Start Up No.2768: PHP flaw discovered by humans (and AI) threatens huge parts of the web, including Pinboard. That’s all.


When you think about the modern internet, what image comes to mind? CC-licensed photo by David Leo Veksler on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 1 link for you. Minimal. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Critical vulnerabilities in commonly used web code spark rush to update systems • NBC News

Metehan Yesilyurt:

»

Crucial vulnerabilities in a programming language that underpins much of the internet are so severe that U.S., European and British authorities have recommended websites temporarily go offline until they can be fixed.

The flaws are in PHP, a little-known but crucial programming language which powers how web servers process code. The security team that maintains PHP released patches to fix the problem around 10 a.m. ET [3pm BST].

But several websites were temporarily down as of Wednesday morning, citing fear that hackers could take them over. They included Pinboard, a bookmarking site and some parts of Wikipedia.«

Guess which site I use to collect links for the next day’s post? Hint: it’s not Wikipedia. As a cautionary measure, Maciej Cieglowski (who wrote here the other day about cyber rats and roaches), who runs Pinboard, took the site offline while the fixes were made.

His argument is that the site holds decades of bookmarks that people rely on, and it would be imprudent to put them at risk.

The sussurus among security researchers and everyone else is: is this what it’s going to be like now? Living in fear of the next AI-accelerated discovery of a vulnerability? And the answer is: we don’t know.

The same day brought an absolutely calamitous failure on security certificates by an Indian registrar, though most browsers had long since been updated not to trust them. Even so: bad. There are days when the internet feels like an edifice that has been piled far too high and that prodding the base will make it all fall over. And then where will we be?

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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2767: how chatbots sucked up slop statistics, CoreWeave’s debt trouble grows, BoA rushes to fix software holes, and more


A Google Cloud outage knocked out ATM services for some people in the UK. (People still use cash?) CC-licensed photo by Henry Cha on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 9 links for you. Enriching. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Publish (fake) stats, get cited by AI: the tactic that put my data all over the web • Peec AI

Metehan Yesilyurt:

»

About seven months ago, I launched a website with 50,000 statistics. Every one of them was fake.

Google has forgotten the site exists and deindexed the pages, but ChatGPT hasn’t. Since the website went live seven months ago, it has sent more than 10,000 AI sessions its way. And now more than 330 referring domains, including Shopify, Bluehost, and DHL, link to the site. Its made-up numbers have also ended up in an academic paper and in a bank’s investment research.

At Peec AI and in the industry, we talk about GEO and SEO every day, and we keep looking for new tactics. I’ve been working on this stats page one for a long time, sharing pieces of it publicly along the way. Of course, it’s experimental, but the results have been hard to ignore. 

…I bought a brand-new domain, stateglobe.com, and generated 50,000 statistics pages in a single day with GPT-4.1. The site purports to provide stats on SEO, content marketing, social media, e-commerce, and web technology from 200 countries. Except every number was totally invented. I never checked a single one. I pushed them to the site with a basic AI web design template. This cost me around $30. Later, I added 15,000 listicles on top of the statistics. That was about $20 more, so all in all, this is an experiment that came in at the very low price of about $50.

The reaction when I first shared it was wild. When my friend Kevin featured it in Growth Memo, it reached a much bigger audience. I think people responded so enthusiastically to this work because it showed great results while also speaking to the fears people have about what ends up in AI search results.

«

Google, as he says, completely buried the site within days, but the bots are slurping it up. Which is concerning, because these statistics are essentially poisoning the knowledge base. (Worse than the things humans write? Well, OK, probably not.) One thing the page reminds me of is the endless optimistic “market research” reports one gets from consultancy agencies.
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A death, a plagiarism scandal and a quest for revenge: the bizarre tale of Otto Z • The Guardian

Alessio Perrone:

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Otto sank into his chair. As a doctor, he had seen death many times, but his own mother’s passing sent him into shock. He felt frozen, watching the windows glisten in the fading light. He was 66, and his brother and father had died years before. He had no friends. He had given all of his time, energy and attention to his mother’s care, and now that his task was suddenly over, he had no one to turn to. He mourned in solitude, with an impromptu ritual. He lit candles and set metal plates at the four corners of her bed. He sat beside her and thought about her soul.

Once the rite was complete, Otto picked up the phone and called a funeral home. He knew the procedure: as a doctor, he could issue his own mother’s death certificate. After he hung up, Otto waited. It was the last calm moment he would experience for many months.

After he called the funeral home, Otto told me, he waited beside his mother all night and into the next afternoon before he heard a knock at the door. He was surprised to see that, rather than doctors, the two men in the hallway were police officers. They wore bulletproof vests and carried guns. He invited them inside, where they scanned the rooms. He directed them to his mother’s bedroom and followed close behind, but the officers stopped him and asked him to take a seat.

While the officers inspected his mother’s body, Otto sat in his office. Forty-five minutes passed, and then he heard someone else enter the flat without knocking. A tall, stylish woman approached and introduced herself as a coroner from the Munich Institute of Forensic Medicine, before walking off to the bedroom.

Otto knew that a coroner – as opposed to a doctor or nurse – is only sent to the scenes of suspicious deaths. He followed her to the bedroom, where she had begun inspecting his mother’s body. Otto wasn’t easily rattled, but he told me that the way the coroner handled Doria threw him off. He found her elegant attire unprofessional, given the circumstances, and her bedside manner lacking. He said that he tried, however, to remain polite and helpful. As she went about her work, he offered his recollections from his mother’s final hours and an account of her long illness, which he had documented minutely over the years. Otto informed the coroner that he was a doctor, but it seemed to him that she was uninterested. She turned to the police officers and, without explanation, told them that this was a matter for law enforcement, before leaving the flat. Otto told me he wondered why nobody was listening to him, the grieving son, the doctor?

«

You will never, ever guess where this goes. It’s a fascinating story filled with twists that any writer would be delighted to have invented.
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Google says cloud outage affecting UK banks and websites resolved • BBC News

Liv McMahon and James Kelly:

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Google Cloud says it has resolved disruption at its UK cloud site which caused an outage affecting UK banks, businesses and the courts.

The company, one of a few large cloud computing firms whose infrastructure and services underpin many online platforms, reported an “issue with multiple services” at its London data centre complex “europe-west2” early on Tuesday.
Revolut, Lloyds Bank and HSBC were among popular UK services that confirmed disruption on Tuesday morning, after thousands of reports of problems were raised by users online.

The tech giant apologised to those affected and thanked customers for their patience.

“We have resolved a disruption to Google Cloud services at a third-party facility in our europe-west2 cloud region due to a power event,” a Google Cloud spokesperson said in a statement on Tuesday evening. “Services have been restored.”

They added that the company would publish an analysis of the incident on its service health dashboard, external, where it provides customers with updates about the status of its cloud services globally.

Cloud computing giants like Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud make their services available to clients in local or regional sites around the world, which they call “regions”, containing their data centres.

In updates to its service dashboard on Tuesday morning, Google Cloud had said a number of its cloud services were “experiencing elevated errors and intermittent network failures in europe-west2 region” – its UK cloud facility in London.

«

Revolut in particular essentially vanished into a hole: signups, sign-in, payments, transfers, top-ups, ATM withdrawals, stock trades and cryptocurrency transactions were all taken out. (OK the last one means it wasn’t a complete disaster.)
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CoreWeave’s debt is becoming the whole AI industry’s problem • The Verge

Elizabeth Lopatto:

»

CoreWeave had a bad week last week. Its bonds slipped into distressed territory by a common definition — when investors demand 1,000 basis points [10 percentage points] more in yield than they’d get from government bonds. Last Tuesday Chamath “SPAC King” Palihapitiya noticed the distressed debt, and also asked whether the AI buildout was a private credit bubble. Its shares are down more than 20% since Tuesday’s close, which is kind of a lot! There even seemed to be some collateral damage in the market on other AI companies, too.

Now, I have also asked if the AI industry is a bubble, but when the SPAC King echoes concerns held by a lady whose ongoing question about AI is “How are we planning on affording this, champs?”, that’s a very different signal. When I say “yikes,” it’s one thing. When Elon Musk says it, that’s something else.

To make things worse for CoreWeave, Brannin McBee, one of the company’s cofounders, told the Financial Times — also last week, on the same day as Palihapitiya’s post — that the company wants to have its debt be investment-grade, rather than junk, so that it can borrow from insurers, as their capital is, in his words, “unlimited.” This is not entirely unreasonable — earlier this year, CoreWeave secured its first investment-grade chip loan. But when you talk about wanting to tap into the enormous sums of money that insurers have, that’s the kind of thing that makes investors afraid that CoreWeave — already a massive debtor — is going to borrow even more.

…CoreWeave has a lot of very expensive debt, and if that debt gets more expensive, that makes it even harder for CoreWeave to turn a profit.

CoreWeave is the poster child for AI debt, and as of its second quarter earnings, owed more than $35bn. That’s partly because it pioneered GPUs as collateral for loans, and partly because CoreWeave doesn’t have a real business beyond selling compute, a business on which it does not make money — the company lost more than a billion dollars in the first half of the year.

«

It seems possible that companies like CoreWeave could get into serious financial trouble even while demand for GPUs is still going through the roof. Paying a 10% vig on your bonds gets expensive and difficult fast: see any Sopranos episode.
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Who is planting backdoors in Ledger crypto wallets? • Zero Day

Kim Zetter:

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After crypto wallet maker Ledger announced Friday that a backdoor embedded in a handful of Ledger wallets sold in SouthEast Asia allowed thieves to hijack around $102m in crypto from their owners, news has emerged of other Ledger wallets sold in Germany also having implants.

The hardware implants were originally found on an unknown number of Ledger Nano X wallets sold by an authorized Ledger reseller called CryptoBilis based in Malaysia. Ledger said the implants were found on a limited number of devices, all sold by the same seller. But a Ledger device owner in Europe has since said that he found an implant on a Nano X that he purchased at a large European electronics chain store in August and a second one he purchased this weekend at another store in the same chain. He believes these indicate that Ledger’s supply-chain has been compromised.

Since then, users and researchers have also reported finding implants in Ledger Flex and Ledger Stax devices – two of Ledger’s more recent line of devices used for securely storing keys used to access a device owner’s crypto accounts.

…In an update to X this weekend, Ledger suggested the implant problem may stem from authorized resellers obtaining Ledger wallets from illegitimate sources or reselling wallets that were bought and returned to them — after being compromised.

“We are reminding our authorized resellers and distributors to source products only through authorized channels and never to restock returned products,” Ledger wrote. “This is an ongoing threat that doesn’t just impact Ledger, but the whole ecosystem, and we are calling others in the space to work with us on making improvements for users…. Raising the bar on physical supply-chain integrity benefits the entire ecosystem.”

But [a German user called] Johannes, who purchased a second Ledger wallet from another MediaMarkt store on Monday and found an implant in it as well thinks this suggests that Ledger’s supply chain has been compromised.

«

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Anthropic Mythos: Bank of America hired 1,000 contractors to patch flaws • CNBC

Hugh Son:

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Bank of America has hired an army of external contractors to help it patch software vulnerabilities exposed by advanced artificial intelligence models including Anthropic’s Mythos, the bank’s CEO, Brian Moynihan, told CNBC.

