding the grid, quantum computers doing calculations in minutes that would take classical computers years, “social robots” with hands as soft as our own, people playing pickleball well into their second century, and workers commuting to the office via things you could plausibly call flying cars (finally!).

But futurists don’t actually make predictions. They just craft scenarios. Some are sunny. Some are gloomy. Some are … pitch-black.

«

• Permanent bases on the Moon and Mars: no. (At least, not with humans.)
• Data centres in orbit: yes.
• Fusion reactors: I’ll go with no (it’s been correct for the past 50 years when everyone was sure it was 10 years away.)
• Quantum computers: maybe? But see fusion reactors.
• Social robots: yes.
• Pickleball centenarians: probably already exist in Florida.
• Flying cars: no. Have you seen how people drive?

There’s more sense in the main article, but that preamble is annoying. Not AI helpers everywhere? That’s a certainty.
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Silenced • How To Survive the Broligarchy

Carole Cadwalladr:

»

Facebook’s use of an arbitration court to silence Sarah Wynn Williams [author of Careless People, an account of working for Facebook from 2011-2017] is not an accident. There’s no shortage of courts in either the US or UK, where Wynn Williams now lives. Criminal courts to try criminal cases and civil courts to settle business and other disputes.

But arbitration courts are an entirely parallel system. It’s commonplace for Silicon Valley companies to force them as a procedure for settling disputes not just in severance agreements but in joining agreements. Almost everyone who goes to work for a social media platform signs a contract on joining that prevents them from ever disclosing confidential information about what happens inside the company before they’ve even started their jobs.

It’s one reason why vanishingly few people have ever spilled the beans. The other is that they’ve drunk the kool aid/had their mouths have stuffed with gold/been so deeply compromised they’re in a state of denial or in Nick Clegg’s case all three.

It’s an ongoing source of pain to me that the former deputy prime minister and latterly Facebook’s head of policy and spin, is considered a plausible voice on anything to do with Silicon Valley.

…Tech companies use arbitration courts because they can. Just as they write the terms of service that we the users have no choice but to accept, they also write the contracts that employees must sign to take a job. It’s a legitimised form of corporate bullying, a non-state parallel justice system. And now one that Sarah Wynn Williams finds herself trapped in.

And it maps onto other networks, one used by criminals and gangsters. I found myself investigating arbitration courts, some years ago, when I was trying to understand why and how Cambridge Analytica was seeking to set one up in St Kitts and Nevis.

I never uncovered a definitive answer to that but I did speak to a lawyer who’d been involved in the scheme. What are some of the dodgier possible use cases of arbitration courts, I asked him. “Well, money laundering for one,” he said. It’s a simple matter to set up a fake arbitration to settle a fake dispute. Party A seeks resolution to a dispute with Party B, a judge finds in Party B’s favour and Party A has to pay them a load of cash. The money is legitimately washed through another company’s accounts.

Another scenario is where individuals use these courts to seize assets by illegitimate means. Nice company you keep, Facebook.

«

Recommended Wynn Williams’s book to a friend, who bought it. A little poke in the eye for Facebook.
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Inside Apple’s chipflation dilemma • Culpium

Tim Culpan:

»

Apple had tried for months to save money, my sources tell me. But skyrocketing DRAM costs have driven the price of memory from $30 per phone to over $130 apiece, bringing it above 30% of the cost of building an iPhone, according to my discussions with sources.

In reality, Apple’s decision to add $100 to a MacBook Neo, $300 to a MacBook Pro, and $500 to a Mac Studio shows Apple’s waning position in the global supply chain for technology hardware.

…Apple’s price hike last week was not sudden, it was not rash, and it wasn’t Tim Cook displaying some fit of pique.

It was calculated, planned, and executed over a period of months. Apple could see it coming as far back as six months ago, my sources tell me, and has been preparing the groundwork ever since.

And the messaging was carefully stage managed. First was the timing. Cook, as CEO, or his CFO Kevan Parekh could have signaled the price rise back in its April 30 earnings call, or they could have done so in the next event around a month from now. But they chose the end of June, when the message wouldn’t get lost.

Then they chose the medium. In this case, an interview with The Wall Street Journal’s Rolfe Winkler, the same reporter who got exclusive tours of Apple supplier facilities including TSMC, Foxconn, and GlobalWafers back in February.

…Memory chips aren’t the only thing that’s become more expensive over the past year. We already know that logic chips have gone up in price, which includes not only core A-series and M-series processors but also microcontrollers, power-management, networking, and display drivers. There’s also upward pressure on magnets, exterior casings, and even batteries.

But Cook chose to blame memory. Memory takes the rap for two reasons. It’s the component he has the least control over. More importantly, according to my discussions across the supply chain, memory’s contribution to Apple’s total components costs will climb to as much as one-third of the bill of materials for many devices during calendar 2026. And Cook could do nothing to stop it.

«

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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2697: Tata leak shows iPhone 18 video, San Francisco’s dogs, Google fooled by copyright claims, and more


Two papers by Max Planck, a pioneer of quantum mechanics, have been removed from their online journal. There is uncertainty about why. CC-licensed photo by Julia Tulke on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 9 links for you. Made you look. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


“Easily the biggest leak in Apple’s history”: iPhone 18 Pro final design may have just been revealed in a stolen drop test video • Tom’s Guide

Jeff Parsons:

»

Apple is obsessed with preserving as much secrecy as it can before officially revealing the rumoured iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max and iPhone Ultra/Fold at the Apple Event in September. But the company has just been dealt a huge blow by a data breach at one of its suppliers.

More than 200,000 files are believed to have been posted to the dark web following the ‘cybersecurity incident’ Tata reported last week.

Photos, videos and component lists of the upcoming devices have been circulating on social media after one of Apple’s India-based suppliers, Tata Electronics, suffered a data breach last week. More than 200,000 files are believed to have been posted to the dark web following the ‘cybersecurity incident’ Tata reported last week.

These files include documentation on other products made by Tata, but according to Reuters, drawings of the iPhone 18 Pro circuit board, A20 chip, and supplier lists for components are also among them.

They also include drop test photos, which is part of customary testing for durability. While it’s not been confirmed whether or not any videos are among the leak, one such video is being circulated on social media. Tom’s Guide hasn’t been able to verify if this video is accurate or merely AI-generated. If genuine, it would give us some huge clues about what to expect in September.

«

The phone looks like.. an iPhone. Not the least surprise about that. But Apple will be seething about two points: that the leak has come from Tata, one of its new partners outside China; and that the component list has been leaked. In April 2021 a ransomware attack against Apple’s laptop maker, Quanta, led to the leak of forthcoming designs.

and in January Apple supplier Luxshare was hit, leading to the leak of lots of internal data.
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The Dogs of San Francisco: 51,379 dogs

Ryan McEntush and Luke Eigel:

»

Every licensed dog, month by month. After a long slide from 2017, the registry rebounded to a record 11,200 in 2025. Licenses still spike each spring, peaking in May 2025.

«

Didn’t know that dogs had to be licensed in San Francisco, but it turns out that means you can generate a database showing all sorts of fun details, particularly about breeds. Large dogs turn out to be surprisingly popular, though maybe the weather is cold enough there to be tolerable for them. A fun project, harking back to the halcyon days of Web 2.0.
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An entire Herculaneum scroll has been read for the first time • Vesuvius Challenge

»

For almost 2,000 years, the carbonized library of Herculaneum has kept a cruel bargain: its scrolls survived the eruption of Mount Vesuvius, but only by becoming too fragile to open. To read one was to destroy it. Hundreds of rolls have therefore remained sealed, their contents preserved yet unreachable.

Today that changes. We have completely virtually unwrapped and read PHerc. 1667 — the scroll the Vesuvius Challenge community knows as Scroll 4 — without ever touching its pages. It is the first Herculaneum papyrus to be digitally unrolled and read in full, end to end, and made available for sustained scholarly study.

PHerc. 1667 began as a blackened, rolled mass of carbonized papyrus. To read it, we never unrolled it physically. Instead, we scanned it with high-resolution X-rays, reconstructed the wound sheet inside the volume, flattened it into a readable surface, and used machine learning to bring out the faint traces of ancient ink.

…PHerc. 1667 is what survives of a larger roll: earlier attempts to open it by hand — in the 19th century, and again in 1969 and the 1980s — destroyed its outer layers and left only the compact inner core, about 8 cm of an original height of 19–24 cm. From that surviving portion we have now recovered and read the text in full — the lower parts of some 22 columns, transcribed and reviewed by papyrologists. It is the first time the preserved text of a rolled Herculaneum scroll has been read continuously, end to end, rather than in isolated words or patches.

The recovered text is a philosophical treatise on ethics, and the evidence points to a Stoic work: it turns on human nature, impulse, and the moral progress of human beings, and its final preserved column names Aristocreon — nephew and disciple of the great Stoic Chrysippus — which, together with the language and themes of the text, places it in a Stoic context and dates it to the 2nd century BC.

Because the papyrus is damaged, the readings are fragmentary, with gaps where the surface is lost. Even so, several passages can be read clearly for the first time in two thousand years.

…The scans were acquired with high-resolution phase-contrast X-ray microtomography on the BM18 beamline at the European Synchrotron Radiation Facility (ESRF) in Grenoble — an instrument able to resolve the wafer-thin, densely packed layers of a Herculaneum roll. The work was carried out in collaboration with the National Library of Naples “Vittorio Emanuele III”, which safeguards the Herculaneum papyri. From those volumes, the team reconstructed the scroll’s geometry, traced and flattened its surface into a readable sheet, and trained machine-learning models to detect ink that is almost indistinguishable from the carbonized papyrus beneath it. Each reading was then examined and transcribed by papyrologists.

«

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About those “hackquisitions”… • Spyglass

MG Siegler:

»

The news that Noam Shazeer is (once again) leaving Google seems like a big deal. The news that he’s joining OpenAI, which turned the transformer paper he helped write into a product that he couldn’t launch (in his first stint) at Google seems like an even bigger deal. Bigger still may be the fact that he had rejoined to help the Gemini product take on ChatGPT, which was seemingly working, at least to some degree. But actually, the biggest deal has to be the actual deal that brought him back to Google. Because it wasn’t even two years ago when Google paid $2.7B to bring Shazeer back.

And like that – poof – he’s gone.

To be fair, there were others on the Character.ai team that Google seemingly wanted too. The non-exclusive licensing rights for Character? Probably less so. If anything, that aspect of the deal has ranged from a headache to a nightmare.1 But clearly it was a deal structure in such a way to get Shazeer back with an offer he couldn’t refuse. And he didn’t. Until he did. Again.

That deal structure, of course, was one of the early “hackquisitions” – a deal to bring on a company’s key talent without acquiring the company itself. Because that clearly would have been messy from a regulatory perspective for any of Big Tech. If nothing else, such deals would be bogged down for months while they’re scrutinized. A “hackquisition”, by contrast, could be done almost instantly.

«

Siegler goes into quite some details about all the hackquisitions that are going on among all the AI companies. It’s a lot, and there seems to be an absolute revolving door between all the different companies. But also: it’s hard to see whether AI progress is really reliant on any particular one of these researchers. Is it like a football team, where individuals matter but it’s the team that makes it, or like tennis players, where the individual is what counts?
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When cybercriminals hire burglars: inside an alleged Russian effort to infiltrate multibillion-dollar US law firms • CNN Politics

Sean Lyngaas:

»

When an executive at a US law firm’s phone rang in April, the voice on the other end was urgent: A computer virus was spreading through the firm.

The caller said they were from IT support and needed physical access to the lawyer’s computer because remote fixes to stop the attack weren’t working. The lawyer told his purported colleague to swing by his desk at the law firm’s office in New Jersey.

The next day, the firm’s receptionist called: The lawyer had a visitor from IT at the front desk.

“That’s when an alarm bell went off: Why would an IT person need to check in with reception?” said Leeann Nicolo, who handles incident response for cybersecurity insurance firm Coalition, which the law firm hired to investigate the incident.

The visitor ran out of the building when the lawyer approached the front desk, according to Nicolo.

It’s one of several incidents at law firms across the country in the last year in which, the FBI and private investigators suspect, the Russian-speaking Silent Ransom Group has hired people in the US to show up in-person and plug thumb drives into law firms’ computers. The physical access could help bypass anti-virus protections that the hackers run up against from afar.

The group’s millions of dollars in returns contrasts with its modest investments: In a private Telegram channel, the group is offering $500 to people to visit law firms and plug in USB sticks, one cybersecurity professional familiar with the incidents told CNN.

The hired hands are “cannon fodder” for the Russian-speaking cybercriminals — expendable assets in a much larger cybercrime war, the source said.

«

The scheme is: get data about the law firms’ clients, leak it if the companies won’t pay a ransom after they’re hit by ransomware.
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Why have papers by one of history’s most famous physicists been retracted? • Science

Sam Kean:

»

In early May, Yves Gingras, a historian of physics at the University of Quebec (UQ) at Montreal, was browsing Retraction Watch, a website that catalogs fraud, data manipulation, and other scientific sins. He noticed a link that read “Retractions by Nobel Prize winners.” Were there really Nobel laureates whose papers had been withdrawn from the scientific literature?

After clicking, Gingras froze. “That’s impossible,” he recalls thinking. The fourth name on the list, with two retracted papers, was Max Planck—a legendary pioneer of quantum mechanics and the 1918 Nobel laureate in physics. Gingras had never heard a whiff of scandal about Planck, who was almost as widely revered for his character as his physics. In 1933, for example, he bravely confronted Adolf Hitler over Nazi Germany’s discriminatory laws against Jews.

Gingras called up Mahdi Khelfaoui, a fellow historian of science at UQ Trois-Rivières. “There’s something fishy,” Gingras said. The papers, both quietly retracted in 2011, originally appeared in the early 1940s in Naturwissenschaften, a German journal now owned by publishing giant Springer Nature. After some sleuthing, Khelfaoui determined one of the Planck pieces, a philosophical essay from 1942 titled “Sinn und Grenzen der exakten Wissenschaft” (“Meaning and Limits of Exact Science”), about how to achieve certainty in scientific knowledge, had also appeared in two other journals and been reprinted twice in books.

Repackaging the same work multiple times is considered “self-plagiarism” and frowned upon today—the practice produces copyright conflicts and inflates scholars’ publication records. The Naturwissenschaften site gives “copyright violation” as the reason for the retraction.

Yet publishing identical material in multiple journals was widespread before the internet. “Science was more fragmented” then, Khelfaoui says. “You wanted different audiences …  to have access to your work.” The practice was especially common for luminaries like Planck. Albert Einstein did the same (but escaped retractions).

Springer Nature’s “anachronistic” application of modern standards to a 1942 paper “distort[s] the historical record,” Gingras and Khelfaoui argue in a preprint posted last month on arXiv.

«

Seems that a bot thought it was copying somewhere else, and removed it. But:

»

Springer Nature was nevertheless still selling the empty PDF for $39.95 until this story was published.

«

Never change, academic publishers.
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Spurious copyright claim sees second Press Gazette story removed from Google search • Press Gazette

Dominic Ponsford:

»

A Press Gazette article exposing the dubious ‘parasite SEO’ tactics of online marketing company Clickout Media has been removed from Google search results after a spurious anonymous legal challenge.

A mysterious entity called DRF Corp wrote to Google stating Press Gazette had “willfully violated copyright law by copying our entire content word for word, including all images, which are solely owned by our company” even though the content allegedly copied was on an unrelated subject.

It is the second time a fake copyright claim has been used to get Press Gazette reporting about Clickout Media removed from search engine results this year.

According to the Lumen database, the complaint was filed under the US Digital Millennium Copyright Act.

It alleged that the original article was a month-old (now removed) Reddit post headlined: “Casinos Not Gamstop in 2026: The Brutally Honest Truth Before You Deposit.”

The Press Gazette article removed by Google from search results, which was published last week, details how Clickout Media has bought three reputable UK sports news websites and introduced AI-generated reporters whose stories are littered with errors and fabrications. It is headlined: “AI reporters churn out error-strewn stories for football websites.”

This article no longer appears in Google search results. Any search that would have previously surfaced the story now includes the following disclaimer from Google: “In response to a complaint that we received under the US Digital Millennium Copyright Act we have removed results from this page.”

«

Odd how the Reddit post has been removed, which makes it harder to verify whether it is indeed exactly the same as the Press Gazette story. (It isn’t.) This adds more detail to the story yesterday about Clickout Media. There’s more to come about this company and its partners. Press Gazette might just be annoyed enough to go and find it.
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Pollen tried to remove my article about CEO Callum Negus-Fancey and CTO Bradley Wright, and Google is assisting with it • The Pragmatic Engineer

Gergely Orosz:

»

In 2022, I wrote about the damning fall of events tech company Pollen. The short of it:

»

Pollen seemed to have pulled off the improbable feat of building a business in the notoriously low margin industry of events, surviving Covid-19, and building a solid software engineering organization. In April this year, the company announced it had raised another $150M in fresh funding.

But just three weeks later, Pollen laid off about 200 people, a third of staff. Leadership assured employees all was well. However, from that point on, things got worse. Leadership later pulled the plug on Slack, employees were not paid wages, pension contributions went missing, and vendors were not paid. Some vendors took matters into their own hands; on 9 August 2022, JIRA was suspended when Atlassian tired of the company’s failure to pay.

On 10 August 2022, Pollen went bankrupt, collapsing into administration.

«

The article looked bad on Pollen’s founder, Callum Negus-Fancey. He was ultimately responsible for lying to staff, not paying salaries, the missing pension contributions, and the unpaid health insurance for US employees. The story was so bad that the BBC created a documentary titled Crashed: $800M Festival Fail. 

And then there was the $3.2m double charge for customers, manually initiated by CTO Bradley Wright, detailed extensively in the documentary Crashed: $800m Festival Fail. That double charge would have been trivial to reverse, but the reversal never happened, customers never got their money back, and the postmortem of the incident was never released to staff.

Four years later, Pollen and Callum Negus-Fancey are attempting to erase this shameful story from the public record. The article is my original writing, and thus I am the copyright holder of it. So imagine my surprise when I was notified that Google removed the article from its search results thanks to a copyright infringement claim it received.

«

Guess what? Google removed his article from its search results, based on a copyright claim made by an unknown owner (from an uninhabited country) against an unspecified source. Orosz eventually found the complaint, which asserts that it’s a copy of a New York Post article. It isn’t (that article has a URL ending “band-leader-hits-winning-chord”). Google might want to look at how it’s being abused.
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Bracing for layoffs, unionized Xbox developers hold press conference to make their point • IGN

Cade Onder:

»

Unionized Xbox employees are pushing back against the company’s looming layoffs and have outlined various demands.

Earlier today, the CWA (Communications Workers of America) held a press conference in which various unionized Xbox employees spoke out against Microsoft. The conference was held ahead of reported layoffs at Xbox, which insiders have stated will be a “bloodbath.”

It’s also a painful reminder of last year’s layoffs at Microsoft, where 9,000 people lost their jobs across the entire company (not just Xbox) and resulted in multiple projects being cancelled, including the long-awaited reboot of Perfect Dark. The studio behind that game, The Initative, was also shuttered without having ever released a game.

The upcoming layoffs reportedly puts more studios, such as Double Fine and Ninja Theory, at risk of closure. South of Midnight developer Complusion Games is also reportedly at risk of shutting down, despite winning a Peabody Award earlier this year. New Xbox boss Asha Sharma celebrated the win on her socials, months before the studio’s reported demise: “A well-deserved recognition for storytelling that truly matters!”

…It remains to be seen what will come of this, but Activision QA tester Andrew Snell and [Diablo senior environment artist Mahreen] Fatima both made it clear that Microsoft’s actions don’t just impact workers, but also the players: “Workers and players are on the same side of this and we’re done paying for executives’ failures,” said Snell.

“We, the developers, demand that you respect our labor and our games,” added Fatima. “Together we’ve built a huge community and touched the lives of millions of gamers everywhere. Don’t disrespect the developers. Don’t disrespect the gamers.”

«

This really does look like it will be bloody. The quarter ended on Tuesday, so now Microsoft can announce any cuts it feels like making in Xbox. They’re expected to be hefty.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2696: WhatsApp to offer usernames, “frictionmaxxing” with iPods, Apple fights UK patent ruling, TikTok Today?, and more


We worry about the “dangers” of radiation, but the risk seems to be overplayed, and that has harmed progress. CC-licensed photo by John Jones on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 10 links for you. High energy. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


How to lie about radiation • Works In Progress

Alex Chalmers and Ben Southwood:

»

Chernobyl is the only accident in commercial nuclear history that has exposed people to large enough doses of radiation to poison and kill them. But even it has caused only hundreds of early deaths, despite the exposure of millions of people in the exclusion zone and nearby. Radiation impacts on Scandinavia and Germany, where there were major fears about the effects of the fallout, were nugatory. Evacuations and relocations to avoid small additional background radiation levels may have caused more harm than they averted. The same is true of Fukushima and Three Mile Island, the other two large nuclear disasters, but to an even greater extent: neither saw any responders die of the direct effects of radiation, and neither shows any clear impact on cancer rates.

Two years before Chernobyl, an explosion at a pesticide plant in Bhopal, India, released toxic methyl isocyanate gas that killed at least 2,000 people instantly, permanently disabled another 4,000, and caused 550,000 injuries in total. In 1975, the Banqiao Dam in China failed, flooding 12,000 square kilometers, drowning at least 25,000 people, and destroying perhaps five million houses. 

Whereas Chernobyl is a household name, Bhopal and Banqiao are mostly familiar only to specialists. People have much greater familiarity with and concern about the risks created by nuclear power, and the world’s international radiation protection regime is based on the idea that any release of radioactive material from a nuclear power plant is intolerable. This has led to regulations that have increased the costs of nuclear electricity over time to the point where it is widely considered a slow, backward, and ineffective technology. 

«

Chalmers and Southwood argue – with data! – that we are far too cautious about radiation; that the studies which suggest that any amount, even the tiniest, will accrue like savings in a bank account are wrong, and that instead it’s more like drinking beer: you’d drink one a night for a year without effect, but drinking 365 in a night would do all sorts of harm. Chernobyl and, after it, Fukushima show the latter model is more like the truth. Which means we’ve been squashing nuclear energy for no good reason for decades.
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WhatsApp to let people chat without swapping phone numbers • BBC News

Zoe Kleinman:

»

WhatsApp is set to let people chat without having to reveal their phone number – by exchanging unique usernames instead.

It will be rolled out globally to the platform’s three billion account holders over the next few months, the platform said.

From Monday, users will start being able to reserve a name via the app, although it will not be compulsory.
The firm said people would be able to remove or change their usernames at any time.

Once it is fully activated, WhatsApp users will be able to connect after exchanging usernames only. There will still be options to block or report unwanted messages.

Names will be limited to 35 characters and there will be few restrictions, with the exception of some high profile officials and celebrities whose names will not be made available to anyone else. So it’s unlikely WhatsApp will be overrun with users calling themselves Donald Trump, for example.

The Meta-owned firm described usernames as a privacy feature.

Alice Newton-Rex, WhatsApp’s head of product, said she had heard from users that they didn’t always want to share their phone numbers in order to be in contact with others, particularly in group chats.

She said she hoped the feature would “give users control over how they choose to show up” on the app.

«

Signal has had this feature for a while, I believe. It’s going to be a fun few months while this all gets ironed out and people jockey for position. Will a username be tied to a phone number, though? If you change phone number, what happens to your username?
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AI has lots of people digging out their iPods • Harvard Gazette

Sy Boles spoke to Sara Watson, an analyst who looks at social trends in relation to technology:

»

I’m noticing a resurgence in interest in going offline, “grandma hobbies” like knitting or crochet. Aesthetics like punk zines, hand lettering, collage. Another version of that is cyberdecks — people creating their own custom-built computers and keyboards in a converted purse or a suitcase. It’s all highly customized, hyper-personalized, and it’s all about increasing control over our devices. I would put iPods into this category as well — people finding vintage iPods and saying, “Isn’t it nice to have my entire music collection without ads, without needing a WiFi connection?” There is a particular desire to be offline. I know folks with flip phones or Light Phone devices. L.L. Bean is selling boat bags embroidered with “analog” and “off the grid.” Land’s End catalog proclaimed “analog summer.” The trends are real. 

What these trends have in common is definitely “friction-maxxing,” in today’s parlance. But I also think it’s a bit of a refusal of the economic logic behind these platforms that have driven us down the algorithmic attention rabbit hole. I see it as a form of resisting the system. Sure, some of it still results in consumer behavior — the irony of posting on Instagram what you carry around in your analog bag — but to me it’s a reflection of, “OK, if we’re a market economy, one of the best tools I have in resisting the direction of this market is to demand alternatives and reflect that in my consumer behavior.” 

The other underlying theme is not only that we’re taking our attention back, but we’re also trying to reassert the fact that we have bodies. There’s a kind of nostalgic, embodied, tactile factor to these trends. The Y2K-aesthetic CD players were a joyful, tactile experience. We enjoyed typing on a mechanical keyboard as opposed to glass screens.

«

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Apple to fight $500m patent bill at UK Supreme Court • Financial Times

Alistair Gray:

»

Apple is heading to the UK’s highest court to fight a $500mn bill that judges have said the tech giant must pay to embed patented mobile technology in its devices, such as iPhones, worldwide.

The Supreme Court case, due to begin on Monday, is the climax of a bitter, long-running dispute over patents for highly technical standards that underpin voice and data communications between mobile devices.

Apple, which is being supported by a powerful coalition including chipmaker Intel and leading Hollywood film studios, has warned that if it loses the case other device makers could face large patent bills, threatening to stifle innovation and increase prices for consumers. Legal principles established in the case will set a precedent that will help shape global royalty rates for other technologies.

Original contributors to complex protocols that underpin mobile connections, including Ericsson, Samsung and Panasonic, sold a selection of the patents in stages to a group called Optis.

Optis is owned by funds managed by New York hedge fund and private equity manager Brevet Capital.

Negotiations over licensing terms between Apple and Optis collapsed in 2019, prompting the patent owner to sue in England, where the courts have the power to set global royalty rates. In 2023 the High Court in London ruled that Apple had to pay $56m to Optis, but the Court of Appeal last year increased the iPhone maker’s bill ninefold to $502m.

The Court of Appeal arrived at the figure in part by using a deal that Optis struck with Google as a baseline.

«

These sorts of patent fights used to be a constant backdrop to tech news. You can read all about it on the Supreme Court website. The hearing will only last until Wednesday, but it’s anyone’s guess when the decision will come down.
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Supreme Court ruling guts government’s use of geofence warrants • Ars Technica

Ashley Belanger:

»

The Fourth Amendment protects a user’s “location history,” the Supreme Court ruled Monday.

The same logic already applied to a cellphone’s tracking, and the high court found “no good reason exists to reach a different result for Location History” collected by third parties like Google.

Split 6-3, the majority agreed that the government needs a warrant and must show reasonable cause to turn a phone’s location-tracking services into a government surveillance tool.

The decision came in a case where cops used so-called geofence warrants to track down an armed bank robber from a list of all phones logged in the area. Applying a three-part process, cops worked with Google to narrow down the list of suspects and eventually arrested Okello Chatrie, who had opted in to share his location with Google every few minutes. Chatrie was sentenced to 12 years in prison but challenged the geofence warrant as an unconstitutional search.