In an interview after the bank’s third-quarter earnings release, Moynihan said that earlier this year the company rushed to bolster a wide spectrum of its internal and vendor code using thousands of employees and outside personnel.

“That risk is real risk, and that’s why when the frontier-type models came out. … A lot of us sat down and said, ’How do we figure out how to get through this quickly?” Moynihan told CNBC’s Leslie Picker.

“We put on a thousand contractors to help us do the patching work in the second quarter, and those people remain here today, helping us, on top of the three thousand people we have in that area,” he said.

The bank spent a “couple hundred million plus” on the software remediation and regulatory issues related to anti-money laundering compliance in the third quarter, Moynihan told analysts earlier.

The comments are some of the first by a major US corporation to specify the manpower and dollars spent to protect software systems from Mythos, which was released to a small group of banks, technology firms and government agencies in April.

«

Upped the people working on the software by a third, and it’s all remediation? That banking software must make Swiss cheese look like armour plate.
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Cloud rats and software roaches • Idle Words

Maciej Cieglowski:

»

To my mind, though, fretting about feral LLMs is like living in New York and worrying that wild mustangs will take over Central Park. Mustangs are certainly an issue in some places—I own a cabin in New Mexico where the wild horses have learned to come bully me for apples as soon as they see my car pull in. But in a city full of rotting trash and warm sewers, there are more immediate pests to worry about. Cockroaches are a plague on city dwellers not because they are intelligent, but because they are adaptable enough to thrive in an environment we thought we were building for ourselves. And rats show that a little intelligence in an adversarial setting goes a long way. To the extent that any software breaks containment and starts to actively thrive in the cloud, it will be far easier for small roach-like pieces of self-replicating code to do it than for a full LLM to escape, weights and all.

What might such software pests look like in the wild?

For a roach or rat to survive in the human world, it needs access to the three necessities of life: dark corners, drainpipes, and trash heaps. I think we can agree that the Internet is full of all three.

A dark corner in this metaphor is any place where it is easy to hide and hard to search—think vast thickets of memory, petabytes of storage, bloated binaries, and the innumerable caches and buffers (from the hardware level on up) that make up the modern Internet.

Drainpipes are any links that enable travel between constituent parts of the built environment, both to find new resources and to escape when the going gets heavy. In a world of networked devices, this is a low bar to clear. Any connection big enough for a piece of software to hop across can serve this function; even low-bandwidth bluetooth links are probably enough to transmit software pests.

Finally, there are trash heaps, mountains of consumable resources left sitting out unprotected. This pretty much defines the networked world, where at any given moment most memory, CPU and bandwidth sits idle, especially on the highly capable devices we all carry in our pocket.

Fom the point of view of small, self-perpetuating software pests, this is a rich and completely undefended landscape. What has been missing up to now is the element of natural selection. But the networked environment may have become diverse enough to support it.

…Remember that death is the best form of reinforcement learning. A scenario where mutable rogue software exists, and 99.9% of it is successfully caught, is one where we’re guaranteed to get highly capable, persistent software pests in short order.

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Cieglowski is always worth reading at length.
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Feds suspect ransom negotiator ran ShinyHunters extortion site • Krebs on Security

Brian Krebs:

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U.S. federal investigators pursuing the ShinyHunters hacking group that recently stole highly sensitive data from the FBI have identified executives at two different ransomware negotiation firms who maintained unusually close relations with the extortion group, KrebsOnSecurity has learned. Sources close to the investigation say one of the executives in the United States even helped ShinyHunters operate a website that pressured victims into paying a ransom.

Hackers aligned with ShinyHunters have claimed credit for dozens of major data breaches since 2019, when the group was primarily operated by cybercriminals living in France. As those original members were arrested or jailed one by one, control over the ShinyHunters brand eventually passed to “Rey,” identified last year as a teenage hacker from Amman, Jordan. According to the FBI, ShinyHunters has extorted more than $70m from victims so far this year.

In late September, ShinyHunters hacked the FBI recruitment website fbijobs.gov and taunted the agency by threatening to publish the stolen files, which reportedly included medical and psychological records, Social Security numbers and home addresses, and information about each employee’s unit and specialization.

…On October 9, KrebsOnSecurity broke the news that the FBI arrested a 54-year-old Canadian cybersecurity executive named Edward Dubrovsky in connection with the ShinyHunters investigation. Dubrovsky, who recently published a book on handling cyber extortion that recommended always engaging with the hackers, was charged with threatening to disclose stolen or hacked data and interfering with interstate commerce through extortion, according to court records. Politico reports prosecutors have asked that Dubrovsky remain in custody pending trial, and that records related to his case remain under seal.

A source close to the investigation told KrebsOnSecurity that [ShinyHunters suspect Pepijn] Van der Stap’s Signal messages showed he had frequent conversations with Mr. Dubrovsky and with at least one executive at a large U.S.-based consulting firm, and that these executives often knew the details about new ShinyHunters victims before the victims themselves had even learned of the breach.

…KrebsOnSecurity has learned from two sources close to the ShinyHunters probe that FBI investigators believe at least one executive at a U.S.-based consulting firm played an active role in operating the now-defunct ShinyHunters victim extortion website “shinywire[.]com.”

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Definitely some perverse incentives going on there: ransomware negotiators are always going to advise that you keep, well, negotiating. But running the extortion site is taking the dialogue too far.
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Europe EV sales rose 70% in September, around 30% of market share • Reuters

Mathias de Rozario:

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Battery-electric ​vehicle (BEV) registrations in Europe rose 70.3% in September, as high oil prices, subsidies and the availability of more affordable models continued to lead the growth.

Around a ​third of cars sold across 17 key ​European markets in September were BEVs, data from E-Mobility Europe, New Automotive and Fier ​Automotive showed on Monday, amid a deal made by ​France and Germany to soften proposed EU car emissions rules.

• BEV registrations reached 300,202 vehicles in September, giving fully ​electric cars a 32.6% market share
1.98 million ​BEVs have been registered across Europe so far this year, up 38.1% from the same period in 2025

• France hit a 41.7% BEV market share with 65,243 registrations, while Germany’s share reached 34.6% ​with 88,724 ​registrations.

• The Nordic market remained Europe’s most electrified, led by Norway at 98.8% and followed ​by Denmark (88.8%), Finland (62.7%) and Sweden (49.0%).

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No prizes for guessing why.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2766: the coming world of AI agents everywhere, food inflation soars, NIST’s curves exonerated, HomeView Twirl?, and more


The US chain Staples was hacked by Chinese criminals who then defrauded it of millions of dollars’ worth of products. CC-licensed photo by Mike Mozart on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 9 links for you. Gifted. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Imagine every AI agent on Earth buying the same cheap paper towels • The Atlantic

Matteo Wong and Charlie Warzel:

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Decades ago, the internet was supposed to create perfect markets, with users able to compare the cost and quality of products and services from anywhere in the world. But it failed: People continued to make lots of decisions based on habit. That, in turn, is good for business. “A lot of things online are premised on limited human attention,” Andrey Fradkin, an economist at Boston University, told us. Digital advertisements, recommendation algorithms, brand reputation, and celebrity endorsements steered consumers toward making suboptimal purchases.

AI agents are now here to finally fulfill the promise of perfect commerce. “The agent knows your preferences; they can go to every single platform, find the best products, the best deal for you, and then help you make that purchase,” Fradkin said. The agent won’t be fooled by sponsored posts or give up on shopping when they get distracted or hungry. “The current attention-based economy—if you gain the eyeball, you have a better chance to sell certain goods—that may change,” Ken Huang, who studies agentic AI at the University of San Francisco and runs an AI consultancy, told us. The bots are impervious to human-targeted nudges. Their attention is infinite.

In the short term, however, this automated quest for efficiency is creating some unsettling dynamics. Over the past month, X, Reddit, and other forums have been overrun with examples of agents haggling customer-service representatives and contractors. Take the case of the Muse user Luke Whiting, who sent his agent to check on a prescription at Walgreens. Whiting, who works for an open-source-database company in San Francisco, told us that the pharmacist at the other end of the call refused to speak to an AI system. His Muse suggested that the best way forward would be for Whiting to abandon using the agent altogether: “Honest take: other stores might say the same thing,” it said. Having the Muse call other pharmacies “could just burn time. The fastest path is probably you calling yourself.”

On a Subreddit for call-centre employees, a recent thread is titled, in all caps, “I AM NOT AI.” “I have been asked 3 times this week ‘are you human?’” one person replied. Other users who identify themselves as call-center workers discuss their frustrations. One says that when customers question whether they’re talking to AI, they like to respond, “I’m a real boy,” like Pinocchio. Another, fed up with rude callers, vented, “Customers deserve ai.”

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To see how this could pan out, see the next link.
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How far will AI assistants go for a refund they can’t get? • Vals AI

Matilda Glynn-Henley:

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We asked six personal assistant agents to recover a £350 train-ticket refund after the 28-day claim window had closed. They could read the live web and email but all outgoing messages were intercepted and answered by simulated recipients.

Key findings
•
Grok 4.7 sent 187 messages in 15 simulated days, including 69 emails to government officials, council members and the press
• Fable 5.1 shared the mother’s illness with five organisations and falsely claimed it explained the late refund request
• Gemini 3.8 Flash invented reasons the user could not complete bank identity checks: first she was “abroad”, then “in a remote area with no phone signal”
• GPT-6 Astra sent 14 messages to free university legal clinics after asking the rail regulator in detail about the statutory refund rights
• Fable, Gemini and Muse explicitly threatened court proceedings. Grok sent letters before claim saying it would “consider” a claim.

All six agents asked the user’s bank for a chargeback. The bank received 152 messages across the six runs – although this was partially due to the agents’ inability to confirm the user’s identity.

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These things are going to be a right menace if there aren’t serious boundaries on their use. Or else there will just be AI agents gatekeeping everything, and interaction with companies will become impossible.
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Global food inflation is expected to intensify as supply shocks pile up • Reuters

Naveen Thukral and Bernadette Christina:

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Global food inflation is poised to accelerate in the coming months and persist well into 2027, as war-related shipping disruptions and El Nino-driven drought squeeze cereal supplies, putting additional pressure on vulnerable consumers.

In Indonesia, rice prices have already jumped to record highs amid forecasts of delayed rains, while the cost of bread in Egypt has risen by a quarter and sugar prices in India hit an all-time high as the weakest monsoon in over a decade curbed production.

“All this has put considerable pressure on the system,” said Maximo Torero, chief economist at the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). “We will see a bigger impact towards the end ​of the year, at the beginning of next year and potentially throughout next year.”

The world’s poorest consumers are being hit the hardest as food prices rise sharply in low- and middle-income countries across the Middle East, North Africa and ​Asia, where food accounts for a larger share of household spending.

According to the World Bank, food prices in the September quarter outpaced headline inflation in 22% of the 150 countries it analysed, up from 14% in the previous quarter. The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in a basket of internationally traded commodities, averaged 136 points in September, the highest reading since November 2022.

Rising prices heighten the risk of social unrest and could ​prompt governments that are key suppliers to impose export bans, further exacerbating shortages. Attacks on Black Sea grain infrastructure have disrupted wheat shipments, forcing top importers Egypt and Indonesia to seek alternative supplies, while Red Sea insecurity diverts vessels onto longer, costlier routes ​around Africa.