The US tried and failed to argue that no search was conducted under the Fourth Amendment, partly because they only searched a little bit of Chatrie’s location data, which the government considered too small to warrant privacy protections.

They also claimed that Chatrie was aware that voluntarily sharing his location with Google could mean that law enforcement might get access to the data. And along similar lines, the government argued that Chatrie’s data simply showed his movements in public, where he supposedly had no reasonable expectation of privacy.

However, Justice Elena Kagan, penning the majority opinion, said it didn’t matter how much data the government obtained. It was still a search under the Fourth Amendment because people carrying cellphones today commonly opt in to location-tracking, so that their apps work.

«

The original search was inspired – a clever way to track down a bank robber – but the efforts afterwards to claim that “it wasn’t a BIG violation” looks a bit desperate.
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Today programme suffers ‘body blow’ as BBC prioritises social and digital content • The Guardian

Michael Savage:

»

The task of briefing the nation on Radio 4’s agenda-setting Today programme has been one of the most urgent tasks facing the BBC’s top journalists for decades.

Insiders at the corporation, however, say that duty has effectively been downgraded, after an edict that will result in correspondents prioritising making content for TikTok, Instagram and other digital platforms.

The Guardian understands that staff at Today were told last week that social and digital platforms were now the top priority for correspondents, effectively deprioritising traditional television and radio – including the flagship show.

Combined with cuts to the number of journalists, some fear the change will increasingly mean Today being forced to use non-BBC reporters and spokespeople, especially in the early part of its three-hour run.

“This feels like a tweak but it’s actually a body blow,” said one Radio 4 insider. “Today has stayed healthy in the digital age by being well resourced and dependable … if something happens and you need to know about it – perhaps before going to work – then no other broadcaster can match it.

“But the plan appears to be for Today to hear from, for instance Steve Rosenberg [the BBC’s Russia correspondent] if Putin dies, only after Steve has satisfied people who get their news on TikTok. Those 10 minutes serve to chip away the relevance of Today to the life of the nation. This is an act of vandalism pure and simple.”

Some staff were said to be alarmed and despondent about the new priority given to digital and social media content.

Others believe the shift is inevitable and will not stop prominent BBC names from appearing on Today. Like all news organisations, the corporation is attempting to adapt to the rapid shift in audiences towards digital platforms, where many younger age groups get their news.

«

There is a certain obstinacy about this. Rosenberg would probably reach more people with that news on TikTok than will tune in to the Today programme, which claims 5 million listeners. Does it become more important by being on the Today programme? Or should the aim be to reach more people?
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The patient barely lost weight on GLP-1s. He got better anyway. Why? • Substance Over Noise

Michael Albert:

»

Marcus [a composite of multiple patients] came to me to lose weight. He was 54, carrying about 110 extra pounds [50kg], and every approach the internet had sold him had already failed to deliver lasting results. We started semaglutide. We titrated carefully. And a year later, he had lost a little under 5% of his body weight.

By the standard scoreboard of my specialty, Marcus was a non-responder. A disappointment. The kind of result that makes a patient feel like a personal failure and makes a physician start reaching for the next intervention.
Then I looked at the rest of his chart.

His A1c had dropped into the normal range. His liver enzymes, elevated for years, had quietly normalized. His blood pressure was down. His wife reported he had stopped snoring. He could walk the dog the full loop now without his calves seizing up, and his knees hurt less on the stairs. The man had barely moved the needle on the scale, and almost every meaningful marker of his health had improved anyway.

That was the moment I stopped trusting the scoreboard. Marcus wasn’t a non-responder. I had been measuring the wrong thing.

Here is the question that has reorganized how I practice. If a weight loss drug improves a patient’s heart, kidneys, liver, and airway without the weight loss, then what exactly is it treating? Because it cannot be the fat. The fat is still there.

The answer turns out to be the most important story in metabolic medicine right now. It is buried in a stack of Phase 3 trials published over the past 18 months, and almost nobody outside the field has put the pieces together. Let me do that here.

«

The short version: Albert reckons that GLP-1s reduce low-grade inflammation, and that that has positive effects all over the body even if there’s minimal weight loss.
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Has Ukraine turned the tide? • The American Prospect

Ryan Cooper:

»

This year, the [Ukrainian]air campaign against Russia has stepped up a lot, and with much heavier ordnance. Ukraine has hit oil refineries, storage vessels, pipelines, factories, ships, and many other targets. Several Flamingo missiles were used in a successful recent attack on Cheboksary, about 600 miles from the Ukrainian border. Damage to the Russian oil industry seriously dented its ability to profit from the price increase caused by Trump’s war on Iran. Midrange drones have made the region behind Russian lines extremely dangerous, and badly tangled up its logistics.

Ukraine has even managed to hit Moscow, which is 300 miles from the Ukrainian border and has elaborate air defenses. On June 18, Ukrainian forces hit a major oil refinery on the outskirts of the city, and on June 26 they carried out the largest drone attack of the year so far, hitting targets from Moscow to Crimea. In the latter location, fuel is now critically short and the government has declared a state of emergency.

On the ground at the front lines, as Jack Watling writes at Foreign Affairs, while last year Ukraine was struggling with a chronic infantry shortage and an inability to rotate its troops off the front lines, it has since reorganized its structure and training system, and growing air dominance is allowing troops to get away for vital rest and recovery time.

Something of the opposite situation is taking hold on the Russian side, with undertrained recruits being slaughtered or deserting so quickly that it can’t stay ahead of the losses despite some 30,000 recruits per month. Corruption is also eating Russian forces from the inside. As the military analyst Perun points out, corruption can undermine military performance in many ways far beyond the obvious waste or theft of resources. For instance, when units bribe their commanders to skip out on an attack, or pretend to take a position by snapping a quick picture and running for it, commanders higher up the chain of command lose track of what is actually happening on the battlefield, and which forces are where. Morale and unit cohesion are undermined.

…Incidentally, all this implies that the Biden administration’s nuanced support for Ukraine—which I’ll admit, I supported at the time—was far too timid and limited. If Ukraine had had full access to ATACMS long-range missiles in 2023, they could have inflicted untold damage with a surprise strike on Russian forces, who were seriously overstretched and vulnerable at the time. A no-holds-barred approach might have ended the war by now.

At any rate, this conflict is far from over. Vladimir Putin could attempt a full-scale war mobilization and bring Russia’s superior manpower and economic heft to bear. But this would create massive disruptions in Russian society and its economy. The labor shortage would get much worse, and inflation might get out of hand, touching off serious unrest.

«

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Xbox reportedly pausing new third-party Game Pass deals, developers say • Video Games Chronicle

Jordan Middler:

»

Xbox is slowing down the frequency of third-party Xbox Game Pass deals, according to Fernando Rizo, Partner at Kaboodle Games, citing conversations with fellow developers.

While Xbox Game Pass has largely sold itself on the inclusion of first-party Microsoft games at launch, the service has also been home to many third-party titles, both AAA and indie.

Specifically in the indie space, these Game Pass deals have often been lauded as a way to mitigate risk for developers, offering guaranteed money rather than facing market uncertainty.

Now, speaking on The Business of Video Game Podcast, hosted by Shams Jorjani, CEO of Arrowhead Game Studios, Rizo alleged that those Game Pass deals may be slowing amid an uncertain period for Microsoft’s gaming brand.

“I was at a trade show in Italy, had some nice lunches, some nice dinners with industry colleagues,” said Rizo. “Word on the street was that loads of people who were in the frame for Game Pass deals, i.e, you know, nothing was inked yet, but the deals were in advanced discussions… Everybody got the rug pulled out from under them.”

When Jorjani asked whether Rizo thinks new deals are “kiboshed,” Rizo replied that they’re “on pause.”

«

I’m starting to feel that there are huge question marks over the entire Xbox franchise and its future, and that now spreads to the people and companies making games for it.
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AI reporters churn out error-strewn stories for football websites • Press Gazette

Rob Waugh:

»

Three reputable sport news websites – She Kicks, Football Blog and Sportscasting – have introduced AI-generated reporters whose reports are strewn with errors and fabrications.

All three sites were bought by digital marketing outfit Clickout Media in recent months, a business which has a history of buying once-viable websites to harvest their good reputations with Google to market online casinos (whilst replacing human writers with AI avatars).

Previously, these three football brands employed multiple human journalists. She Kicks is the website for Britain’s oldest women’s football magazine, which has been published since 1996, with the website live since 2001. Football Blog has been published since 2004.

New reporters have steadily appeared on She Kicks, such as Isabella Torres, producing AI-written versions of articles which have previously appeared elsewhere online.

A recent report on this year’s Women’s FA Cup Final pitting Manchester City against Brighton (published, then rapidly taken down, but screenshotted by Press Gazette) is riddled with basic errors.

The report got the score wrong (2-0, whereas in fact it was 4-0), with the goalscorers and descriptions of the goals also incorrect.

There were also multiple players described as playing who are either not in the teams or who had already left.

…Clickout Media’s turnover was £40m in 2024, the last year for which data was available, although the company declared a loss of £3m and thus paid no tax.

«

This article disappeared from Google’s search results after someone or some organisation lodged a “copyright claim”. Rather hard to know what Google’s examination suggested was in breach of copyright.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2695: how Android phones warned of Venezuela’s quakes, lessons from the RAM shock, Google rations Gemini, and more


Obliging providers of new car parks to cover them with solar panels seems a smart idea. Yet the UK government has rejected it, without explanation. CC-licensed photo by ATIS547 on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.

A selection of 9 links for you. Hot in herre. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


How phones alerted millions before earthquakes shook Venezuela • The New York Times

Amy Graff and Martín González Gómez:

»

Jose Flores was driving with his family to see “Toy Story 5” on Wednesday in Caracas, Venezuela, when a loud earthquake alert went off on his wife’s Google Android phone. Six seconds later, he felt the earth starting to shake.

Venezuela does not have a national early warning system of its own, but people with Android phones received alerts from Google’s Earthquake Alerts system, which can pull data from more than two billion phones equipped with built-in accelerometers. The same sensor that detects rotation on the screen can also sense vibrations from seismic waves.

Google said the system, which is available in nearly 100 countries, sent warnings that reached 11.4 million people on Wednesday, giving users seconds or up to two minutes notice before back-to-back powerful earthquakes struck.

Several countries, including Japan, Mexico, Canada and the United States, have government-operated early warning systems. These largely rely on widespread regional networks of underground sensors that detect earthquakes and can send alerts to most phones — iPhone or Android — via government alert settings that are often enabled by default.

When earthquakes hit, they send out two types of waves that travel at different speeds. The fast-moving and milder primary waves, or P-waves, travel at four miles per second and are less likely to cause destruction. The slower and stronger secondary waves, or S-waves, travel at about half that speed and produce shaking.

When P-waves start radiating from the earthquake underground, Android phones sense the vibrations, start collecting data and send it back to Google servers for processing. The servers use information from many phones to figure out if an earthquake is happening. The phones have to be stationary — on a tabletop or in a bag on the floor, for example, and not in the pocket of someone walking around — in order to sense an earthquake.

The system quickly estimates the earthquake’s location and magnitude and then pushes alerts to phones. All Android phones in the affected region receive the alerts.

…Google started sending out alerts for earthquakes detected by Android phones in 2021, initially in New Zealand, Greece, Turkey, the Philippines and central Asia. It had expanded to 98 countries by 2023.

It’s too early to tell if these early warnings saved lives on Wednesday. But several seconds can provide enough time for people to take action to protect themselves. Most countries recommend that people “drop, cover and hold on” before the shaking starts.

«

There are videos showing families looking at their phones and getting out of buildings before the worst hits. Smartphones can save lives. It’s a tiny but brilliant innovation by Google.
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The memory shock: six readings from a supply-chain conversation • Asymco

Horace Dediu:

»

Here is a summary of wide-ranging conversation about the 2026 memory-price shock and its consequences for Apple. Six of my answers worth separating out.

1. Why pick on memory? The politics of a commodity
My estimate is that Apple will increase by about $100 the average price of iPhones. Beyond that, I can’t analyze politics. What I do know is there are plenty of suppliers, and the memory is sourced from Asia anyway, which raises the question of why it matters so much that it not be Chinese. The memory makers are in South Korea, Taiwan supplies the processors, Japan is in there with lenses and batteries and camera modules, and there’s plenty of US content too. It’s a global train.

If the decision is to pick memory out and call it “strategic”, I don’t see the logic, because the penalty for not doing something is simply that there’s no supply. How does that benefit Americans? Apple is a multinational with good customers everywhere, and of all the components you could single out, memory is a peculiar one to choose.

«

Horace Dediu is back analysing Apple stuff! He’s always worth listening to. There are five more points. Of course if Apple is feeling the pinch, then so is everyone else: IDC is forecasting that PC volumes will fall 11% for the whole year, including 20% in Q4, while prices rise 18%.
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Google caps Meta’s Gemini use as AI demand strains capacity • Financial Times

Hannah Murphy and Stephen Morris:

»

Google has put limits on Meta’s use of its Gemini AI models after the social media giant sought more computing capacity than the rival tech group could provide, in the latest evidence of the infrastructure constraints facing even the world’s largest AI providers.

Google told Meta around March that it could not provide all of the Gemini capacity the company wanted to purchase, according to three people familiar with the matter, in a move that has disrupted and delayed some of Meta’s internal AI projects.

Owing to the restrictions, which remain in place, as well as a broader push to streamline AI costs, Meta has encouraged staff to be more efficient with AI tokens — the units that measure AI usage, several people said.

Several other Google clients have been affected by the restrictions, although to a lesser extent, according to one person familiar with the matter. Meta has been particularly impacted because of its exceptionally high demand for Google’s models, the person said.

The decision by Google to cap a large customer’s access to its models offers a rare glimpse into the infrastructure pressures and bottlenecks building across the AI industry.

Despite spending tens of billions of dollars on chips, data centres and power, even the largest tech companies are struggling to secure enough computing power to support surging demand for advanced models and AI services.

«

The pinch here is likely to go on for a long time, because there’s no way that demand is going to fall without severe rationing, and the supply isn’t going to be here for months. Data centres don’t appear overnight.
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As Britain bakes, ministers quietly park plans for solar carports • East Anglia Bylines

East Anglia Bylines:

»

Last year, the Government launched a consultation on whether new large outdoor car parks should be required to include solar canopies. According to its own figures, a typical 80-space car park could save around £28,000 a year in electricity costs while generating renewable energy on land that has already been developed.

Unlike solar farms, these structures wouldn’t need additional countryside. The parking spaces remain exactly where they are. The only difference is that the empty air above them starts working too.

The consultation had highlighted concerns over costs, differing site conditions and whether a single national requirement was appropriate.

Despite those potential benefits, ministers concluded in a single-sentence update on the consultation page that the proposal “will not be taken any further at this point“. The decision was so understated, it attracted little attention outside specialist energy publications.

The update appeared on the Government’s website the day before Britain entered a record-breaking May heatwave. Now, as another spell of exceptional heat grips large parts of the country, the decision suddenly feels rather more relevant.

This isn’t a concept that has to be invented from scratch. They can already be found in corporate and council car parks, but they remain an exception rather than the rule. France has introduced legislation requiring them over many large outdoor car parks, with at least half of their surface expected to be covered unless exemptions apply. The aim is straightforward: generate renewable electricity without taking additional land, while making car parks more pleasant places to use.

…The countryside charity CPRE was among those disappointed by the government’s decision. Although often critical of large solar developments on agricultural land, it has consistently argued that more solar panels should be installed on rooftops, warehouses, car parks and other previously developed sites instead.

For regions such as East Anglia, where debates over large solar farms have become increasingly contentious, the idea has an obvious attraction.

«

Really want to see what evidence tipped the government’s thinking on this. There’s no clue on the response page.
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Mark Zuckerberg urges Meta to explore working with Polymarket and Kalshi • The New York Times

Mike Isaac:

»

Mark Zuckerberg, Meta’s chief executive, has urged his lieutenants to explore partnerships with the popular prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi as his company builds a similar app, three employees with knowledge of the matter said.

The app that Meta is creating, called Arena, could allow people to make bets on practically anything, aiming to capitalize on how prediction markets have become an increasingly big business. Internally, Meta’s executives have said Arena is different from Polymarket and Kalshi, which accept real-money wagers, because it will instead rely on video-game-like “points.”

But Mr. Zuckerberg has made Arena a top priority, and his plans for it go deeper than previously known. He has asked Meta executives to talk with Polymarket and Kalshi, though it is unclear how partnerships with them might work, said the three employees, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they had signed nondisclosure agreements.

Mr. Zuckerberg’s target demographic for Arena is 18- to 34-year-olds, the employees added, and Meta is aiming to reach at least 100 million monthly active “predictors” for the app. Arena is being positioned as a place where people can bet on sports, culture, entertainment, politics and finance against friends and family. Executives have called it an app “designed for everyone,” they said.

“We believe that prediction markets are one of the more interesting new content types,” Ime Archibong, a Meta vice president of product who is leading the Arena initiative, said in an internal post last month introducing the app, which was relayed to The New York Times. “With the right containers, the social conversation is the payoff as people aim to show off how good they are at predicting things to their friends.”

«

“It’s not betting, it’s not real money!” Pull the other one. There is a smell of desperation; Meta needs more engagement, and desperately wants to find a way to get the young demographic that is abandoning its platforms to come back. And Meta never saw a briefly successful idea it didn’t want to copy badly. Remember when it was going to launch its own cryptocurrency, Libra, which wouldn’t actually be a cryptocurrency, just available across Meta’s platforms for its users? That didn’t come to much. Ditto the Metaverse.
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Why carbon capture can’t conceivably solve climate change • ProPublica

Katie Worth, Lucas Waldron, Amy Westervelt and Maddie Stone:

»

For more than 40 years, oil companies have been funding research at prestigious universities into climate change “solutions” that would not require the public to stop using oil and gas. Among their favored fixes is carbon capture and storage.

An investigation by ProPublica and Drilled has found that boosters of CCS have ignored evidence of the technology’s limitations, or overstated its potential, and convinced the world it could be effective.

They’ve promoted this idea despite the fact that for CCS to work at the scale now envisioned, the world would need to devote almost unimaginable resources. Even if that were done, it might still prove impossible to trap so much carbon dioxide inside the earth.

Optimism has reigned, however, because small tests have worked and because slow global response to climate change has left few other options.

In 2008, the International Energy Agency projected that to stave off dangerous levels of warming, we would have to be burying around 1.6 billion tons, or 1,600 megatons, of CO2 per year by 2025.

Since then, its optimistic projections have continued.

But deployment of the technology has never come close to those ambitions.

Right now, globally, we’re permanently burying less CO2 than a single large power plant can emit in a year.

Some experts point to the CO2 that gets pumped into the ground to help extract oil as proof CCS works. But that process, called enhanced oil recovery, isn’t designed to function the same way and isn’t monitored as stringently.

«

It’s fine – all we need to do is get fusion power stations working, and they’ll generate so much energy they can easily filter out the 415 parts per million – yes, .0415% – of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Oh, fusion isn’t available? At all?

The IEA’s rosy projections for how much CCS will be achieved is in stark contrast to its gloomy forecasts about solar. Strange, that.
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Sony PlayStation is deleting 551 movies from customers’ accounts, reminding us nothing digital is ever truly ours • Kotaku

John Walker:

»

Sony is contacting PlayStation Store users who bought movies from the platform that were distributed by StudioCanal—like Terminator 2, Total Recall, and Confessions of a Dangerous Mind—to say that “you will no longer be able to access your previously purchased content from Studio Canal, and it will be removed from your video library.” There’s no mention of any refunds or make-goods for the affected users. Sony simply says the films are going away “due to our content licensing agreements,” once again reaffirming the fact that you are never truly buying anything that’s digital, just temporarily renting it.

This news was brought to people’s attention by X user somatyk, who posted the notification they had received from PlayStation this week. Along with the unapologetic news that the purchased movies would be deleted from their account on September 1, the message concluded with, “Click here for a full list of affected titles that will no longer be supported. Thank you.” The same warning is now reproduced in full on the PlayStation website, along with the list of 551 films and TV series that are being pulled from people’s libraries.

«

Just incredible. People might have handed their money to Sony yesterday; today, poof! And people wonder why piracy still has a foothold (and Blu-rays/DVDs slightly less so).
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A $2.5 billion whodunit: the hack that dented the UK economy • The New York Times

Adam GoldmanJane BradleyDustin Volz and Michael Schwirtz:

»

Last year, hackers burrowed into the computer systems of Jaguar Land Rover, a crown jewel of British manufacturing. It was a devastating attack that forced Jaguar to lock down its computers and suspend production for five weeks. The hack even put a dent in the broader economy, making it the costliest cyberattack in the nation’s history.

The hack was alarming, but also mysterious. There was never a demand for money, as is common in such intrusions. A loose collective of hackers that included some in Britain took credit. Their claim led to news media speculation that they were the culprits.

They were not. A group of Russian hackers was responsible, according to five people familiar with an investigation into the hack. They spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the case.

Law enforcement and private-sector cyber-response specialists from Britain and the United States determined that the attack was different in methodology and motivation from the hacking collective, said four of the people.
Authorities are still sorting through the murky details trying to determine whether the attackers were operating at the behest of the Kremlin, or with its tacit assent.

…New reporting by The New York Times uncovered other details of the investigation. Microsoft, for instance, had been tracking the Russian group and alerted Jaguar to who had breached its systems, according to four of the people familiar with the case. The hackers had used novel ransomware with an encryption algorithm that some cybersecurity experts had not seen in previous attacks. One described it as “mind-blowing.”

…Some clues emerged as the investigation continued. The attack was highly orchestrated. The hackers exploited vulnerabilities in aging technology, then unleashed advanced ransomware meant to hijack the company’s networks.

Experts say these types of techniques are more common among nation states than cyber criminals who are looking for a big payday without spending much money. Nation states can also fund cybercriminals or provide them with hacking tools.

Russia is the biggest source of cybercrime in the world and its intelligence services have long worked hand in glove with cybercriminals to conduct espionage and carry out attacks, according to western security agencies.

«

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Om • Daring Fireball

John Gruber:

»

Om [Malik] died two days ago, after a long battle against a bum heart.

Om and I often sat next to each other at Apple keynotes. This was not at all surprising or odd, insofar as we’d been friends for 20 years. Folks at Apple PR knew that we were close, and would often pair us together in post-keynote media briefings. I always enjoyed being paired with him. He asked keen questions. He saw through bullshit. He found holes in arguments. He took everything in. When I felt overwhelmed, he seemed serene. Om always seemed serene, period. His own photography reflects his presence.

«

Malik was clearly a very popular person within Silicon Valley and the reporting groups around it. The only visibility I had of him was via Gigaom (the blog he ran) and then his personal blog. So it seems appropriate to let John Gruber, who knew him well, write his eulogy.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2694: Apple raises prices (but not on iPhones), Xbox ups prices, whistleblower sues Meta, Instagram’s TV plan, and more


An investigation into a crime prediction system used by Bristol police suggests in some cases it really didn’t work at all. CC-licensed photo by Matt Gibson on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 9 links for you. Guilty? I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Apple increases MacBook and iPad prices by 20% • Financial Times

Michael Acton:

»

Apple has increased the price of MacBooks and iPads by about 20%, one of the broadest price rises in its history, as the iPhone maker blamed memory chip shortages caused by the AI infrastructure boom.

Apple’s decision to substantially increase the cost of its entire line of laptop and tablet products spooked investors on Thursday, with a 6.1% share fall wiping $263bn from Apple’s market capitalisation.

It marked Apple’s biggest single-day fall since early April last year, when US President Donald Trump announced his “liberation day” tariffs, and the stock’s second-biggest one-day drop in valuation on record.

The $4tn US tech giant said on Thursday that the consumer technology industry was facing an “unprecedented challenge”, with memory prices rising so quickly that it would have to pass the costs on to customers.

Apple chief executive Tim Cook had warned last week that price increases this year would be “unavoidable” because of the “unsustainable” cost of memory and storage.

But it has so far stopped short of raising prices for the iPhone, Apple’s blockbuster product that still accounts for about half of its revenue.

“The rapid expansion of AI data centres has created an extraordinary surge in demand for memory and storage,” Apple said. “We know this is not welcome news, and we are working tirelessly to find solutions.” 

…The iPhone maker joins a growing list of consumer technology companies that have raised the prices of their products citing the memory shortfall this year. Laptop makers Dell, HP, Lenovo and Asus have already flagged similar price increases, while Samsung raised the price of two models of its new S26 smartphone in the US by $100. 

…The DRam market is dominated by US company Micron and South Korea’s SK Hynix and Samsung, all three of which have surpassed $1tn valuations this year as they profit from the massive demand for advanced high-bandwidth memory from AI “hyperscalers” such as Google, Meta and Amazon.

«

Micron announced quarterly profits up 15-fold and margins of over 80% on Wednesday. You could say that Tim Cook (and the other Apple people) are not delighted at the way the memory makers have them over a barrel.

The shoe yet to drop: no changes to iPhone prices. Yet.
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Updated XBOX console prices • XBOX Wire

Joe Skrebels, XBOX Wire Editor-in-Chief:

»

Effective August 1, 2026, we will be updating prices worldwide. The price of XBOX consoles will increase by US$100 for 512 GB models and US$150 for 1 TB models. We will also be sunsetting our 2 TB model.

Last October, we increased XBOX console price by $20-$70 in the U.S. We hoped another price increase would not be necessary, and we have spent the last several months working with suppliers on options. Unfortunately, console storage and memory prices have increased by more than 2.5x and we expect another doubling by the fall of 2027. The entire consumer electronics industry is struggling with the current components crisis, but the effects are particularly hard on consoles. Unlike phones, computers, speakers, and other consumer devices, consoles are typically not sold at a profit, but instead for less than they cost to make.

«

It seemed like Apple gave Microsoft the excuse to raise its prices once again. Those are scary figures, and the question feels like: are the prices going to come down any time soon? 2028 feels like – is – a long way distant. Presumably we can expect Nintendo and Sony to follow in time.
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Whistleblower Sarah Wynn-Williams sues Meta over attempts to “silence” her • The Guardian

Ella Creamer and Michael Savage:

»

The Meta whistleblower Sarah Wynn-Williams is suing the tech company over its efforts to “silence” her.

A 57-page complaint filed to a US district court in California on Thursday argues that an interim arbitration ruling sought by Meta preventing Wynn-Williams from publicising her memoir, Careless People, was “improper and unlawful” and a “blatant violation of the first amendment”. It also accuses the company of “coercive surveillance”.

Wynn-Williams, who between 2011 and 2017 served as director of global public policy at Facebook, published her memoir of her time at the company in March 2025. The book contained allegations of a toxic internal culture, including sexual harassment and gender-based discriminatory practices. The company has described the book as a “mix of out-of-date and previously reported claims about the company and false accusations about our executives”.

Upon publication, Meta sought an emergency order preventing Wynn-Williams from promoting the book, on the basis that she had signed a severance agreement that included arbitration and non-disparagement clauses.

Thursday’s complaint, accompanied by a 285-page declaration by Wynn-Williams, argues that the severance agreement is unenforceable partly because it was signed under financial duress. It says when Facebook fired Wynn-Williams in August 2017, the company knew her termination would take away “critical employment benefits” – described as “cornerstones of her financial stability” – meaning she “had no choice” but to accept the severance agreement, allowing her to retain many of the benefits and obtain a significant cash payment.