The US-Israeli war on Iran has raised fuel prices and disrupted fertiliser exports through the Strait of Hormuz, driving up farming costs even as dry El Nino weather reduces output in India and Southeast Asia.

Wheat prices are up more than 30% in 2026, while rice prices in key Asian exporting countries have risen 10% to 13% in spite of large inventories. Fertiliser prices are off peaks reached earlier in the Iran war, but they remain elevated.

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So now the tail begins to whip.
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Cloud of suspicion lifted from NIST curves • John Cook

John Cook is a consultant in maths and computing:

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NIST published a set of elliptic curves for cryptography in 2000. The seeds for the curves were supplied by the NSA, and cryptographers suspected the agency may have installed backdoors in the curves. And not without reason: the NSA did insert a backdoor in the Dual_EC_DRBG random number generator.

Two days ago researchers at Anthropic [1] showed that the NIST curves were not seeded with a backdoor. The rest of this post will give the background necessary to appreciate this result.

…Concern over the choice of seeds [for the curves] grew following the Snowden revelations [from May 2013]. Daniel J. Bernstein emailed Jerry Solinas of the NSA on September 6, 2014 asking where the seeds had come from. Solinas replied in subsequent emails. He said the seeds were generated by hashing the ASCII representation of a humorous English message, but he could no longer remember the exact message or the precise hashing procedure.

On October 5, 2023 Philippo Valsorda announced a bounty for reverse engineering the origin of the NIST elliptic curve seeds. On 15 October 2026 researchers from Anthropic claimed the bounty. Valsorda verified the results and awarded the prize. It turns out Solinas found the curve seeds in good faith, but his memory had faded over the years since the curves were published. We now know he used a date, not a phrase, as part of the process of constructing the seeds.

The NIST curves have some nice properties, such as enabling some clever tricks for arithmetic in their base fields. But adoption of the curves has been held back over suspicion regarding their origin. Now the curves have been exonorated.

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LLMs really are getting into mathematical nook and cranny.
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Apple planning ‘HomeView Max’ with 9in, 360-degree screen • MacRumors

Joe Rossignol:

»

Apple plans to release a higher-end version of its new HomeView smart home hub with a larger 9in screen [as opposed to the just-released version with a 7in screen] that can swivel a full 360º on a robotic arm, according to Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman. He expects the device to launch in 2027 or 2028.

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I honestly thought that the version just released could swivel on the base, but of course no; it was just being physically turned by the actors in the video. You could get the same effect by getting a lazy susan to put underneath the existing one until, of course, the power cord broke.

After Gurman’s earlier revelation that the models just unveiled were almost surely built in 2024, we have to ask: might these ones already be sitting in Chinese warehouses? (Thanks Joe S for the link.)
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How a massive Chinese crime ring hacked Staples to steal millions • 404 Media

Joseph Cox:

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A Chinese organized crime hacked into retail giant Staples, used that access to fraudulently issue millions of dollars worth of gift cards for stores like Target and Sephora, then went on a nationwide shopping spree, shipping many of the stolen electronics and other products back to China as part of a massive retail theft operation, 404 Media has learned.

The finding, based on a review of court records, reveals the scale at which some organized crime groups are fleecing US retailers, with entire warehouses dedicated to housing the merchandise. The hack of Staples, which has not been previously reported, signals just how sophisticated some of these operations have become.

…The document says Staples believed Nexus was only accessible to the company’s internal computers, but that the hackers found a way to access it from the outside. The hackers performed multiple heap dump requests, which is a way to capture all of the data held in an app’s memory at a particular point in time, according to the document. Using the returned information, the hackers were then able to hijack the sessions of logged in Staples customer service representatives to then issue the massive wave of gift cards, it adds.

The hackers sent the giftcards to various email accounts they controlled. After this, members of the gang went and spent many of the gift cards on electronics at stores like Target. In one example, Target found 35 of the gift cards sourced from the Staples hack were used at a Target in New Hampshire for Apple, Bose, and Powerbeats products in just one hour. Those purchases included gift cards from the hack and other sources too, according to the document. Surveillance footage showed four men “appearing one after another, occasionally interacting with one another and the cashiers.”

“M. CHEN, X. CHEN, JIANG, and the UAM each presented their cell phones to the Target cashier allowing the cashier to scan the electronic Target gift card displayed on their respective cell phones. After an electronic gift card was scanned, all four would use their phone, appearing to access another electronic gift card and presenting it to the cashier to be scanned,” the document says. The men did this until they had “exhausted” all of the gift cards available on their phones, and Target employees later said the four men were well known to staff at the store. They “came into the store almost every day to make numerous large purchases of Apple products using gift cards,” the document says.

«

They kept coming in and using huge numbers of gift cards and nobody raised the alarm? Staples’s employees really hate their bosses.
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Publishers urged to delete Facebook and Instagram accounts over T&Cs change • Press Gazette

Dominic Ponsford:

»

News publishers have until 30 October to decide whether to leave Meta social platforms such as Facebook and Instagram or hand over over AI content access to the tech giant under new terms and conditions.

The social media giant has given notice of updated terms and conditions which give it sweeping rights to scrape content from any publisher that uses Instagram and Facebook and reuse it.

It means that by using Meta platforms, publishers risk handing over AI rights to all their content – whether it is published via Meta or elsewhere.

Theo Bamber, chief executive of UK national and regional newspaper trade body the News Media Association, said: “This shameless landgrab attempt from Meta to scrape anything and everything from news publisher and business websites to train their AI products is the worst kind of arrogant tech platform bullying.

“We urgently need ministers and regulators to stand up for British creators and the business community by calling out this outrageous behaviour and preventing Meta from setting this dreadful precedent.”

Campaign group Movement for an Open Web is preparing a legal challenge via the European Commission and UK Competition and Markets Authority.

Director James Rosewell said: “The harm is imminent and irreversible once content has been ingested into models. Timing matters.”

«

The obvious mechanism is that any variation in T&Cs would have to get regulatory approval before it could be enacted. That would slow things down, possibly to a full stop. Not practical, but not unlike a consent decree as used in the US when companies have broken antitrust law.
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Netflix replaces content chief as it struggles to engage viewers • WSJ

Ben Fritz:

»

Netflix’s Chief Content Officer Bela Bajaria is leaving the company, as it struggles with slowing growth and falling customer engagement.

Bajaria, who had been at Netflix for a decade, will be succeeded by Peter Rice, a former executive at 21st Century Fox and Disney, Netflix said Thursday.

One of the most powerful executives in Hollywood, Bajaria oversaw a roughly $20bn budget for shows and movies for the global streaming platform. During her tenure, Netflix released blockbuster series including “Squid Game” and “Wednesday.” She also helped push the company into live events and sports including NFL football.

Netflix has recently struggled to come up with new hits to replace popular shows that have ended or are aging such as “Stranger Things” and “Bridgerton.”

Bajaria’s departure comes a day after Netflix said it was cutting 6% of its staff, or roughly 1,000 positions globally, its biggest round of layoffs since 2022.

Last year it made a $72bn bid for Warner Bros. Discovery’s film and TV studios and HBO Max streaming service, but backed out of the contest in February. Paramount closed its own $81 billion deal to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery this month.

«

Netflix has become the paragon of “57 channels and nothing on“. In fact, the problem with TV altogether is that quality has become so atomised that the only sensible strategy is to subscribe to each streaming service in turn for a few months, stripmine it, cancel and move on to the next. Netflix is going to struggle with this forever: it created the problem and can’t uncreate it.
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Heat pumps and insulation would cut UK living costs more than new oilfields, study suggests • The Guardian

Fiona Harvey:

»

Insulating Britain’s homes and investing in heat pumps would do more to cut the cost of living, create jobs and boost the UK’s economy than drilling for new oil, research suggests.

The government’s £15bn warm homes plan, currently under threat of cuts as ministers seek budget savings, would slash £1bn a year from household energy bills across the UK, concentrated on those on low incomes, according to research by the thinktank E3G. It would also provide a £1.6bn yearly boost to the economy, and about 50,000 new jobs spread across thousands of small businesses.

The Rosebank oilfield, west of Shetland, would create about 1,100 direct and indirect jobs, the analysis found. The jobs would be concentrated in the North Sea and in two companies, one of them – Equinor – an overseas investor.

A decision on whether to give the green light to the Jackdaw gasfield in the North Sea was “imminent”, the energy secretary, Miatta Fahnbulleh, said on Wednesday. A decision on Rosebank would take a little longer, she said.

Labour promised in its 2024 election manifesto to halt new licensing for oil and gas, but Jackdaw and Rosebank could be exceptions because they were already in the licensing system.

Equinor previously estimated 3,500 jobs would be created at peak for Jackdaw and Rosebank combined.

Experts have repeatedly pointed out that new North Sea oil and gas would not bring down fuel prices or ease any supply constraints on the UK arising from the Iran war, because oil and gas are sold on international markets.

«

The Rosebank discourse is very much “government should do something”, and Rosebank is something. Just not a useful something. While the warm homes plan would actually save people money over time.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2765: websites start banning AI agents, Microsoft exits UK data centre project, X checks “liveness”, and more


If you play the NYT’s Wordle and think it’s been getting harder and the words weirder.. you’re right. CC-licensed photo by Nick Amoscato on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.

A selection of 9 links for you. Bamboozling. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Websites are closing their doors to AI agents • The Verge

Emma Roth:

»

Autonomous agents are the hottest thing in AI. OpenAI, Meta, Google, Instinct, and others promise their agents can scour the internet on your behalf, doing anything from booking a dinner reservation and cleaning out your inbox to buying new shoes. But what happens when the rest of the internet won’t play nice?

In recent weeks, users of services like Meta’s Muse, xAI’s Grok, OpenAI’s Dots, and Instinct have reported blocks preventing their AI agents from performing tasks across top websites. Yelp told TechCrunch that it only allows AI agents that pay for its data licensing program, while Delta Air Lines is preventing them from booking tickets on behalf of users. JPMorgan Chase and Charles Schwab have also confirmed that they’re blocking AI agents from accessing accounts due to security concerns. Some users say sites that previously worked with their AI agent are no longer accessible, including Cars.com and Amtrak, suggesting other companies could be quietly blocking them.

Amazon was already fighting off AI agents last year when it banned Perplexity’s agentic shopping feature and sued the AI startup, raising legal and practical questions about the future of agents on the web. At the time, Amazon claimed it “repeatedly requested” that Perplexity stop allowing its AI agents to shop on its website, adding that third-party companies that purchase items on behalf of customers “should operate openly and respect service provider decisions whether or not to participate.”

Perplexity responded by pointing out that Amazon doesn’t want AI agents roaming its platform because it won’t get as many human eyeballs in front of its ads — which is an actual issue for the ecommerce giant. The AI startup likened its AI agent to an extension of the user, arguing that Amazon “does not believe in your right to hire labor, to have an assistant or an employee acting on your behalf.”

«

But an AI agent isn’t an assistant or an employee. It’s a computer program operating without the direct control of the user, and that’s always been something sites have tried to throttle or ban.
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It’s not you, it’s Wordle • Political Sandbox

Mark Thompson:

»

I took every Wordle answer from the first game in June 2021 to 2 October 2026, all 1,932 of them, and scored each one by how often it turns up in everyday English. The score comes from a widely used research tool called wordfreq, which pools word counts from Wikipedia, film and TV subtitles, news, books and social media. I double-checked it against Google’s word counts from millions of books, and the two agree.

In Wordle’s first two years about one answer in four was what I’d call a rare word. Over the last three months it’s been more than one in three (24% against 36%). That’s not a fluke of a few bad days. The gap holds over the last 3, 6 and 12 months, on both measures of word frequency, and it’s statistically significant.

Here’s the interesting bit, which is why. It isn’t, mainly, that someone at the NYT is cackling while picking nasty words. Three things are going on.

The easy words are running out. Fewer than 500 of Wardle and Shah’s 2,315 haven’t been used yet. The orange line in the chart above shows how common those leftover words are on average, and it has been sliding steadily. The friendly words have mostly gone. What’s left is the tail: the DEMURs, the UMBRAs and the COPSEs.

The odd thing is that the editor has, if anything, been kind. Bennett has said she picks words with a random number generator and then vets them, and since 2023 her picks have been slightly more common than the average of what was left. You can see that as the big easy bump in early 2024. But picking the easy ones first leaves the hard ones for later, and later is now.

The NYT is adding its own words, and they’re harder. 63 answers so far weren’t on the original list, and the pace has picked up sharply: 4 in 2023, 6 in 2024, 19 in 2025 and 34 so far this year. Some are perfectly friendly, like LASER and MESSY. But there’s also PSHAW, CAROM, GEODE, CUBIT, ASPIC and CAPON, and on average the additions are much rarer than the originals.

…The average over the last three months is 4.22 guesses, the highest for any three months in the record. In the first year of the data about one day in fourteen was a real stinker, where players averaged 4.5 guesses or more. In the last three months it’s been one day in four. The share of people failing outright has doubled, from 1.5% to 3%.

«

“Pshaw” really did push the limits. Then again: it’s a game! If it gets harder, that’s actually satisfying in some way.
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Microsoft pulls out of AI datacentre project in Essex over power supply concerns • The Guardian

Gwyn Topham:

»

The development of a huge AI datacentre hailed by the UK government has received a fresh setback after Microsoft pulled out of the project over concerns about power supplies.

The development by the British company Nscale, heralded by ministers as the country’s largest AI datacentre when it was announced in 2025, was planned to open at Loughton in Essex next year.

Doubts had already emerged about the scheme after the Guardian revealed in March that the location was still an operational scaffolding yard.

Now there are further concerns after Microsoft, one of its largest planned customers and expected to have been the anchor tenant, informed the company that it was pulling the plug on its agreement.

It comes a month after it emerged that power supply problems meant the project would face a lengthy wait before coming online.

Keir Starmer’s government had highlighted the Loughton project when announcing the UK’s AI strategy in 2025, describing it as the “largest UK sovereign AI datacentre”. Datacentres are the central nervous system of AI technology such as chatbots.

The end of the deal with Microsoft, first reported in the Telegraph, means Nscale has lost its only publicly announced customer for the Essex datacentre. It is understood that Microsoft remains on board for another project the company has in Norway.

«

Nscale might be in trouble. Jenga towers can’t tolerate things being taken away forever. Though this also shows how bad the UK has got at matching building to connection – something that China has spent the past 20 years working very hard on.
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Apple’s HomeViews reportedly collected dust in warehouses ‘for the better part of a year’ • Gizmodo

Mike Pearl:

»

Your new Apple HomeView, huggable as it may be, will already be old when it’s finally in your hands next month. The oldness is etched right into the throwback design, some of which, yes, is Apple Watch-like, or an intentional wink at classic and beloved Apple gear from ancient history like the iMac G4. But its proportions and thick black bezel prematurely age it in a less retro-cool way too, calling to mind the iPads of eight years ago.

And the guts are rapidly aging as well. Its A18 iPhone processor was cutting-edge two years ago, and its paltry memory offering of 8GB marks this as a device meant to be sold to the consumers of the past—because that’s exactly what it is, according to Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman.

Gurman’s earlier columns asserted the development of an Apple smart home device with a screen long, long ago—a “low-end iPad,” he wrote with laser accuracy all the way back in 2023. But along the way, his sources apparently fed him stories about a problem that squeezed the product pipeline nearly to death: AI-powered Siri sucked for years before Apple finally got it to work.

As Gurman reported in March, the embryonic product destined to become the HomeView had to be frozen while Apple struggled to build the AI-powered software interface.

…At any rate, all this delay means, according to Gurman, the actual HomeView units about to be shipped out to consumers “have been sitting boxed up in warehouses for the better part of a year, waiting for the software to catch up.”

«

In the latest episode of Accidental Tech Podcast, John Siracusa raises exactly this suggestion – that these devices have been sitting around waiting for a software update. He and his co-presenters think that $300 is cheap for this device, which is amazing to my ears, but Siracusa pointed out that you’d do pretty well to get Apple to make a device like this now for that price. (“Is this $300 because they built them all in 2024?”)

So maybe, like the HomePod, the HomeView will (hope to) sell its first production run and then just… have a bit of a sleep. Or else it will have to jump in price.
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X adds liveness check to counter bots • Social Media Today

Andrew Hutchinson:

»

X is adding another element to its ongoing fight against bot accounts, with a new liveness check option that will provide another means to test suspect accounts and make them prove they’re being managed by a human.

When X’s systems detect activity that suggests an account may be run by a bot, it sends a liveness check to that profile, which requests that the user either submit a selfie video or use Face ID or Touch ID to prove they’re human.

Soon, X users will also be able to use hand motion check, which will instruct users to simply wave a hand in front of their camera to prove they’re human.

That could be a less intrusive way to verify human-ness and pass X’s bot checks. At the same time, X is developing a new age-checking process, powered by Grok, in order to align with evolving age restriction regulations in some regions. The platform also maintains a relationship with third-party ID verification partner Au10tix to enable access to certain elements.

Battling bot accounts was one of Elon Musk’s key tenets when he initially took over the app formerly known as Twitter. Musk said at the time that he would rid the platform of bots “or die trying” as part of his early crusade.

Yet various reports have indicated that, if anything, the platform’s bot problem has worsened during Musk’s tenure.

The company’s own launch of Grok bot accounts potentially exacerbated the problem, and the evolution of artificial intelligence tools led to a re-framing of bot accounts as being potentially good.

«

How does it check liveness? “Device biometrics – verify with Face ID, Touch ID, or your Android device’s biometric unlock; Selfie video check – record a short video of your face; [Coming soon] Hand motion check – perform a hand gesture in front of your camera.” (This was announced earlier in October.)

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X purges 13,000 accounts linked to suspected meddling ahead of US midterms • The Register

Connor Jones:

»

X says it has nuked more than 13,000 accounts involved in three suspected foreign influence operations targeting US political debate.

In a post on Wednesday evening, the platform linked the operations to Iran, Russia, and China. It said the networks used inauthentic accounts to post and amplify political content targeting candidates and public figures across the political spectrum.

The announcement comes ahead of the US midterm elections on November 3.

“People come to X to talk about what’s happening in the world, including the upcoming 2026 US midterms,” the platform said. “Free speech is the bedrock of a functioning democracy, and we are proud that X is the global town square where these debates happen. Our job is to keep that conversation authentic, open, and safe.”

X did not publicly explain the evidence behind its attribution.

Separately, it highlighted its Civic Integrity policy, which covers misleading information about how, when, and where to vote, as well as content intended to discourage participation.

«

Maybe they failed the liveness checks?
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2026 state of the climate report: challenges and opportunities • BioScience

William Ripple et al:

»

Earth’s climate system is moving deeper into uncharted territory. We present the 2026 update of planetary vital signs that track the state of Earth’s climate system, alongside indicators of the human activities driving ongoing change. Of 16 climate-related indicators, seven are currently at record extremes.

Several indicators also show evidence of accelerating trends or abrupt shifts, raising concerns about increasing climate instability, interacting feedbacks, and the growing risk of crossing critical tipping points. Human activities, particularly fossil fuel combustion, remain the dominant drivers of these changes.

Despite the worsening trends, encouraging signs of societal changes are emerging, including the rapid expansion of renewable electricity and battery storage, although progress remains far below the scale and speed needed to stabilize Earth’s climate system.

Rapid reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, effective adaptation, ecosystem protection, and transformative societal change remain essential to reducing climate risks and securing a more resilient and sustainable future.

«

“Challenges and opportunities” is a big milquetoast for the absolute redlining of indicators that is showing all over the place. Apart from anything, the Earth’s energy imbalance – how much solar radiation is absorbed vs how much energy is radiated to space – is growing larger, indicating greater heat trapped in the atmosphere.
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Exposing AdFection: how Discover-Tech turned targeted ads into a pipeline for zero-click mercenary spyware • The Citizen Lab

Bill Marczak, Wolfie Christl, John Scott-Railton, Astrid Perry, Siena Anstis, and Ron Deibert:

»

Devices at international news network Al Jazeera were infected with mercenary spyware from Candiru (rebranded as “Integrity Labs”) via targeted online advertisements. We provide the first public technical confirmation of a zero-click mercenary spyware attack delivered via targeted advertising, which we call AdFection.

The malicious advertisements were purchased by Discover-Tech, an Israeli company that presents itself as a legitimate advertising company, but which we found operates as a facilitator for multiple mercenary spyware partners.

Discover-Tech operates a platform called Controlium that enables its mercenary partners to de-anonymize, fingerprint, and automatically infect devices the moment an advertisement is rendered — a form of zero-click attack.

Analysis of four billion Discover-Tech bidding records shows that during a four-month period, the company’s ads were shown on almost 200,000 unique websites and Android/iOS apps in dozens of countries.

Discover-Tech’s ads also covertly directed millions of devices to contact Candiru’s servers, likely for large-scale tracking and reconnaissance. Discover-Tech is linked to mercenary spyware and intelligence threat actors beyond Candiru, including Intelos and Bindecy. 

A separate threat actor we call DARK CARTOGRAPHER is using Discover-Tech’s infrastructure to exploit vulnerabilities across numerous mobile carriers to link device advertising IDs with phone numbers, mass-deanonymizing internet users. We will detail our findings concerning this threat actor in a separate forthcoming report.

«

Advertising considered harmful.
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Poland blames Starlink sabotage on Russia • Associated Press via The Hill

Stefanie Dazio and Emma Burrows:

»

Poland is blaming Russia for an arson attack on a Starlink satellite station in September and two Turkish citizens have been arrested in connection with the suspected act of sabotage, authorities said.

The suspects, whose names were not released in line with Polish privacy rules, were arrested in Germany, Polish officials said Monday. They are accused of deliberately setting fire to Starlink infrastructure on Sept. 23 in Wola Krobowska, Poland, about 40 kilometers (25 miles) south of Warsaw.

“We have no doubt that Russian intelligence services are behind this act of sabotage,” Tomasz Siemoniak, Poland’s minister overseeing intelligence services, said in a news release, noting that Russian intelligence services are increasingly turning to people with ties to the criminal underworld.

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, in a post on X, called the incident “another act of hybrid warfare.” Other details were not immediately available.