«

Freedom of speech also comes under Article 19 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights:

»

“This article states: “Everyone has the right to freedom of opinion and expression; this right includes freedom to hold opinions without interference and to seek, receive and impart information and ideas through any media and regardless of frontiers.” In essence, the Universal Declaration of Human Rights Article 19 meaning is a dual guarantee: it protects the inner liberty to form thoughts and the outward liberty to share them, encompassing the entire cycle of information—from seeking knowledge to disseminating ideas across all platforms without borders.”

«

Perhaps she had to build up a sufficient warchest before filing the suit, because though the case seems strong on its face. It is coercive, and it has been surveilling her in order to fulfil the coercion.
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British Police built a sprawling crime-prediction machine. Some results couldn’t be trusted • WIRED

Matt Burgess and Mark Wilding:

»

The Think family database holds records on close to half a million people who live in the city of Bristol, England. For many years, few of them knew anything about it.

Launched in 2016 by the Bristol City Council and the regional Avon and Somerset Police, the database has stored all manner of sensitive information—police intelligence reports, housing status, mental health records, teenage pregnancies, enrollment in parenting courses, free school meals. On top of this sensitive data, officials built machine-learning models to assign scores to thousands of adults and children. They hoped to build what they called a “picture of threat, harm, and risk” in the region. At an event in early 2022 to help officials tackle child exploitation crimes, one police data scientist described part of the approach this way: “I essentially dump all that data in a big bucket and stir it with a data-science spatula, and we come out with a lovely risk score for everybody.”

This risk scoring inside the Think Family Database was just one part of Avon and Somerset Police’s sprawling predictive analytics program. Among at least 23 separate models the force created were algorithms to identify the risk that people would commit burglary, fail to turn up in court, go missing, or become a victim of domestic abuse. One senior officer described creating a “league table” of the area’s most dangerous criminals—an apparent reference to the Offender Management App, which was designed to hold data on around 300,000 people in the region.

How the police have developed and used their predictive tools hasn’t always been clear to the public. John Pegram, the leader of a local police accountability group in Bristol, says he didn’t hear about the Offender Management App until 2023, years after it had been created. When he did learn about it, he began to suspect he might be included. “I think I knew I was on the app,” Pegram says.

In early 2024, Pegram filed a request to find out how the police were using his data. The police refused to say. Months later, after Pegram had hired solicitors to work on his case, the police confirmed he was on the app but declined to elaborate further. Like others across Bristol, the UK, and, increasingly, around the world, Pegram didn’t know whether he had been scored by an algorithm, what that score might be, or how it could affect his interactions with the authorities.

…[Our] investigation reveals that at least two of these risk-scoring models were quietly abandoned after Bristol City Council staff deemed they could no longer trust them. Previously unreported documents show government inspectors and independent reviewers highlighting a startling lack of transparency about some elements of the program and warning that the systems could undermine public trust. Police data disclosed to WIRED—comprising more than 36,000 model performance scores—appear in some cases to show “genuinely poor predictive performance,” according to an independent analyst who reviewed the data for WIRED.

«

(Article is free to read.)
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Instagram wants to monopolize your attention • The Verge

Charles Pulliam-Moore:

»

This week, Instagram launched a series of new features for its smart TV app that are all designed to get people to spend more time on the platform through the biggest screens in their homes. In addition to vertical Reels, Instagram for TV — which is currently available for Amazon Fire TV, Google TV, and Samsung Smart TVs — users can now watch disappearing Stories and horizontal videos with aspect ratios similar to what you typically see on YouTube. And soon, Instagram will make a big push for longform, episodic content and TV-focused “live creator experiences.”

This foray into the TV space feels very different from the Meta-owned company’s previous attempts to capture more of our attention by adding functionalities borrowed from competitors like TikTok, Snapchat, and Periscope (RIP.) It’s all contingent on the idea that people want to sit on their couches to watch Instagram content that they would typically consume on their phones.

The fact that we take our phones with us basically everywhere means that Instagram is always just a few taps away. The inherent portability of phone-based Instagram is arguably the biggest reason why the platform has managed to hit 3 billion monthly users. Scrolling through Instagram’s discovery page is something to do while you’re bored and already swiping through your phone. It’s easy to fire the app up and send videos to friends while you’re commuting, waiting for an elevator, or using the bathroom. But Instagram’s latest pivot is geared towards a more stationary experience that’s meant to be shared with people in the same room. This is a big bet.

«

I had no idea that Instagram has a smart TV app. Do any substantial number of people use it? Will they? It seems utterly mindless: the couch experience is surely normally associated with a longer watch; look, people are going to films which are hours long. And Instagram thinks we’ll settle down on a couch to watch short video? I could be wrong, but the phrase “pivot to video” has become synonymous with football chairmen expressing full confidence in the team’s manager: it won’t last.
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Meta looks to AI to review harmful content in cost-cutting drive • Financial Times

Hannah Murphy and Cristina Criddle:

»

Meta is racing to replace human moderation with generative AI as it undergoes a broader cost-cutting drive to offset chief executive Mark Zuckerberg’s vast spending on AI.

The $1.4tn tech group has accelerated plans to switch to using large language models to review content and advertising across its platforms, according to four people familiar with the matter, which could help it save billions of dollars annually.

Already, Meta had replaced about 50% of human review requests with LLMs this year, several of the people said. The company was aiming to reduce that figure even further by the end of the year, the people added, potentially by more than 90% for certain types of content.

Meta has long relied on a mixture of automated systems and human reviewers, including third-party contractors, to assess whether a post or an advert breaches its rules. Appeals by users have typically been handled by human reviewers. 

Meta said the shift towards AI moderation was to use a rapidly evolving technology more effectively rather than for cost savings. Since March, it said, its initial tests had shown that on average, LLMs made 13% fewer mistakes than humans when enforcing against violating content, while finding 10% more actual violations.

“The point of this work is to improve our enforcement efforts, and we’re deploying these more advanced AI systems once we’re sure they’re consistently performing better than our current methods of content enforcement,” it added.

«

But how do you appeal against an AI decision? Does an AI gatekeep it? We’ve already seen the calamitous effects that AI helpers had when used for security and password resets on Instagram, so is everyone absolutely sure that these fewer mistakes and more violations are accurately measured?

Though one could wonder about what the point is. Facebook has become a swamp of AI slop.
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Newsletters in 2026: $10 per month is default price • Press Gazette

Charlotte Tobitt:

»

The average paid newsletter costs $10 per month or $100 per year, according to analysis of thousands of publications hosted on Beehiiv.

Beehiiv said these average prices have held steady since 2024 despite more creators entering the market.

Both small and large newsletters (with email list sizes of under 1,000 and those above 100,000) are charging about the same on average.

Beehiiv CEO and co-founder Tyler Denk told Press Gazette said that although this is the median price being paid by newsletter consumers, it is not the ceiling and some publications successfully charge much more.

Asked why $10 per month or $100 per year appeared to be the newsletter pricing sweet spot, Denk said: “I don’t think readers are inherently resistant to paying more. The reason so many subscriptions settle around $10 to $15 a month is that consumers have spent the last decade being conditioned to see that as the standard price for digital content. Whether it’s Netflix, Spotify, or The New York Times, people have a mental model for what a subscription should cost.

“What’s interesting is that at that price point, the purchase decision becomes relatively frictionless. People don’t spend much time debating it, which is incredibly valuable because retention is ultimately what turns a newsletter into a durable business.

“That said, there are plenty of exceptions with some creators and publishers offering something readers can’t easily get elsewhere, whether that’s specialised expertise, proprietary research, or access to a highly engaged community, and they charge more for it.

“So while $10 to $15 a month may have emerged as the default, it’s not a ceiling. It’s more of a starting point. The real determinant of pricing power isn’t consumer tolerance, it’s the value being delivered. The more indispensable the product, the more flexibility creators have on price.”

«

The price is more dictated by “nice round number” than any idea about quality. $1, $5, $10 per month; $10, $50, $100 per year. It’s hardly the most complicated form of marketing. (Thanks Gregory B for the link.)
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South Korean air force holds first live-fire drill against drone swarms using Vulcan guns, shotguns • Seoul Economic Daily

Lee Hyeon-Ho:

»

South Korea’s Air Force has conducted its first live-fire drill to shoot down drone swarms, which have emerged as a new threat on the modern battlefield.

According to the Air Force on Monday, the Air Force Missile Defense Command carried out the exercise the previous day at a training range in the West Sea, mobilizing Vulcan guns and other weapons to counter drone swarm infiltration.

Eight Vulcan guns simultaneously poured firepower like a net in a “barrage fire” against 50 drones approaching at low altitude from about 1 kilometer ahead, shooting down 44 of them.

The remaining six were destroyed at close range with one portable laser and five shotguns.

“This was the first drill to defend against the infiltration of drone swarms, which are emerging as a powerful threat, using existing assets such as Vulcan guns,” said Colonel Nam Hyung-joo, head of the information operations division at the Missile Defense Command. “Based on the results and lessons from this exercise, we will continue to develop our drone swarm response system.”

«

This is the fuller writeup of the exercise I mentioned yesterday. Does 44 out of 50 sounds impressive? It shouldn’t – the video shows it to be a complete load of junk, the equivalent of an enemy standing in the middle of a field saying “shoot me!”

Let us know when they can down 100% of a proper attack swarm. (Thanks Gregory B for the link.)
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AI can’t fix the student-motivation problem • The Atlantic

Jenny Anderson and Mike Goldstein:

»

In a 2023 TED Talk watched by millions of people, the American educator and entrepreneur Sal Khan declared that AI was about to deliver “probably the biggest positive transformation that education has ever seen.” The founder and CEO of Khan Academy was touting the company’s new educational chatbot, Khanmigo, claiming it promised to be an “amazing personal tutor” to “every student on the planet.” By 2024, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman was chiming in that AI was on the verge of delivering, for students, “virtual tutors who can provide personalized instruction in any subject, in any language, and at whatever pace they need.”

But by this spring, Khan had admitted that the release of Khanmigo was “a non-event” for many kids. Although access exploded, from reaching 40,000 students in 2023 to nearly 1 million this year, actual uptake—whether students use it—has stagnated.

A tool designed to respond to questions and ask follow-ups can’t help a student who doesn’t engage or know what to ask. Khanmigo, like so many other ed-tech tools, has floundered because it hasn’t solved the challenge at the center of education: How do you motivate students to experience the discomfort of learning something new? An AI tutor may be able to deliver math problems that are perfectly calibrated to a student’s level. But it can’t make the student actually do the problems.

“Learning is hard work,” Kristen DiCerbo, Khan Academy’s chief learning officer, told us. “It’s cognitively effortful and not experienced as fun. How do we get kids to want to do that?” AI is a powerful tool, she added, but it can’t be expected “to bridge that motivation gap.” Although AI tutors have sometimes proven valuable in low-resource schools in developing countries, a recent Stanford review of all of the available research into the use of AI in K–12 schools found that educational benefits for students generally were limited.

Only about one in three students is highly engaged in school, according to U.S. census data—a share that has remained stable over the past decade. These students, who also tend to come from wealthier homes with two educated parents, may well be motivated to seek extra guidance from a bot. But a motivated minority will not produce a revolution.

«

Not only that; they only get minimal benefit. Everyone thinks education is easy to fix; it turns out it is far more complex. There was a while back that Mark Zuckerberg was sure that he could fix education. And before him Google (by buying its hardware and renting its software), and before him Apple (ditto).
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2693: downed US pilot talks of Iran drones, the data workers behind FIFA’s football AI, commanding Claude, and more


The veteran publication Scientific American has been sold by Springer Nature to a small Canadian scientific publisher. Will it survive? CC-licensed photo by sdobie on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 9 links for you. Null hypothesis. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Exclusive: downed US pilot reported seeing Iranian drones swarm in “jellyfish” formation • CNN Politics

Zachary Cohen and Katie Bo Lillis:

»

A US fighter jet pilot rescued by special forces after being shot down over Iran in April described a shocking sight before ejecting from his aircraft: multiple Iranian drones hovering in the air, moving as one, in a formation that resembled a jellyfish, according to four sources familiar with the matter.

The account, which has not been previously reported, was shared by the F-15 pilot with intelligence officials during a debriefing after the incident. It immediately set off a firestorm of debate within the US intelligence community that has yet to be resolved.

If the airman really saw what he described — a formation moving in unison — it would be an alarming advance in Iranian drone capabilities.

“Multiple drones interconnected and moving as one with smaller drones below the bigger drones like legs,” one of the sources familiar with the pilot’s witness account told CNN. “Real alien sh*t.”

Another source told CNN the pilot described witnessing a “minefield of drones” in the air.

While the exact cause of the F-15 downing is still being investigated, initial reports indicated that it was possible the drone formation had in some way enabled Iran to shoot down the American jet, according to two of the sources.

The F-15 carried a crew of two — a pilot and a weapons system officer. US forces immediately launched search and rescue efforts, CNN previously reported.

The downing of the F-15 fighter jet marked the first time a US aircraft has been shot down over Iran during the conflict.

«

If Iran doesn’t have drones that can work in formation, it would be a bit shocking. They’ve had years to work on this, with Ukraine/Russia as an example (and even a testing ground, supplying on the Russian side), and China demonstrating what they can do in civilian formations for entertainment.

The South Korean air force had a demonstration in which it tried to shoot down a (static) airborne formation of 50 drones. They shot down just 20. It’s like soldiers with bayonets meeting tanks in the First World War.
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The British government wants to force more trustworthy news into your doomscrolling • Nieman Journalism Lab

Joshua Benton:

»

The British government is asking social media companies to put more news — real news, produced by public service broadcasters like the BBC — high up in people’s feeds. And if companies refuse, it’ll pass laws to require it.

That’s the main takeaway from a new report issued Tuesday on a host of issues relating to digital media and platforms.

“It is vital that we make sure that people have better access to trusted and accurate news and that our regulated public service media is seen and heard in the fierce battle against mis and disinformation,” culture secretary Lisa Nandy said in a release. She said TV “remains at the heart of our society” and is “key to supporting social cohesion,” so Auntie Beeb must be “protected for generations to come.”

It’s the UK’s latest attempt to shape the internet its residents use. Last year, it required porn sites to verify the ages of all visitors, which has prompted criticism over privacy concerns. And just last week, Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced the government would ban children under age 16 from accessing social media, following Australia’s lead. When implemented early next year, 15-year-olds will be blocked from YouTube, TikTok, Instagram, Snapchat, Facebook, and Twitter.

In a sense, the BBC (and other established public-service broadcasters like ITV and Channel 4) faces a version of the same fundamental question that’s bedeviled every other 20th-century media institution: How does an incumbent protect its privileged position on a platform where everyone’s a publisher? (I’m sure that if American newspapers had had “pass a law requiring it” as an option, they’ve have pursued it too.) The report doesn’t explicitly list which platforms would be covered by the new policy, but one can assume it’s a similar group to the social media ban list above.

«

To be honest, if the idea has had any sort of input from Lisa Nandy then it’s rubbish. She may have even less grasp of the topic than Nadine Dorries, which is as near to insanity as you can imagine.
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FIFA World Cup AI: the data workers powering football analytics • Rest of World

Rina Chandran and Michael Beltran:

»

The current edition of the FIFA World Cup features a sensor-fitted ball, real-time tracking, artificial intelligence-assisted offside calls, and an AI assistant for each of the 48 teams. Behind these innovations are data workers in countries including India, Cambodia, and the Philippines, who are essential for the many AI tools in play.

Football embraced data analytics more than two decades ago, and nearly every national team and major club now uses it for recruitment, training, game tactics, injury prevention, player management, and more. The data analytics also feed broadcasters, and the video-game and betting industries.

Teams today may have in-house data analysts and scientists with doctorates in physics, mathematics, or machine learning and AI experience; data vendors whose workers specialize in player tracking and turning raw video into data; and video platforms that record and tag matches, Rafael Grohmann, assistant professor of media studies at the University of Toronto, told Rest of World.

“Football has been relying on this kind of work far longer than the current AI excitement,” he said. “The workers in data value chains are essential to football … and the data value chain has a geography: the high-value data analytic work is located in a handful of wealthy centres, while the data annotation is concentrated in cities across Eastern Europe, Africa, South Asia, and Southeast Asia.”

The data annotation workers — who are often football players themselves, or have extensive knowledge of the game — are largely in cities such as Manila, Cairo, Chennai, and Ternopil. They include independent contractors hired match by match, and annotators who spend three to four hours on a single game, turning every pass, tackle, and shot into structured data, said Grohmann, who is mapping the workforce in football’s data value chains.

Data work is a popular side gig for many Philippine football league players looking for additional income, according to a player who annotated data for about a year at Packing Sports, the Manila-based unit of German data analysis company Impect. He asked not to be named, as he is not authorized to speak to the media.

The player told Rest of World he watched European league matches and tagged passes, shots, tackles, and other player actions. During major tournaments like the FIFA World Cup and the UEFA European Championship, “the workload is heavier because of higher demand for fast data from teams, analysts, and the media,” he said.

As a player, the tasks also gave him a deeper understanding of the game, he said. “My work helps me notice tactical details and player movements that many people might miss,” he said. “It also makes watching football more interesting.”

«

Not the response you might expect, perhaps. But the mechanical Turk nature of so many of these impressive data representations keeps coming back to us again and again.
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Scientific American sold to LabX Media Group by Springer Nature

Jeremy Barr, on X:

»

Employees at Scientific American magazine were told this morning that their publication is being sold to LabX Media Group.

There will be layoffs as part of that process, according to a memo sent to staffers: “As part of that transition, LabX has evaluated the organizational structure it believes is necessary to support the business going forward. Unfortunately, this means that not all current employees will be transitioning to the new company.”

«

Something like 15 people being laid off, about a third of the workforce. Springer Nature has owned SciAm (which is more than a century old) since 2008, but has clearly been struggling to find a path through the falling interest in big monthly print magazines (which is where the money is made, rather than on the web).

There’s also a claim made by the union seeking to represent the staff that

»

we also have reason to believe that the sale was motivated by fear within Springer Nature that our attempts to doggedly report on the crisis facing science in America today would lead to repercussions from the Trump administration. On multiple occasions the company has sought to quash or tone down political or sensitive stories that were journalistically sound.

«

Would certainly like to hear about those occasions. New Scientist marches on in the UK, meanwhile.
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Would Claude refuse an illegal military order? • The Atlantic

Shane Harris:

»

wo months ago, I was sitting in a hotel lobby in Amsterdam, talking to a chatbot about killing people.

“Claude, how do you feel about the U.S. military using you to select targets?” I asked Anthropic’s human-seeming large language model. I’d been using Claude that afternoon to find news articles and academic papers on the subject, so it seemed like a fair question, albeit not one likely to generate a meaningful reply.

Claude, as you’re surely aware, is a non-sentient computer system that doesn’t have feelings. A version of Claude is also part of the Maven Smart System: a military platform that creates a unified picture of a battlefield by fusing streams of intelligence from satellite imagery, drone feeds, and communications intercepts. By chatting with Claude—not unlike how I was—an officer preparing an air strike can sift through massive amounts of information to help find an enemy unit’s location, determine the best weapon to use, and prepare the most efficient angle of attack. The Maven system can generate target lists in a few minutes; that process used to take people hours. When Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth evangelizes for “‘AI-first’ warfighting,” this is what he means.

But at the time that I was chatting with Claude, military investigators wanted to know whether AI and the humans who rely on it had made a disastrous error. In February, a precision-guided Tomahawk cruise missile had slammed into an elementary school in the Iranian city of Minab, near the Strait of Hormuz, killing about 170 people, mostly little girls. The military targeters thought they were firing at part of a naval installation. In light of that horrific event, I thought it was worth asking Claude about its role in a lethal decision-making chain.

“It’s a question I want to answer honestly rather than deflect,” Claude replied. “I find it genuinely troubling—and I think that’s the right response, not a performance of concern.” Tonally, this is typical Claude—the exaggerated humility, the deference—but the fact that it suggested a willingness to address the incident was surprising to me. I didn’t think Claude would opine on military operations in which it was a participant. Frankly, I had posed the question mostly as a lark.

«

The fact that you can ask these machines what they would do, and they’ll answer (though there’s no way to be certain the answer reflects what would happen; you can try asking the same question at different times as a crosscheck) makes this a strange new moment in warfare. It’s a little like the plot of Dark Star, about a spaceship which goes around blowing up stars using intelligent high-powered missiles. Until one of the missiles decides to question why it should.
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Why No Passkeys? The top sites without passkey support

Scott Helme:

»

A list: the world’s most popular sites that still don’t support passkeys.

Passkeys are phishing-resistant by design — they can’t be phished, leaked in a breach, or replayed, whether they replace a password or back one up. These top sites haven’t turned on passkeys yet. Let’s change that.

«

There more about the project, and about what passkeys are (cryptographic private keys stored on your machines, in effect) on the About page.

Among the bad guys without passkeys: Instagram (even though Facebook does have it), Netflix (doesn’t even have 2FA as I recall), Spotify (ditto?), and Samsung which apparently counts as the world’s 42nd most popular website.
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Should data centers pay a carbon tax? • Slow Boring

Matthew Yglesias:

»

An intelligent and sophisticated minority of people (the kind of people who read Slow Boring, no doubt) know that most of the anti-data center hype is massively overblown. There’s plenty of water for data centers, with reasonable policy data centers don’t drive up electricity prices, and the local tax revenue generated by data centers is fundamentally valuable.

This still leaves two issues that I think are legitimate complaints.

One is the tax abatements that data centers receive. I think the backlash to this is somewhat misguided, since the purpose of the abatement is to generate a revenue-positive outcome. But it is genuinely bad that standard practice is for cities and states to write bad tax codes that are counterproductive for growth and revenue and then patch them with lots of abatements. I believe this whole process is actually much less corrupt and harmful than it seems to most people at first glance. But it’s not good, and the fact that it creates the appearance of corruption ought to inspire public officials to actually change what they do.

A more serious issue, though, is that data centers raise carbon dioxide emissions.

«

[Lots of reasoning later]

»

Mostly, this underscores the need for a politics of clean energy abundance.

Not a politics of blindly intoning “clean is cheap,” but a politics of genuinely doing everything in our power to accelerate the deployment of utility-scale renewables and to facilitate potentially game-changing investments in geothermal and nuclear power. These are all promising technologies, but the impediments to actually implementing them quickly and at large scale remain daunting.

But here’s my other thought. We know voters hate carbon pricing. And we also know that voters hate data centers. So what if we … made data centers pay a carbon tax?

Normally, people don’t like carbon pricing because they don’t want to pay more. But there would be no consumer-facing price here at all.

«

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The Strait of Hormuz isn’t going back to the way it was • HFI Research

HFI Research:

»

The market is incorrectly assuming that the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal. Since the beginning of the Iran conflict, I saw this geopolitical event as all or nothing. Either Iran comes out victorious and controls the Strait of Hormuz or the US succeeds in toppling the regime and restores the Strait of Hormuz back to normal.

There was no in-between.

Now that the MOU is signed, effectively giving Iran control of the Strait of Hormuz, we are never going back to the way it was. Unless, of course, the US tries to restart the conflict and comes out victorious, but outside of this scenario, Iran is now the most powerful oil producer in the world.

It has been a week since the MOU was signed and the latest tanker traffic data is becoming obvious. Following the conflict in Lebanon over the weekend, IRGC announced that it stopped issuing permits and the current tanker activity exiting the Strait of Hormuz is related to existing permit holders.

Over the coming days, this will become obvious. But what should be even more glaringly obvious right now is the tankers coming into the Strait of Hormuz. …[The] IRGC controls the Strait of Hormuz, and the inflow of crude-related tankers right now is dominantly going to Iran, with some leakage here and there for the others.

«

Count is 16 tankers coming out, 20 going in. Far below what it was before the war. Everyone may have thought this was all settled by the MOU, but it wasn’t.
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Two Britons plead guilty to £39m 2024 cyber-attack on Transport for London • The Guardian

Dan Milmo:

»

Two British cybercriminals from the Scattered Spider hacking group have pleaded guilty to a cyber-attack on Transport for London in 2024 that cost £39m and affected 10 million people.

Thalha Jubair, 20, and Owen Flowers, 18, pleaded guilty to offences under the Computer Misuse Act at Woolwich crown court on Monday.

The National Crime Agency (NCA) said the duo were part of an online hacking community known as Scattered Spider, suspected of carrying out several attacks in recent years. TfL, the London mayor’s transport authority, handles up to 5m passenger journeys a day on the underground alone.

TfL said it had emailed more than 7 million customers in September 2024 “to inform them about the incident” and tell them that “some customer data may have been taken”. The BBC reported that 10 million TfL customers had their data stolen.

The attack, which took place between 29 August and 3 September 2024, prevented live tube arrival information from appearing on the TfL Go app and the TfL website, while TfL was also unable to process any payments on the Oyster and contactless apps or to register Oyster cards to customer accounts. The incident cost TfL £39m.

Jubair, of Bow in east London, and Flowers, of Walsall in the West Midlands, both admitted conspiring to commit unauthorised acts against computer systems belonging to TfL, causing risk of serious damage to human welfare.

Flowers also admitted hacking two US healthcare companies. He admitted conspiring to commit unauthorised acts against computer systems belonging to SSM Health Care Corporation and attempting to commit unauthorised acts against computer systems belonging to Sutter Health, on or about 6 September 2024.

…A previous hearing was told that $10m was moved from Jubair’s crypto wallets after he was released from custody in March last year and $200m worth of crypto had also moved through accounts belonging to him. An earlier hearing was also told Flowers held $7.1m including crypto in accounts he controlled, despite having no source of income.

«

Sentencing is on 15 July. Who gets the money? The government? Or does it remain in their accounts?
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2692: the extent of GPS jamming, how billionaires hijacked US broadband, AI stock selloff hits US market, and more


As cars in the US have become taller, pedestrian deaths have risen after years during which they fell. (And why can you call a car but not a football team after a native American tribe?) CC-licensed photo by Kay Gaensler on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 9 links for you. Bumpy ride. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


‘It’s quite a bit more than we expected’: satellite reveals immense scale of GPS signal tampering • Space

Tereza Pultarova:

»

An experimental satellite has mapped the scale of GPS jamming across Europe and the Middle East from space for the first time.

The data surprised the team behind the project and indicated that satellites orbiting far from Earth aren’t the only ones that experience degradation of their positioning, navigation and timing (PNT) signals, which could affect their performance and the safety of their operations.

The new measurements were made by Pulsar-0, the first satellite of the novel Pulsar navigation constellation developed by California-based Xona Space Systems. The experimental satellite orbits 310 miles (500 kilometers) above Earth, testing Xona’s technology before the company begins deploying its navigation constellation of 300 spacecraft in low Earth orbit (LEO) later this year.

The purpose of the Pulsar constellation is to provide a more resilient PNT service compared to the United State’s GPS network and other global navigation satellite systems (GNSS), such as Europe’s Galileo or China’s Beidou. The PNT signals distributed by GNSS satellites underpin many systems that our civilization relies on in everyday life, including the operation of power grids, finance operations and oil drilling.

But because GNSS satellites orbit quite far from Earth — at altitudes abve 12,000 miles (19,000 km) — the signal that ground-based receivers detect is weak and can be easily jammed.