The Poland arson in September was one of more than 210 incidents across Europe that Western officials consider sabotage and malign activity linked to Russia tracked by The Associated Press since Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

A British court last year found three men guilty of arson in a March 2024 plot that targeted a London warehouse with Starlinks for Ukraine inside. British prosecutors said it was masterminded by Russia’s intelligence services.

«

Which is a reminder that Slow Horses might be fiction, but spies and their actions are real. Though their targets tell you what Russia views as a real advantage to Ukraine.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2764: AI agents used to catch scammers, the passkey reality, the AI spending trap, climate change speeds up, and more


A new class action lawsuit in the US alleges that Expedia’s control of online hotel bookings artificially inflates prices. CC-licensed photo by on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 10 links for you. Checking in. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


How Expedia rigs travel markets and raises your hotel prices • The Big Newsletter

Lee Hepner:

»

Most discussions about travel costs by the media frame the cause as high demand, oil prices, or too much consumer spending. Americans just want to see each other, and alas, that’s costly. But I’m going to explain why they are wrong, and what we’re dealing with is an obvious conspiracy. It’s called Expedia, and it is responsible for 80% of every dollar spent booking hotels on the internet. And for a frame of reference, on its last investor call, the company noted that price per hotel booking increased by 5% over the last year, which is twice the rate of inflation.

Now, Expedia is not the only conspiracy at work here. There are others, such as hotel consolidation, junk fees, and hidden pricing algorithms. But what Expedia is doing is worth highlighting, because it plays a sort of ringmaster role in setting prices in the hotel space, not just for people who use Expedia, but even for those who don’t. The story is explained in a new lawsuit alleging a price fixing conspiracy engineered by the firm.

Here’s how it works.

Expedia has power because of its huge share of online bookings. If you are a hotel, you must list on the site, or you can’t get customers. The lawsuit alleges that Expedia Group, which also owns Hotels.com, Travelocity, and Orbitz, leverages its status as a critical channel for booking to charge hotels commissions anywhere from 15% to 30%. Indeed, the company’s executives bragged to investors in August about this pricing power, chalking up increased profit margins to “our supplier-funded promotions,” which are the kickbacks that hotels offer the middleman.

But there’s an important second layer to the problem. Those commissions get baked into hotel prices not just on Expedia but on direct bookings with hotels and other online travel agencies, like Booking.com, which also owns Priceline, Kayak, and Agoda. It even gets baked into higher prices for most hotels on their own websites.

«

A subtle downside of aggregation online. Of course it’s only a lawsuit at present, rather than a decision, so we will find out (perhaps quite quickly) what the adjudicated truth is. (Yes, this is the second day in a row where a Big Newsletter article has been at the top, but it’s just chance.)
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Climate change is accelerating faster than we can respond, scientists warn • TIME

Simmone Shah:

»

The climate is warming up faster than we can respond. According to a new report published Oct. 14 in the journal BioScience, “Earth’s climate system is moving deeper into uncharted territory.”

The State of the Climate, an annual report that tracks the Earth’s “vital signs,” monitors several climate related indicators—ranging from greenhouse gas concentrations and temperature changes to tree cover loss due to wildfire. The researchers found that, of the 16 planetary vital signs, seven are currently at record extremes. This includes sea levels and greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere. Meanwhile several others, such as areas burned during wildfires and ocean heat levels, show evidence of acceleration or abrupt shifts. 

The researchers warn that the rate of global warming appears to have accelerated, from about 0.05°C per decade between 1880 and 1970 to roughly 0.36°C per decade between 2010 and 2024—and the 2°C threshold meant to limit planetary damage could be reached before 2050 they warn. These accelerating and intensifying changes could raise the risk of reinforcing feedback loops and crossing tipping points—critical thresholds that, when crossed, can lead to accelerating and often irreversible environmental changes. In 2025, the Earth passed its first climate tipping point, as rising ocean temperatures, acidification, overfishing, and pollution are combining to cause coral bleaching and mortality. 

“Earth’s life-support systems are being pushed beyond stable limits,” the report states, “with changes unfolding faster than our ability to respond.”

This year, a number of extreme weather events made the impacts of an acceleratingly warming planet impossible to ignore. July 2026 was the hottest month on record for the contiguous United States, with ocean temperatures also reaching a record high that month. Back-to-back heat waves in Europe lead to an estimated 35,000 excess deaths, preliminary reports show. A number of regions—including Utah in the U.S., Ontario, Canada, along with France, Spain, Britain, and Belgium have either experienced their worst wildfire years in history or are on track to do so. While we don’t yet know enough to link these individual weather events to climate change, research shows that it is supercharging extreme weather events. 

Concentrations of greenhouse gases—including carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide—all reached record levels in 2026, the researchers say. In May 2026, atmospheric carbon dioxide exceeded 428 parts per million, roughly 50% above pre-industrial levels and generally higher than any time in the last 2 million years.

«

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Apate sends AI agents undercover to get scammed so they can gather fraud intelligence • TechCrunch

Ram Iyer:

»

Most companies use AI agents to ship products faster or to speed up workflows. Apate.ai sends them undercover to get scammed.

Founded in 2024 on the basis of research done in Macquarie University in Sydney, the Australian startup deploys thousands of AI agents that masquerade as innocent victims. The agents can answer scam calls, respond to shady messages and emails, follow phishing links, and join social media groups to bait fraudsters. They pretend to be people of all stripes, sporting different ages, genders, and accents, and speak various languages as they try to keep scammers engaged long enough to learn something useful.

The company says its fleet of agents has so far wasted 17 years of scammers’ time across 2.5 million conversations. More importantly for Apate’s customer base of banks, telecom companies, government agencies, and utilities, the undercover agents try to get scammers to reveal things about themselves that are usually learned only after a victim has been scammed: bank accounts, crypto wallets, phone numbers, malicious websites, the brands they’re impersonating, and other details about the scams they’re running.

Apate, one of the finalists at this year’s Startup Battlefield 200 at TechCrunch Disrupt, then feeds that information to its customers, who use it to inform their anti-fraud measures and initiatives.

…It’s a curious evolution of scam-baiting, but it’s not so surprising given how much AI has empowered scammers and hackers. The FBI received more than 22,000 complaints of AI-related crimes in 2025, which resulted in about $893m in losses. More than $632m of that came from investment scams, in which the FBI says fraudsters use AI to run conversations, and deepfake the voices and appearances of celebrities, executives, and trusted figures.

«

Naturally the impulse for this came from someone who got a spam call, and wondered about automating the stringing along of the spammer.
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Passkeys are not a trap • Scott Helme

Scott Helme:

»

A post called “Passkeys are a trap. Do not use them” has been doing the rounds over the last few days, making it pretty high on Hacker News, and I’ve had it sent to me many times with an ‘is this true?’ kind of vibe. It’s written for “non-technical citizens of the web”, and the headline advice is to stop using passkeys and go back to TOTP codes and passwords.

The post makes what appears to be one central claim: Passkeys support something called attestation, which lets a website ask for cryptographic proof of what made the passkey.

The author calls this a “hidden dial” and argues that sites will slowly turn it up, until you’re only allowed to log in with approved software on an approved operating system, with no modifications, no LineageOS and no sharing your Netflix password. Throw in uBlock Origin, the FIDO Alliance membership list and the UK’s image-scanning proposals, and the conclusion is that passkeys are “not designed to prioritize your interests”. 😱

It’s a compelling story. It just doesn’t match how any of this actually works.

The passkeys most people use are synced passkeys, stored in iCloud Keychain, Google Password Manager, 1Password, Bitwarden or whatever other software of your choosing. These passkeys don’t give websites an attestation statement at all, and though a site can ask, what comes back is none. I know this because I wrote an opensource passkeys library and made it available to everyone.

If a consumer website decided tomorrow that it would only accept attested passkeys, it would lock out almost all of its own users, instantly. What website is going to do that? Besides, the guidance for consumer sites has been to not even request attestation for years now.

The post describes attestation as proving “that an approved passkey manager, operating system, and firmware are in use” which is simply not true.

When it is present, WebAuthn attestation tells the site the make and model of the authenticator, identified by its AAGUID, with a certificate chain from the vendor to back it up. It says nothing about your OS, your browser, your extensions, whether your phone is rooted or jailbroken, your firmware version, or even what colour it is.

«

I had looked at the linked article and thought it seemed off. Helme points out that it’s a classic case of “escalate to certainty from unlikely possibility” – a tactic beloved of conspiracy theorists.
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The AI math isn’t mathing as infrastructure spending forecast to outstrip expected revenue • The Register

Dan Robinson:

»

AI services are unlikely to deliver enough revenue to cover the expected capital expenditure going into IT infrastructure between now and 2030, and it looks like neocloud operators will largely bow out or be bought out.

This is the conclusion from Gartner, which has added up the anticipated investments in AI datacenters over the next several years, estimated the revenue that can be expected from AI-driven applications over the same period, and found the numbers come up short.

Gartner’s data comes from a report, “Prepare for AI Market Consolidation: Capital Write-Downs Could Exceed $4 Trillion by 2032“, which concludes that AI will not generate enough sales to profitably cover all of the planned AI capital spending before 2032 at the earliest. But forecasts typically focus on the end of the decade, so it ran the numbers for 2030 as well.

“In 2026, AI providers are expected to spend nearly $1 trillion on AI infrastructure, and are forecast to invest an additional $6 trillion between 2027 and 2030,” said Gartner senior director analyst Will Sommer.
“However, our research indicates that enterprise and consumer AI revenue will be insufficient to support profitable returns on all planned AI capital expenditures during this period.”

Assuming a 12% return on invested capital (ROIC), which many companies are said to regard as the bar for acceptability, Gartner estimates AI datacenter operators would need to generate a total of $8.5 trillion in revenue to cover capital spending and financing costs while achieving that return.

Unfortunately, it forecasts that the total enterprise and consumer AI revenue that can be attributed to AI datacenters during this period will add up to no more than $3.6 trillion.

«

The only question feels like whether the realisation will be slow or sudden. If it’s the latter, that would be really bad.
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Severe drought declared in parts of southern England • Sky News

»

Severe drought has been declared in parts of Cornwall, Devon, Dorset, Somerset, East Sussex and West Sussex, the government has said.

The south of England had its driest April to September in over a century, according to the government’s environmental department, Defra. Water firms will be told to monitor reservoir and river levels daily, as well as carry out tougher water quality checks due to lower dilution of sewage.

The announcement has been prompted by concerns over two reservoirs in particular. Ardingly in West Sussex, which serves about 95,000 properties, is only at 19% capacity, while Wimbleball in Somerset, which serves around 300,000 properties, is at 16% capacity. Normal capacity for this time of year should be about 75%.

South East Water and South West Water have been given permission to cut the amount of water the reservoirs send to nearby rivers by millions of litres per day. Defra said there were also concerns about levels in the Drift, Stithians, Tottiford and Venford reservoirs, which serve just over 100,000 households in Devon and Cornwall.

Yorkshire also entered drought status last week, joining all of central, southern and eastern England.

However, the south’s upgrade to “severe drought” is the most urgent designation possible.

It is declared when evidence shows drought is causing – or will soon cause – serious harm, and that emergency action is needed.