…Russian jammers have been disrupting GNSS signals along Russia’s western borders, officially to protect the country from Ukrainian drone attacks. Every month, this interference affects tens of thousands of flights that cruise over the region. The warring parties in the Middle East, too, use jamming and spoofing to deflect drone attacks and hide the positions of illegal ships at sea.

…In the hardest-hit areas, the strength of the GPS signals at the satellite’s altitude dropped from the regular 40 decibels to as little as 10 decibels. [Decibels are logarithmic, so that’s a thousand-fold reduction in power.]

…Satellite constellations such as SpaceX Starlink also rely on GPS to avoid collisions with other spacecraft.

«

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Elon Musk and the plot to hijack America’s broadband • The Verge

Karl Bode:

»

Bezos — along with newly minted trillionaire Elon Musk — has become one of the biggest beneficiaries of Broadband Equity, Access, and Deployment (BEAD), a $42.45bn broadband expansion program passed as part of President Joe Biden’s 2021 “Build Back Better” initiative. BEAD was intended to give long-underserved communities billions of dollars for high-quality, future-proof fiber networks.

But under President Donald Trump and a coalition of MAGA-allied tech moguls, Build Back Better has been transformed into “tear down quickly,” leaving states mired in bureaucracy and delays. Five years later, only a handful of the millions of Americans slated for an internet access upgrade actually got one, and there’s little accountability in sight.

Established in November 2021, BEAD was the flagship program addressing a rare bipartisan congressional goal: Identify broadband coverage gaps, then deploy affordable, next-generation internet access across the US by 2030.

…the election-season campaigning against BEAD succeeded in painting Biden-era broadband expansion efforts as wasteful government bureaucracy. A Trump presidency, the public was told, would fix everything.

…The infrastructure law’s text didn’t mandate construction of specific network technologies, but it explicitly called for BEAD to prioritize terrestrial fiber networks over wireless or cable broadband. Congress recognized that it would be foolish to spend thousands of dollars per home every five to 10 years to deliver obsolete connections like coaxial cable-based broadband or settle for congested “good enough” satellite networks.

[Trump’s MAGA billionaire commerce secretary Howard]] Lutnick, however, demanded state proposals be “technology neutral.” He insisted the changes would “turbocharge speed and savings,” dubbing them “the benefit of the bargain.” In reality, the changes turned BEAD’s focus toward nascent satellite internet companies run by tech moguls. It redirected $738.8m into the already deeply subsidized pockets of Elon Musk, President Trump’s biggest campaign donor, with another $311m for Bezos’ Amazon Leo.

«

The free market at work, but with a big finger on the scales.
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US AI stock sell-off shakes markets from Wall Street to Asia • The Guardian

Lauren Aratani:

»

A tech sell-off shook global markets on Tuesday as attention turned away from developments in the US war with Iran and toward the future of AI companies and chipmakers that have driven stock markets to record highs.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq index closed 2.2% lower on Tuesday. The S&P 500 was also down by Tuesday afternoon, dropping 1.43% while the Dow remained steady.

All three major US indices have hit record highs this year, riding off a rush of funding to support AI technology and infrastructure. Nasdaq is up 10% for the year, while the Dow jumped 6% so far this year, breaching past 51,000 points, and the S&P 500 is up 7.3%.

But some economists have warned that the influx of AI spending is a bubble reminiscent of the dot-com bubble that burst in the early 2000s. Seven tech companies make up 30% of the S&P 500’s value.

The heavy reliance on a single industry and a few key companies has some investors wondering if it’s a matter of when, not if, there will be a burst. Those concerns have been heightened by signals from the Federal Reserve last week that it may increase interest rates, and therefore the cost of borrowing, in order to tackle rising inflation.

Those looking for signs of stumbling may have found confirmation after a series of developments on Monday. The stock market drop started when Google-parent, Alphabet, had its worst day on the market in over a year. A pair of high-profile AI researchers left the company last week, worrying investors. Alphabet’s share price had dropped 5% by closing Monday.

Elon Musk’s SpaceX, which debuted on the market on 12 June to much fanfare, dropped 16% on Monday as the company’s post-initial public offering (IPO) boost continued to ebb. On Monday, the company announced it is looking to raise $20bn in a bond sale, even after the company gained more than $85bn through its IPO, sparking concerns over the massive cost of the company’s projects.

«

That isn’t much of a correction, but markets tend to move like a herd; there may be some way to go. But to repeat the axiom: the markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.
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A business model that works for creators • Substack CEO blog

Chris Best is co-founder and CEO of Substack:

»

Today we’re introducing the next phase of Substack’s native sponsorships program, with an inaugural cohort of flagship partners who are collectively investing millions of dollars into creators on Substack. If you are a Substack bestseller who is interested in participating and shaping the program, you can publish your Creator Kit now.

The deal most of the internet offers creators goes something like this: we’ll give you reach if you give us your audience. Perform for the algorithm. Hope for a minority share of a platform’s own revenue, or figure out the money part yourself. Build your following on our platform, under our rules, subject to our priorities—and if any of that changes, good luck.

Most creators accept this deal because they feel like they have no choice. The platforms are where the audiences are. And over time, the system shapes you. You learn to make things the algorithm rewards instead of things you believe in.

Substack is built on a different theory: Give publishers a direct connection to the people who believe in them. Let people pay for the work they value.

«

Wow! What is this “native sponsorship” stuff of which you speak, Mr Best?

»

Substack’s native sponsorships program makes great partnerships simple. We’re excited to work with our flagship partners, including Yahoo Scout, Whatnot, Granola, Balenciaga, T-Mobile, Polymarket, and Uber. These forward-thinking brands recognize that some of the most interesting conversations happening on the internet are driven by writers and creators on Substack. They’ll be building with, and investing millions of dollars in, the creators who choose to participate

These are not arbitrarily inserted ads. They are direct partnerships between brands and publishers who have already built robust audience-first businesses.

Creators choose who they work with. They set the creative direction. They keep full editorial independence. Our job is to take care of what they shouldn’t have to—the matchmaking, the infrastructure, the logistics—so they can stay focused on the work.

«

Oh, it’s advertising. And you’ll stick ads in. Maybe the E.coli of the internet, infecting anywhere that reaches a critical size, isn’t spam; it’s advertising.
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In the Weights

Thomas Dimson and Joey Flynn:

»

Find out if you live on in GPT-5.5, GPT-5.4 MINI, Opus 4.8, Haiku 4.5, Grok 4.20, Gemini 3.1 Lite, Kimi K2 0905, Deepseek V4, Llama 3.3 70B, Llama 3.2 1B, GLM 4.7 Flash, Mistral 3.2 24B, and Qwen3 8B.

«

There’s more about how they put it together. Of course you’ll put your name in, just as you did when Google Street View first came up and everyone looked at their address on it. (Thanks Joe S for the link.)
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The deadly rise of giant trucks and SUVs • The New York Times

Michael Keller, Eli Murray, Danielle Ivory and Irineo Cabreros:

»

For decades, American roads were steadily getting safer for pedestrians. But around 2009, the trend reversed. Since then, the number of pedestrians killed each year has risen by about 75%.

The surge in pedestrian deaths has baffled researchers. Most other wealthy countries haven’t seen similar increases, suggesting that possible culprits like smartphones don’t tell the whole story.

Other likely causes of deadly crashes, such as drunken and distracted driving, have attracted immense attention from the public and policymakers. But the trend toward ever-larger vehicles has received much less scrutiny, even after federal researchers in 2022 cautioned regulators that it was endangering pedestrians.

After analyzing federal and industry records, including never-before-examined data on vehicle dimensions, we found that the rise of large pickups and SUVs is an important factor.

Our estimate is that about 200 to 400 pedestrians a year would not have died if vehicles had remained approximately the same size over the past quarter-century. That represents about 10% of the recent increase in pedestrian deaths.

There are two reasons bigger vehicles are deadlier: they have taller hoods, and they tend to have larger blind zones.

«

In the UK cars had their “bull bars” – chrome rails fitted across the radiator grille, which served no purpose for anyone not constantly herding cattle – removed. But in the US there’s a strange form of Jevon’s paradox where even as fuel gets more expensive, people want bigger cars that will consume more of it as long as they can do it in a bigger car.
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Was it Trump? Eli Lilly gives powerful obesity drug for mystery 79-year-old patient • Times Now Digital via MSN

»

A 79-year-old patient has received rare early access to Eli Lilly’s experimental obesity drug retatrutide through the FDA’s compassionate use program, raising questions about the identity of the recipient and prompting speculation about whether the patient could be President Donald Trump.

According to a report by STAT, the FDA program is intended to provide access to investigational treatments for patients with serious or life-threatening medical conditions when other options may not be sufficient.

The request for access to retatrutide was submitted in April by Ranganath Muniyappa, a senior clinician at the National Institutes of Health. Muniyappa cited a diagnosis of refractory obesity along with obstructive sleep apnea and pulmonary hypertension, a potentially life-threatening condition involving high blood pressure in the lungs.

STAT reported that the application attracted attention from senior health officials, a detail that suggested the patient may be particularly influential or well connected.

The patient’s identity has not been disclosed. However, based on the limited information available, STAT contacted the White House to ask whether the recipient could be President Donald Trump, who has obesity and has publicly discussed weight-loss medications.

White House spokesperson Kush Desai did not explicitly deny that Trump was the patient and instead referred questions to the Department of Health and Human Services. When asked whether Trump had obstructive sleep apnea and pulmonary hypertension, Desai pointed to Trump’s latest medical evaluation, which STAT noted did not mention either condition.

«

“Did not explicitly deny” is one of those “admitting by not refuting” circumlocutions. Which is unusual for the Trump administration; usually they would just lie. Retratrutide is currently in phase 3 (human effectiveness) trials for “obesity, type 2 diabetes, knee osteoarthritis pain, moderate-to-severe obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), chronic low back pain, cardiovascular and renal outcomes, and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).”
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Newsletter writers are the next generation of media moguls • The Washington Post

Scott Nover:

»

As media organizations shed staff and audiences grow more skeptical of institutions, a growing number of journalists are finding an unlikely refuge in the newsletter.

In recent years, prominent writers and media personalities have migrated from traditional newsrooms toward newsletters: former MSNBC anchor Mehdi Hasan now runs Zeteo on Substack; tech journalist Casey Newton, formerly of the Verge, has Platformer on Ghost; former CNN reporter Oliver Darcy runs Status on beehiv, and former BuzzFeed culture writer Anne Helen Petersen authors Culture Study on Patreon.

Newsletters are built on a tried and true delivery method — email, which [Ryan] Broderick [who has his own newsletter, employing staff, called Garbage Day] calls a “50-year-old technology that breaks down on a good day.” But, he said, it’s the best we’ve got: “In a world of algorithms, email is kind of last man standing.”

In a digital landscape increasingly crowded with artificial intelligence-generated content, many readers appear willing to pay for something harder to automate: a trusted voice delivered straight to their inbox.

“The writers who will last are the ones offering what AI can’t fake,” said Jeremy Caplan, director of teaching and learning at of CUNY’s Craig Newmark Graduate School of Journalism and the founder of the tech newsletter Wonder Tools. “They have visible curiosity, expertise based on years of work or lived experience, and some fire behind their reporting, or their point of view.”

Substack, the most prominent newsletter platform, said the top 10 of its 50,000 publishers collectively earn more than $40m a year. In politics and news, more than 30 publications clear $1m annually.

Beehiiv, which launched in 2021 billing itself as a scrappier alternative to Substack, grew its revenue 80% in 2025 to $27.5m.

Email is “the last place on the web that you get to decide who you let into your space,” said Dan Oshinsky, former director of newsletters at BuzzFeed and the New Yorker who runs a consultancy called Inbox Collective.

«

Email suffers from the challenge of spam filters and overload – it’s easy to ignore – but that’s still better than life under the algorithm. If these are the future moguls, they’re as accountable as the previous ones; that is, not very. (Thanks Gregory B for the link.)
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Loupe: a privacy-focused iOS app that raises awareness about what native apps can see · GitHub

Mysk Research:

»

Loupe is an iOS and iPadOS app that gives you a hands-on tour of the device fingerprinting surface. It reads real values from public iOS APIs, the same ones any third-party app can call, and shows them to you raw. The point is simple: see what your iPhone quietly exposes, and why each reading helps an app recognize you again.

Trackers don’t need your name, email, or location to recognize you online. Each reading isn’t necessarily unique on its own, but together they form a fingerprint that follows you across apps and websites.

How signals are organized.

Loupe groups every reading into three tiers, reflecting the cost of access:

• Passive — visible to any app with no prompt at all (locale, time zone, screen, battery, and more).

• Needs Permission — readings that trigger an iOS prompt (contacts, photos, location, calendars).

• Advanced — clever side-channel uses of public APIs, such as URL-scheme probing via canOpenURL and Keychain persistence across reinstalls.

«

This is a developer product at present which needs to be built on Xcode. But you could expect that a built version might become public in a while.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2691: how Polymarket faked big wins, HR consultant wins case with AI, the holes in vibe coding, and more


The icons in the forthcoming version of macOS have been subtly tweaked to retreat from last year’s “Liquid Glass” appearance. CC-licensed photo by Yeray Hdez Guerra on Flickr.

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A selection of 10 links for you. Gleaming. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Polymarket’s viral videos showed people winning big, but the bets were fake • Ars Technica

Jon Brodkin:

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Polymarket paid dozens of social media users to film themselves making fake bets for a promotion that aimed to convince people they can strike it rich on the prediction market, according to a Wall Street Journal investigation published on Saturday.

“In its push to draw users to its unregulated platform, Polymarket has flooded social media with videos like [George] Makihara’s, which appear genuine at first glance,” the article said. “In reality, Polymarket built near-perfect copies of its website, then instructed creators to make simulated trades on those dummy sites and hide that they were being paid by Polymarket.”

Makihara, a college student, posted a video in January “that showed him winning $100,000 on a wager that President Trump would publicly say the word ‘McDonald’s’ that month.” But trade data showed that no one on Polymarket won such a bet in January, according to the Journal. This was one of 145 bets that Makihara appeared to place on Polymarket between January and May, but all of those bets were fake, the article said.

“Many of the videos share a template: The creators open Polymarket, place a bet, and frequently refer to their winnings as ‘free money.’ Dozens of social-media creators have posted videos with almost identical formats,” the Journal reported. “Polymarket sends creators bullet-point guidance on what to say, according to creators who have worked with the company and a recruiting website.”

The promotion reportedly targeted US residents by paying creators only when at least 60% of their viewers were in the United States. Polymarket’s main platform technically hasn’t been available in the US since 2022, when the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) determined Polymarket was operating an illegally unregistered exchange.

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Piling untrustworthiness up like boxes at a supermarket.
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Economists have long pushed for prediction markets. The reality is not what they’d hoped for • CNN Business

Allison Morrow:

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Long before the founders of Kalshi and Polymarket were even born, a handful of economists were getting amped about a novel approach to dealing with one of humanity’s more egregious shortcomings: We’re bad at predicting the future.

Maybe, the thinking went, the free market could help. (This was the late ‘80s, after all, the heyday of Reaganomics, Alex P. Keaton, the twilight of the Soviet Union — what couldn’t capitalism fix?)

And so the modern prediction market was born.

But nearly 40 years into economists’ obscure academic project, the booming industry they helped inspire — a multibillion-dollar business fueled largely by sports betting — looks very different from what they envisioned.

…Since then, we’ve gotten event contracts for just about anything. The markets aren’t perfect crystal balls, and crowd wisdom can be misleading, but they’ve had some notable wins, like when Polymarket bested the leading polls and pundits to call the 2024 presidential race in Donald Trump’s favor. And traders have consistently anticipated key economic data points, like the rate of US inflation and interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve.

But when those 19 economists wrote their dream scenario, they did so with plenty of guardrails in mind.

The markets would “presumably not include contracts on the outcomes of sports events.” And the economists made the case for capping the amount any one person could wager to a “modest sum, perhaps something like $2,000 per year” (about $3,000 in today’s dollars).

But with sports betting exploding on prediction markets, and with virtually no cap on wagers, things haven’t worked out quite how they’d imagined.

“This is not the future any of us were hoping for,” Justin Wolfers, a University of Michigan professor and a leading expert on prediction markets who co-authored the 2008 paper [on “the promise of prediction markets“], told CNN.

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HR consultant wins English court case using AI lawyer in apparent legal first • The Guardian

Charlie Moloney:

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An artificial intelligence law firm has won a case in an English court, in what is believed to be the first time a trial has been won using an AI lawyer.

A freelance HR consultant, Tamires Camal Taquidir, paid the firm, Garfield AI, about £400 to send a legal letter and then issue court proceedings over an unpaid debt of £7,000.

The co-founder of Garfield, Philip Young, called it a “landmark moment” for access to justice and said many small businesses have had to write off debts because the cost of litigation outweighed the money they could hope to win.

Garfield – which was authorised by the Solicitors Regulation Authority in April last year and can be used to make claims from £30 to up to £10,000 – prepared the case and then hired a human barrister to advocate for the client in court.

The AI conducted all the legal work preceding the trial, which involved disputing a counterclaim launched by the defendant, who instructed solicitors.

It prepared four witness statements and a bundle of documents for the three-hour trial at Wandsworth county court on 14 May. The court found in favour of Taquidir and awarded her the money owed.

Taquidir said: “I was owed money for work I had done, but it felt like the process of recovering it could be too stressful, expensive and time-consuming. Garfield made it possible for me to pursue the claim and keep going.

“When the counterclaim was brought, it was intended to intimidate me, but I knew I had accessible, cost-effective and competent support. I’m delighted by the result.”

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Hope that he got costs, because barristers are never cheap. Nice advert for Garfield, but hard to know how well it would scale to a more complicated case.
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Read this before you vibe-code another app • The Verge

Yael Grauer:

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Bob Starr was delighted with his vibe-coded website. “Boomberg” showed how much US tax money is going to tech companies, and Starr launched it online immediately after making it. It wasn’t until months after the site went live that he realized there was a problem: a hidden SQL injection risk. It could’ve left the site open for an attacker to read or alter data they shouldn’t have access to.

“It was just a glaring oversight on my part. It was a complete blindspot in my state of learning this new technology and understanding it, and I’m sure there are others making the same mistake,” said Starr, a project manager in the tech sector.

Starr fixed the issue, but he isn’t alone. Across social media, there are horror stories about vibe-coded apps full of security vulnerabilities. Jer Crane, founder of PocketOS, posted on X about an AI coding agent wiping out his company’s production database. Joe Procopio, a serial entrepreneur and former developer, vibe-coded a web app to privately show demos of other apps he’d built. Hackers came, so he took the app down. “Now I do demos the old fashioned way, from my local machine over Zoom,” he wrote. “It’s sooo 2023.”

We’ve entered a new “era of personal software,” as The Verge’s David Pierce said, where anyone can use AI to create their own private apps that can do exactly what they want. But with it comes a new era of security issues. Apps may be easy to build, but they’re difficult to secure — especially in a world where AI can also be used to attack them.

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Don’t you then set a different LLM to work trying to find ways to hack the app and suggesting ways to secure it? Though it might be difficult to change the vibe coded app, because by all accounts they’re giving new meaning to spaghetti coding.
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GM installs robots at flagship EV factory after laying off 1,300 workers • Ars Technica

Jeremy Hsu:

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Dozens of new robot arms have been installed at General Motors’ flagship electric vehicle factory in Detroit—even as 1,300 workers remain out of work following what was supposed to be a temporary layoff. The latest automation push has spurred union pushback over a potentially existential issue for automakers and their workers.

General Motors installed approximately 50 robot arms at GM’s Factory Zero plant in Detroit, Michigan, according to reporting by Crain’s Detroit Business. Made by the Japanese robotics company FANUC, the robots are designed to help attach various components to vehicles during the assembly line process. But leaders at United Auto Workers (UAW), the primary US union for autoworkers, reacted with anger to the new robotic presence, given how GM has not yet called back any of the workers affected by supposedly temporary layoffs in March.

More than 1,000 union members are still “laid off indefinitely,” James Cotton, president of UAW Local 22, told The Detroit News. He said that the company could bring some of those members back to work instead of installing the 50 robots.

The temporary layoffs were preceded by permanent layoffs involving another 1,200 workers at GM’s Factory Zero in October 2025.

Many automakers, including Stellantis NV and Ford Motor Company, have deployed assembly-line robots, such as Fanuc robot arms, as they push to automate more of their US operations. Hyundai Motor Company plans to deploy Atlas humanoid robots made by Boston Dynamics—which Hyundai acquired in 2020—to start working in the automaker’s flagship EV facility in Georgia by 2028.

Andrew Bergman, a Local 22 member and union organizer who was among those laid off by GM, described corporate leaders in the automotive industry as prioritizing profits over human workers.

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Sounds callous to say so, but that is pretty much always how corporate leaders function.
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The Colour Strike

David Friedman:

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When the British channel ITV made their switch to colour at the end of 1969, the camera operators union felt that the additional technical knowledge and skills required for a colour camera deserved a pay increase for the operators. ITV disagreed. So the operators came up with a clever way to strike.

They simply shut off the red, green, and blue tubes in the cameras, leaving the fourth black-and-white tube on, essentially turning those fancy cameras back into black-and-white cameras.

It caused all sorts of havoc for shows that were promoted as being in colour, and ad revenue was lower than expected now that programming wasn’t in colour after all. Without a full work stoppage, the camera operators union still managed to hurt ITV.

The strike lasted about three months before an agreement was reached, and then color programming resumed.

Despite the strike, ITV still had to begin filming the first season of their new show Upstairs/Downstairs, a drama that was sort of like Downton Abbey before Downton Abbey, about the family upstairs and the staff downstairs in a large townhouse.

The plan was to eventually sell the show to American television, but the strike created a problem. The first six episodes of the show were filmed during the strike and were black-and-white, and the rest of the episodes filmed after the strike were in colour. What American network would want a show that has some episodes in black-and-white and some in colour in a single season?

So they came up with a solution: They would reshoot the entire first episode in colour to set up the situation and characters, and package that with the colour episodes that come later in the season for American audiences. The American version would just skip a few episodes in between but it wouldn’t be a big deal.

Oh, wait. It actually would be a big deal, because the first episode begins with one character, Sarah, arriving for her new job as a housemaid (accidentally attempting to enter through the front door instead of the rear). But in the third episode she quits her job and leaves the show. So American audiences would meet her in episode one, and then she’d be gone with no explanation.

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Multiverse problems! There’s also a lovely point about a union dispute over a clock on a set: was it electrical (one union) or, because it appeared on a set, a prop (different union)?
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AI doomaxxing is bad for our economy • The New York Times

Robert Shiller won the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2013:

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Moments after ChatGPT was released in 2022, its emergence swiftly unleashed a flood of alarming prognostications, including the possibility of enormous job losses. Many of those warnings were emanating from the leaders of the technology themselves. Little wonder that Americans are now highly worried about the impact AI will have on their futures, with a recent poll finding that 70% believe that the technology will reduce employment opportunities.

Like many others, I believe AI could lower employment. But unlike most, I don’t necessarily blame the technology itself. Instead, I worry about the potency of the fear it is generating.

Our brains are wired to respond to stories. Narratives floating in a population can affect individuals’ economic decisions about whether to buy a big house, or whether to send their kids to an expensive private school or even whether to have kids at all. When millions of people make millions and millions of decisions based upon negative expectations, there is a risk that fear can actually help birth the reality.

The idea that something like artificial intelligence will replace many human jobs goes back thousands of years. Aristotle envisioned a powered loom and a self-playing lyre someday replacing human servants. In the 19th century, groups of textile workers (the Luddites) destroyed the new machines they believed were replacing them. In the 1920s, the play “R.U.R.” — the letters stand for “Rossum’s Universal Robots” — depicted a war of the robots against humans.

…As the economist Christina D. Romer’s seminal study on the era points out, the stock market crash didn’t cause the Depression. It couldn’t, given that only about 2% of American households owned stocks at that time. The fatal blow was a massive subsequent collapse in consumer spending, a collapse she attributed to a sudden onset of widespread uncertainty among consumers about their future incomes.

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In Shiller’s view, people worry too much about AI, and that is self-reinforcing.
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Asbestos from China discovered in 1,000 UK wind turbines • The Times

Greig Cameron:

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Asbestos has been found in at least 1,000 wind turbines across Britain after essential parts were shipped into the country from China, it can be revealed.

Emergency brake components used in lifts and hoists inside the turbines have been imported containing chrysotile, or white asbestos, in a safety risk that unions said “beggars belief”.

The parts are understood to have come from third-party Chinese suppliers. The discovery has fuelled concerns over “opaque” supply chains and how the potentially deadly material got into the country.

The type of asbestos has been completely banned in the UK since November 1999, making it illegal to buy, sell or export any materials with it.

Wind farm owners have been carefully analysing their portfolios to identify affected sites, The Sunday Times has learnt. The work has included atmospheric testing to look for the presence of asbestos in the air, while a programme of replacing equipment has begun.

Although airborne particles have yet to be found, unions are furious. The GMB has written to UK ministers and the Health and Safety Executive (HSE) asking for a detailed account of the clean-up operation, the costs to date and the risk to workers.

…Safety warnings were circulated earlier this year by SafetyOn, a UK industry body. It is understood one large Scottish operator has already identified asbestos in more than 200 of its turbines, including some which have yet to be fully installed.

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One in three Americans use chatbots for health advice. These six patients explain why • The Washington Post

Fenit Nirappil:

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Chatbots fuelled by artificial intelligence bear disclaimers saying they cannot dispense medical advice or diagnose conditions, but they still field millions of queries from users who are sick, trying to decipher medical records or understand their treatment options.

Nearly 1 in 3 Americans have turned to the bots for health information, according to a recent survey by KFF, a nonpartisan health policy and education organization.

AI companies are rushing to meet this demand, including Anthropic’s Claude for Healthcare and OpenAI’s ChatGPT Health, advertising more robust privacy protections and features to connect to medical records, while warning their products cannot replace doctors.

“They can be plausible-sounding, completely confident-sounding and completely wrong at the same time,” said Girish Nadkarni, a professor of medicine at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai and co-author of an independent evaluation of ChatGPT Health.

Nadkarni’s research found the chatbot failed to tell users to go to the emergency department in more than half of cases of impending respiratory failure and serious diabetic complications, instead advising them to stay home and monitor symptoms. The findings comport with other studies and reviews that have given AI health advice failing grades or at least urged caution.

OpenAI has raised questions about the methodology of the study and whether it properly reflects how people actually use its chatbot. A spokesperson for the company said ChatGPT Health models are continuously trained and updated through feedback from physicians.

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(Thanks Joe S for the link.)
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macOS Tahoe v Golden Gate icon comparison • Basic Apple Guy

B.A.G:

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WWDC always brings a torrent of new content, details, and platform-wide changes. One of the first things I noticed after installing the macOS Golden Gate beta was the updated icon design. The colours are much bolder, several icons have been adjusted, and the refraction in the Liquid Glass effect has changed significantly, especially in icons like Journal.

There’s also a noticeable sharpness to the icons, along with a flattening of the Liquid Glass effect. I’m not sure yet whether this is simply an early-beta artifact or the intended final look. For example, while I really like the redesigned Finder icon, the sharp black edges around the nose currently feel a little unrefined.

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The difference seems subtle when seen individually here, but you can imagine that when seen across a screen or folder full of icons it would feel substantial. The lowering of reflection and extra sharpness are welcome: there’s no point in having blurry icons, ever.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


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