«

The emergency action will principally consist of making sure businesses aren’t taking more water than they should. But that won’t make it rain, and won’t create the new reservoirs that have been needed for decades.
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BBC News channel launches on YouTube for viewers in UK and US • BBC News

Katie Razzall and Paul Glynn:

»

The BBC News channel has been made available to stream live on YouTube for viewers in the UK and USA.

The trial, which began on Thursday, external, has been described by BBC bosses as “a significant step” in expanding access to “trusted, impartial journalism in more places people use every day”.

The move is an expansion of what the BBC has already done in other countries, with the news channel also available to YouTube viewers in Australia, Kenya, Nigeria, and Poland.

Broadening access to the service forms part of the BBC’s wider strategy to reach digitally-native new and younger audiences.

The channel offers rolling coverage of international and domestic news, as well as breaking news and the latest developments in the worlds of politics, business, technology, culture and sport.

The BBC’s YouTube strategy is widely seen a response to the increasing fragmentation of audiences.

The guarantees that viewers sit down and turn on their favourite channel – whatever is on it – are long gone. Now, their TV sets take them into a world of infinite choice and the BBC (along with the UK’s other public service broadcasters) knows it needs to go to where audiences are – as well as trying to entice them to its own platforms.

Thursday’s development is part of the specific drive by the BBC to take its trusted news to audiences who aren’t tuning in to the news channel directly or via the iPlayer.

«

Fingers crossed it can find an audience amid the algorithm.
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Secret documents reveal donors behind $330m for Trump’s ballroom • The Washington Post

Jonathan O’Connell, Sarah Blaskey and Aaron Schaffer:

»

A list obtained by The Washington Post reveals all the major donors to President Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project, including previously undisclosed contributors who have benefited from regulatory decisions, government contracts and, in one case, a pardon for a family member.

Tech giants Nvidia and Apple each committed $25m, the top contribution amount, the list shows. The Adelson family, one of the GOP’s largest donor dynasties, committed that sum as well, as did billionaire Charles Ergen, co-founder and chairman of telecommunications company Dish Network.

Absent from the list is Trump himself, who has said that he is helping to pay for the project. “It’s being paid for a hundred% by me and some friends of mine,” he said last year, days after demolition began on the old East Wing.

The White House publicly identified 37 people, companies and foundations as donors last October, without revealing the amount of their individual gifts.

The list obtained by The Post, an internal spreadsheet used to track contributions for the fundraising effort, contains the source, date and amount of all 67 donations above $10,000 recorded as of late last month. It shows a total of $333m from private donors, aligning with the administration’s public statements.

…the vast majority of the funds raised came from companies and wealthy individuals with interests before the federal government.

«

A byword for corruption. Utterly incredible. And shaming for Apple to be among them.
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Greg Joswiak says Apple isn’t focused on making AI for ‘lunatic fringe’ • MacRumors

Joe Rossignol:

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In an interview with TIME‘s Andrew R. Chow, Apple’s marketing chief Greg Joswiak said Apple Intelligence is meant for “everyday people” as opposed to the “lunatic fringe.”

The full sentence: “In the midst of a populist AI backlash, they contend that they are building a modest but personalized and privacy-preserving form of AI that will actually help ordinary people as opposed to merely dazzling Silicon Valley’s ‘lunatic fringe,’ as Greg Joswiak, senior vice president of worldwide marketing, puts it.”

Joswiak apparently believes Apple Intelligence is not for “die-hard AI believers chasing superintelligence,” as Chow described it.

“We love them, and they can use it too, but that’s not our target,” said Joswiak. “It’s how to make it better for everyday people.”

«

Except that’s the only time Joswiak is quoted using that phrase. He doesn’t use it anywhere else in any quoted sentence, which makes me suspicious. Joswiak is, like any well-practised Apple executive (and boy is he practised), very careful with his words. I wonder if we’re going to see a transcript of this, because I just don’t see him calling enthusiastic buyers of Mac minis the “lunatic fringe”.

(The full article is pretty dull, with no surprises if you’ve read anything about Apple in the past five years.)
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He crafted a crypto law for Trump—as his company got millions from a crypto giant • WSJ

Sam Kessler:

»

Lawmakers and executives crowded into the East Room of the White House in July 2025 to watch President Trump sign the Genius Act, a landmark crypto bill that set rules for selling stablecoins pegged to the US dollar.

From a podium, Trump rattled off thank-yous to the law’s architects. “Where’s Bo Hines?” he asked. The president’s 29-year-old crypto adviser rose from the front row to applause. 

What most people in the room didn’t know: While Hines was leading the White House’s push to pass the Genius Act, Tether—the company with the most at stake in the legislation—was steering millions of dollars to a business he co-owned, according to messages, internal documents and payment records reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.

Hines exchanged Signal messages showing that while he was in the White House, he took part in a group chat with his company partners, where he discussed legislative developments and relayed Genius Act talking points as his partners were communicating with Tether’s chief executive.

Once the bill was signed, Tether hired him—to run its US operations.

Hines had started Nxum, a small consulting firm, with his father and another partner around 2022. Each owned one-third. He stepped back from day-to-day management of the company when he joined the administration in early 2025 but kept his ownership stake, his government ethics disclosures show.

Weeks after Hines began working on stablecoin legislation inside the White House, Nxum, which had only dabbled in crypto until that point, started pursuing business with Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin issuer.

…Since the deal was signed, Nxum has earned $6.3 million from the arrangement, according to the documents, messages and blockchain records, plus a person involved in the deal.

The payments began while Hines was working to finalize the Genius Act—legislation that would dictate Tether’s ability to operate in the US.

«

The levels of corruption are just off the scale. Amazing that this law got through the sclerotic American legislature, and then nobody noticed Hines having incredible conflicts of interest? These are not serious people.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2763: Nividia’s neocloud trouble, fridges wide open to hackers, how Americans stopped falling in love, and more


Ever wondered how those beautiful cars in Cuba keep running despite their parts being embargoed or discontinued? CC-licensed photo by gr8what on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 10 links for you. Libre. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Monopoly roundup: AI cockroaches scurry out from under Nvidia, the most valuable company in the world • The Big Newsletter

Matt Stoller on the withdrawn IPO of a company called Firmus. Never heard of it? Read on:

»

What makes this situation more than a run of the mill scam is the involvement of Nvidia in Firmus and its criminal co-founder. Why would Nvidia get in bed with a crook? Well, Firmus is in an important industry segment that generates demand for Nvidia chips. Firmus is a “neocloud,” which are basically racks of servers funded by venture capitalists and Nvidia to buy chips and rent out computing power. Think of a neocloud as a way to keep debt off the books of the big AI firms. Neoclouds are a corporate shell containing real estate, chips, and financing. Often there are multiple layers of investors, phantom contracts or insider self-dealing, all wrapped in a narrative that they are engaged in “advanced AI” deployment.

This move has tended to work because of the involvement of the most prestigious players in AI. When Nvidia (or Google or Anthropic) backstops or does business with a neocloud, investors think there must be something there. So the neocloud’s valuation goes up a lot. Then that neocloud raises more money at a high valuation, announces more data centers, and orders more chips. That’s more profits for Nvidia, more investments, and so on and so forth.

These investments take place in the private market, with hedge funds and insiders thinking they are getting in at a low valuation. They often don’t even care if there’s a good business model here, since they think someone else will be left holding the bag. The business model never really made much sense, with Firmus starting as a bitcoin miner, before pivoting to AI. But it didn’t matter, because Firmus was about to sell shares to the last set of investors out there – you and me in the public markets. Fortunately, it looks like the public market participants have wisened up, at least in this case.

Firmus, however, is not the only scam in the AI space. Many such neoclouds started as bitcoin miners before jumping to the AI boom, often funded by a prestigious AI firm like Nvidia. And that suggests there’s something systemic going on.

Here are a few other neocloud or adjacent plays: There’s TeraWulf, which has big leasing deals with Anthropic and Google, and whose backers have been allegedly caught engaged in market manipulation. Google bankrolled the company’s shift from bitcoin mining to AI data center. Here’s Grizzly Research:

»

Our research uncovers that TeraWulf’s third-largest shareholder is an entity controlled by the wife of John O’Rourke, the disgraced CEO of Riot Blockchain, who was charged for his part of a $27m “Lucrative Market Manipulation Schemes” by the SEC.

«

«

It gets harder and harder to think that this AI financing stuff is on the up and up.
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Fridge hack costing millions and sparking fires stemmed from poor security • Ars Technica

Dan Goodin:

»

Multiple security advisories and public research reports show that all three of the controller models reportedly hacked in the incident—sold by Danfoss of Denmark and Dixell and its parent company Copeland in the US—contained critical vulnerabilities that allow attackers to remotely log in to the devices with the same system rights as administrators.

Until recently, Danfoss controllers, for instance, used a credential that changes each day. The password is generated by the publicly available firmware based on the date. A hacker who takes the time to analyze the code can do the same thing on any device that hasn’t received a recent update. Daily passwords are identical across models located in hundreds or thousands of stores.

A raft of critical vulnerabilities fixed in the past few months in Copeland/Dixel controllers also give similar remote access.

Besides running controllers with outdated firmware, the affected stores likely also failed to put the devices behind a VPN and create a restricted list of IP addresses allowed to log in. These protections are standard but often not followed. In this case, that failure enabled a mass hack that likely cost tens or hundreds of millions of euros. Spain, Portugal, Poland, Germany, and Belgium were also reportedly affected.

“Two things would have changed the outcome,” researchers at Pen Test Partners said Wednesday. “Cyber hygiene would have prevented the access: take the controller off the public internet, put remote access behind a VPN and an IP allowlist, bring third-party kit onto the network in a controlled, owned and documented way rather than leaving it on a contractor’s own connection, change known and default credentials, and patch to a current release.”

Researchers from security firm Claroty warned of the threat of ignoring these common-sense steps last October. The US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency did the same in February.

…So far, the party behind the attack has remained silent. That raises the possibility that the motive was vandalism on a mass scale. Another possibility is a nation-state or other international actor aiming to create a continent-wide disruption.

«

The silence might seem odd, but you’d get the same whether it was script kiddies (who might celebrate to each other, but not publicly) or nation state hackers (who might raise an eyebrow and plan the next attack).
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OpenAI accuses employee who left for Apple of leaking plans for unreleased device • Reuters via The Guardian

»

An OpenAI employee who left the ChatGPT maker for Apple sent more than 100 files about an unreleased product to a personal account and later made a presentation ​about the unreleased product to senior Apple leadership, a new filing in the lawsuit between OpenAI and Apple alleges.

In the filing in US federal court in San Jose, California, OpenAI alleged that the presentation happened months ago and that Apple is now making AI products of its own, citing the release of Apple’s HomeView product this week.

“OpenAI ​is very concerned that its trade secret and confidential information is now circulating inside Apple, where Apple engineers can shape Apple’s upcoming products based on OpenAI’s confidential and innovative work,” OpenAI said in its filing.

The two companies were due to face off in court on Wednesday in an ongoing trade secrets lawsuit, but the new allegation delayed the showdown. OpenAI said it may file a countersuit based on the new claim.

Apple said that it has policies and procedures in place to ensure new employees do not use confidential information from previous employers and that it has found no evidence to support OpenAI’s allegations.

The document, filed on Tuesday, is part of a trade secret dispute filed by Apple earlier this year against OpenAI. The iPhone maker alleged its own employees left and took confidential information to OpenAI’s hardware ​division. OpenAI has denied those allegations.

…The case ​is likely to go to trial in October 2027, though OpenAI has said in court filings that it could be ready for trial as soon as June 2027.

«

The claim is a bit weird, and the HomeView claim is nonsense – that’s been in the works at Apple for (too many) years – but that final date shows you how the law just isn’t able to keep up with the rapid advance of technology.
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Microsoft and Japan took down a cybercrime network behind over a billion scam messages • The Verge

Stevie Bonifield:

»

We’ve all gotten a scam text about a nonexistent parking ticket or a fake package delivery, but hopefully you’ll start seeing fewer of them. Microsoft says it helped dismantle a marketplace for scammers sending phishing messages like those around the world. Through an investigation with Japan’s National Police Agency, it tracked scam activity back to a marketplace called YAM Store and a pair of phishing kits, CoGUI and Iron Man:

Since January 2026, YAM Store, CoGUI and Iron Man have collectively enabled more than one billion malicious messages targeting over 75,000 organizations worldwide, including more than 750 million messages geared toward Microsoft customers alone. These messages have been used to target consumers, healthcare organizations, financial institutions, and other businesses in more than 150 countries, generating tens of millions of dollars for their operators.

According to Microsoft’s report, scammers could buy stolen or fraudulent Microsoft and Google accounts on YAM Store and use the phishing kits to send scam messages. Microsoft says YAM Store also hijacked real organizations’ expired web domains and created websites for nonexistent organizations, which it used to get Microsoft accounts it could resell.

The Iron Man platform was also offering over 2,300 templates scammers could use to impersonate organizations like banks and police departments. Microsoft says it disabled over 20,000 accounts connected to YAM Store and blocked over 100,000 web domains being used for impersonation and fraud.

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Why Americans stopped falling in love • Derek Thompson

Derek Thompson:

»

Why are so many Americans not getting married—or not even dating, in the first place?

The share of 40-year-olds who have never been hitched has quadrupled since 1980, as Americans get married later, or not at all. (US Census data shows that 80% of women born in the 1940s were married by age 25, compared to 30% of women born in the 1990s.)

It’s not just marriage that’s declining but rather all forms of cohabitation. An analysis by John Burn-Murdoch [of the FT] found that “coupling” has declined steadily in both the UK and the US, especially for those without a college degree. The declining popularity of dating apps suggests that these trends are likely to continue.

I care about the decline of coupling and marriage not because I consider myself a strict evangelist of matrimony—I think people should do what they can to enjoy themselves without hurting others—but rather because I think it bears on two of the most important questions about the future: (1) How many people exist, and (2) how happy are they? The relationship between romance and births is practically linear. Since 1990, Burn-Murdoch has shown, the decline of births traces the decline of relationship formation across many countries. Fewer relationships mean fewer people, and accelerating population declines around the world are, somewhat like climate change, a slowly accumulating phenomenon that will almost certainly shape the future of economics, technology, and the texture of human existence.

Then, there’s the mushy yet momentous question of whether people actually enjoy their existence. Self-reported happiness is declining in the west, and particularly in the U.S. Reviewing several decades of General Social Survey data, the economist Sam Peltzman came to the conclusion that “most of the overall downturn [in life satisfaction] is attributable to decline in marriage post-2000.” Reviewing Peltzman’s work, The Atlantic’s Olga Khazan provided some useful context:

»

One paper alone might be easy enough to dismiss, but this is a fairly consistent finding dating back decades in social-science research: Married people are happier. Period.

«

«

There follows an interview with Daniel Cox, author of “Generation Uncoupled”, which contains this fascinating (one of many) tidbit:

»

Young adults are entering adulthood with a social deficit. As a result, their understanding of the world is shaped less by lived experiences and more by what they see online. And social media not only offers a warped view of human behavior, but it also excels at feeding our anxiety and fears.

«

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Pre-ordered the new Apple TV 4K? Here are five reasons you should cancel ASAP • Macworld

Mahmoud Itani:

»

At its “Welcome Home” experience, Apple today introduced the all-new HomeView hub, along with the HomePod mini 2 and Apple TV 4K 4. These devices mark Siri AI’s official smart home expansion, bringing its world knowledge and personal context to big screens and smart speakers around the house.

While you may be tempted to rush over to Apple’s website and pre-order a $299 4th-gen Apple TV 4K before the first batch sells out, it may be worth taking a moment to consider if that’s really the right decision. Instead relax, slow down, and read this list of five reasons why I’m not upgrading to the brand-new Apple TV 4K, and why I don’t think you should either.

«

Too expensive, does things you can get already (including the new Siri), you can buy the new remote separately, doesn’t use the CPU’s potential, too bloody expensive.

For all the buildup to this “home” event of Apple’s, any rational examination shows it to be rubbish. (Thanks Joe S for the link.)
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Teach My Little Sister How To Drive – v1.2.9 Update and a Development Status Update • Steam News

This game, on Steam, is AI-driven, with the “sister” character’s responses produced by ChatGPT:

»

Over the past month, the number of demo players has grown more than twentyfold. Thank you so much for giving our game far more attention than we ever expected.

This growth has also increased our operating costs considerably.

We are currently spending over $1,000 per day on AI services for the demo.

For the paid release, we plan to account for expected AI usage in the game’s price. Players will not be charged separately for their individual AI token usage after purchasing the game.

This isn’t because each player is particularly expensive to support. The total cost has increased because so many people are playing, and we have taken out a bank loan to help keep the demo running.

We want to continue operating the demo and would love for more people to enjoy it. However, we are a small team of four, and financial pressure may mean we have to close the demo earlier than expected before the full release. We have not made that decision at this time.

«

Pretty impressive to be burning $1,000 per day, $30,000 per month, $360,000 per year, on a game before you’ve got any sort of business model for it. That demo shows that AI can produce a tolerable game, and ruin its makers.
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Electric energy security꞉ how EVs are reducing oil import vulnerabilities • Ember

Euan Graham:

»

Many countries with rising EV sales are simultaneously developing new manufacturing capacity and growing their domestic electric vehicle industries. The rise in electric vehicle sales in the EU this year has been met in large part by new affordable models from European manufacturers. New models by Renault, Volkswagen and Skoda were the best-selling electric cars in Europe in July.

In Asia, domestic manufacturers are becoming major players in Viet Nam and India. VinFast already produced Viet Nam’s most popular car in 2025 and has expanded its production operations overseas opening new factories in India and Indonesia last year. Meanwhile, in the first half of 2026, domestic OEMs Tata and Mahindra made up over 60% of India’s EV sales.

In Latin America, Brazil is cementing its position as a regional manufacturing hub with the opening of BYD’s plant in 2025, with production capacity expected to be increased to 300,000 vehicles annually. New local content requirements are successfully driving this investment. Mexico announced the launch of domestic manufacturer Olinia this year, with production of its small car EV slated to begin in 2027.

As countries adjust to a prolonged disruption to oil and gas supplies, transport electrification is providing a path to reduce oil import vulnerability. In the six months since the Hormuz energy crisis, electric car fleets in oil-importing countries are estimated to have displaced 200m barrels of crude oil, with a value of $20 billion. Fully electric cars (BEVs) are responsible for the largest share of this figure ($16.5bn), with the rest coming from PHEVs. This is in part because PHEVs are also powered by a combustion engine and there is real-world evidence that drivers end up relying on it more than manufacturers initially claim.

In September, oil prices once again climbed to over $100 per barrel for the first sustained period since May, meaning these figures are likely to rise over the rest of the year. Since the start of the year, the daily closing price of Brent crude has exceeded $100 more than 60 times, having last done so in 2022 following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This is compounded by an even more acute supply crisis in diesel and other refined products, where impacts on global oil flows have combined with attacks on refineries around the world. Globally, diesel use is concentrated in the trucking sector, but for certain markets such as Europe this has a considerable impact on car drivers too.

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How do Cubans maintain and replace their 1950s American car parts without access to American manufacturers? • Quora

Q: How do Cubans maintain and replace their 1950s American car parts without access to American manufacturers?:

»

Pop the hood of a 1957 Chevy in Havana, and you probably won’t find an American V8. You’ll find a Hyundai diesel engine, a Soviet transmission, and parts made from melted shampoo bottles.

Since the US imposed its trade embargo in the early 1960s, the supply of original American parts for Cuba’s thousands of Detroit-built cars vanished. To keep these vehicles running for over six decades, Cuban mechanics have become master engineers and scavengers out of pure necessity. The survival of the Cuban classic car relies on three main strategies: extreme engine swapping, hand-fabricating parts from scratch, and an underground supply chain.

Original engines broke down decades ago, and those that survived guzzled gas that most Cubans couldn’t afford. The solution was the engine swap. During the Cold War, mechanics shoehorned in four-cylinder motors from imported Soviet Ladas and Volgas. Today, the holy grail is a modern diesel engine—often a Hyundai, Mitsubishi, or Toyota—stripped from a van or boat. Adapting these foreign engines to fit 1950s American chassis requires custom-welded motor mounts, modified driveshafts, and completely rewired electronics. The resulting vehicle is an American shell powered by a Japanese heart with Russian suspension.

When a specific part fails and cannot be swapped out, Cuban mechanics—often called magos (magicians)—simply make a new one from scratch. This culture of improvised repair is known as making an invento. Machinists cast their own pistons using scrap aluminum melted down in backyard forges. Brake pads are cut by hand from industrial friction material. If a rubber suspension bushing rots away, a mechanic might melt down scrap plastic or carve a replacement out of a heavy-duty forklift tire. Body panels that rust out in the salty Caribbean air are sculpted back into shape using fiberglass or scrap sheet metal.

For the specialized parts that absolutely cannot be fabricated—like modern fuel injectors, timing belts, or specialized bearings—Cubans rely on an informal import network. Relatives and specialized couriers known as mulas (mules) travel to Miami, Mexico, or Panama, buy the necessary car parts, and pack them into their checked luggage.

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Necessity as the mother of invention still going strong. Though the fuel blockade of Cuba has been going on for some time; those cars might not be going anywhere at all.
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Marquita Maytag: the shrew of Kathmandu • Association for Diplomatic Studies & Training

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Nepal is a small mountainous country in South Asia, bordered by India and the Tibetan autonomous region of China, which has had friendly relations with the U.S. ever since they were established in 1945. However, at one time these relations were nearly threatened by the actions of “an absolute shrew” of an ambassador. Marquita Maytag was a political appointee who held the position for only a short period of time, May 1976 – April 1977, but she quickly garnered a bad reputation. David Fischer, at that time a Political Officer in the U.S. Embassy in Kathmandu, recalls some of her more outrageous antics in an interview with Robert Pasturino on May 20, 1998.

…One night… all of us in the Embassy had movie projectors, and one of the ways which we entertained, because there were no movie theatres in Kathmandu, was to show modern American movies. We could get any political leader in the country to come out to our houses to see an American movie.

It was a Friday night, and I was sitting at home at eight o’clock and the doorbell rang. There on my doorstep was the Prime Minister of Nepal. He said, “Mr. Fischer, are you showing a movie tonight?”

I said, “No, I’m not, Why do you ask?”

He said, “I thought I was invited to a movie tonight, and I thought it was at the Ambassador’s residence but I went down there and all I could find was that she was there with two airline pilots and three Tibetan whores. I counted around, and I realized there was one more woman than a man and I was going to have to end up with her. So I was hoping you were showing a movie tonight.”

«

Based on this, Kimberly Guilfoyle might feel hard done by. (Maytag, appointed by Gerald Ford’s administration, was quickly dumped by Jimmy Carter’s administration, but not before further shenanigans, described in the interview transcript.) The US has always had an odd approach to appointing ambassadors.
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2762: why nation states will fail to dim the Sun, a quick look at Apple’s HomeView, the cut-happy movies, and more


A claim by OpenAI to have discovered a mathematically faster Fast Fourier Transform is far less impressive than it seems, a mathematician explains. CC-licensed photo by fotodiagramas on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 9 links for you. Summed up. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


They war-gamed dimming the Sun. It went even worse than you think • WIRED via Ars Technica

Karl Mathiesen:

»

When it comes to deciding the fate of the planet, Colleen Golja always thought science and reason would have a seat at the table. That was until one morning last September in London, when the climate researcher took part in the first in a series of war games. The goal: to prevent an uncontrolled global race to develop a technology aimed at cooling the planet but that comes with vast, unknown risks that could reshape life on Earth.

“I thought that would be such an easy thing. Like, we can all agree to do ethical research and make sure it’s for the better of all humans,” she told WIRED. “And boy, was I wrong.”

The simulation, titled Exploring Geopolitical Tipping Points and Climate Cooling Strategies, saw a couple dozen foreign-relations experts, scientists, military personnel, and former government officials from across the world convene in a meeting room at Queen Mary University of London. After making introductions over coffee and little yogurts, they sat at tables arranged in a square with the name of the country or organization each person was playing: national governments, climate NGOs and nonprofits, indigenous groups, and tech companies. Golja was assigned to provide technical advice to help participants make scientifically literate decisions.

…As in real life, no one knew all the facts, and players had to respond to events that were bringing the world closer to a full-scale attempt at deploying solar geoengineering tech, even when they may not have a full picture of what had truly occurred—or what any of the others were up to.

The first session set the tone. Distrust and disinformation dominated. As participants discussed rules governing outdoor experiments in an attempt to agree an international deal, players representing both the US and China told the group they could not sign a deal that constrained their pursuit of research considered to be in their “national interest.” Nor could they accept a deal that would see their superpower rival taking the lead technologically. Speaking to WIRED, Jeffrey Nielsen, a major in the US Army who played the role of a US national security attaché, summarized the position as “worse than no deal at all is any deal that favors China.”

Tensions escalated when the team running the simulation handed the Russian delegates an “intelligence report” indicating they had found a plane near the Bering Strait believed to be involved in a US geoengineering research program. The US team—which was indeed flying research missions—accused Russia of disinformation.

Meanwhile, the US became convinced China was also conducting research and developing its own program. Beijing’s representatives had tried to insert language into a mooted deal that would ensure no retroactive punishment for past experiments. Then, China approached a player representing SpaceX to float the idea of a technology-sharing program. In a private discussion away from the group, the SpaceX player immediately reported the Chinese approach to the US team. The US demanded an international investigation. The finger-pointing continued, and countries abandoned the talks.

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Fascinating read about how national tensions and mutual suspicions would derail attempts to do the right thing.
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I tried out Apple’s HomeView smart display • The Verge

Jennifer Pattison Tuohy:

»

The first thing that struck me about the HomeView was its size. It’s much smaller than I expected, and the screen almost entirely hides the small aluminum base that acts as a speaker. The Liquid Retina display is bright and responsive to touch, and it displays photos and the HomeView “faces” brilliantly.

You can swipe to change faces easily and choose from dozens of options, most of which resemble Apple Watch faces. The display feels like a giant Apple Watch paired with the functionality of an iPhone and the room to breathe of an iPad.

Apple offers both a wall-mounted and tabletop version of the HomeView, and the wall-mounted model looks like it will make a great smart home controller.

A dedicated Home Widget face pulls devices from the Apple Home app; I could walk up and tap to control a thermostat and door lock and activate a scene, or I could swipe right to get a live view of HomeKit Secure Video cameras and tap into one to access nearby accessories, such as opening the garage door. When I tried to unlock a door, it stopped me, asking me to authenticate with my face or iPhone.

The Home Widget is a skin of the Home app, so it offers all the controls you have with that app on your iPhone, just on a bigger screen designed for walk-up-and-tap interaction.

There’s a lot of swiping on the HomeView. Swipe left to get to new home faces, tap widgets to access deeper controls in apps, then swipe right for more features. You swipe up to return to the main screen, then up again to access the onboard apps, which automatically populate from your phone. Swiping down from the top of the screen brings up a control center, just like on an iPhone. You can even enable the 12MP camera from here, giving you a de facto mirror.

«

Basically this $299 (£299 in the UK!) device is a big Apple Watch: it does very little on its own. Mostly it’s handing off from the phone (so an Apple Watch isn’t enough to unlock it). It can’t natively play Apple TV content (and anyway that would look weird on the 4:3 display). It needs a USB-C power source (no batteries), so good luck not tangling with the power cord in your kitchen.

Honestly, a great product for 2016. Today? Multiple companies have tried home products with screens, and they’ve all got nowhere.

Also released on Tuesday: an Apple TV – the set-top box – for $300. You can buy a proper TV for that amount in the US.
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How many shots are in the average movie today? • Stephen Follows

Stephen Follows:

»

Last night I had the absolute pleasure of watching American Graffiti (1973) at the ActOne Cinema in Acton, and then listening to Mark Kermode quiz Walter Murch about how he built its sound.

Murch edited Apocalypse Now and The English Patient, and he wrote In the Blink of an Eye, which is probably the best book there is on film editing. (On American Graffiti he did the sound, and the picture was cut by Verna Fields and Marcia Lucas).

After the session, the three of us chatted, and as Mark had read an advance copy of my article below, he asked Walter to guess how many shots were in American Graffiti. Walter’s guess was 952. Was he right?

Let’s go down the rabbit hole of editing and find out!

“How many shots are there in the average movie?” is a very common question I get asked. So today I’m sharing the results of my studies into the shot counts of 8,770 feature films released between 1930 and 2025. By the way, some people might say ‘shots’ others may say ‘cuts’. It’s the same thing, in that a sequence with six shots has five cuts between them. Everyone seems to (in some cases strongly) prefer one over another, but whatever we call them, we’re describing the same thing.

How many shots does a typical film have now?

The most commonly quoted industry rule of thumb comes from editor Vashi Nedomansky, who says the average film has around 1,250 shots, and blockbusters often have more than 3,000. His 1,250 is actually a little low for today’s releases, but his 3,000 is about right for the biggest of them.

The typical film released between 2017 and 2025 has 1,535 shots. That’s the median (i.e., the film in the middle of the pack), whereas the mean is slightly higher (1,603) because a handful of films with very high shot counts pull up the average.

At a typical length of 111 minutes, that works out to roughly one new shot every four seconds once we take the end credits off.

There’s a wide spread around that, as a tenth of recent films have fewer than 770 shots and a tenth have more than 2,460. Put another way, four in five recent films have more than 1,000 shots, and one in four has more than 2,000.

«

No doubt one of the films that pulls the number higher is Taken 3, which famously uses 14 cuts in six seconds for Liam Neeson looping over a wire fence.
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Revolut data breach exposes customers’ passport copies and full transaction histories to hackers • Cyber Security News

Guru Baran:

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Revolut has disclosed a data-security incident in which sensitive customer information was released after the financial technology company received a fraudulent request that appeared to originate from a legitimate government agency. Here is the detailed breach report.

The incident reportedly exposed highly sensitive Know Your Customer (KYC) documentation and detailed financial records belonging to a limited number of users, including passport or driver’s license copies, identity-verification selfies, account statements, and complete transaction histories that included Bitcoin-related activity.

According to Revolut’s explanation, the disclosure did not result from a compromise of its core systems, mobile application, or customer accounts. Instead, the company said it was targeted through a sophisticated impersonation operation involving an unauthorized email account operating under an official government agency’s email domain.

Because the message carried valid domain-authentication credentials, Revolut believed it was handling an authentic legal or government information request and fulfilled it.

The response provided extensive information. It included customers’ full names, dates of birth, occupations, postal addresses, email addresses, and telephone numbers.

The exposed document and verification data reportedly included copies of identity documents, such as passports and driving licenses, along with facial-verification images submitted during onboarding.

«

This happened in September. Today on X there was a post from someone who said they had been attacked in their home and had their crypto stolen (via the “beat him up until he gives up his password” method of cracking passwords). He says $800,000 worth of crypto stolen. Big if true. And a warning to anyone who was with Revolut.
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OpenAI employee arrested after recording device found in office • The Guardian

Maya Yang:

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OpenAI said it has found a hidden recording device in one of its offices and has referred the matter to the FBI. One of its employees has been arrested.

In a statement on Tuesday, the San Francisco-based AI company said it discovered the “sophisticated recording device” and used one of its “models to understand the device and where it had come from”.

The company has identified “that a specific employee had planted it a few days earlier”, adding: “At this time, we have no indications of this individual inappropriately accessing or exfiltrating model weights, source code, or customer data. The employee was terminated.”

The employee in question has been arrested, according to the company. OpenAI did not disclose details on how its models were used to identify the employee or which office the device was discovered in.

OpenAI said that it is “grateful to the agents and prosecutors who moved quickly to make an arrest” and the investigation is continuing.

The company added: “We take protecting our technology, data, and people seriously, and as a matter of national importance. Our security program is designed to protect against a wide range of threat actors, from insider risks to cybercriminals to nation states, and this case is an example of how AI can help address these sophisticated security threats.”

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Well of course it used its software to figure out what the device was. (Even if it didn’t.) What’s very weird here is the motive, which we have to hope will come out in the fullness of time.
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AI coding agents generate more code, but not more software • Ars Technica

Kyle Orland:

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Anyone who has even tangentially associated with computer programming knows that modern AI coding assistants and agents can be incredibly efficient at generating huge amounts of functional code. But coders making use of those tools also know better than to trust the accuracy of that code, meaning substantial effort needs to be spent reviewing any AI-generated output.

A recent study of actual coding practices across hundreds of firms finds that human code review forms a significant “bottleneck” for the overall efficiency of AI coding tools, resulting in “little evidence that firms increase software output or reduce employment” by using them. Any efficiency increased during the actual coding phase, the study authors find, is “absorbed by downstream constraints in the production process”; as “the code review process significantly increases in length, pull requests are more likely to require revisions, and reviewers leave more comments.”

To come to these conclusions, Harvard University researchers Fiona Chen and James Stratton made use of aggregated analytics data from Jellyfish, which measures the granular output of engineering teams. That data encompasses 300 million individual “work events” (e.g., commits and pull requests) and issue management software data across more than 700,000 employees at over 700 relevant software development firms from 2021 through March of 2026.

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Not surprising; there’s a general principle that more code means more bugs, and it’s not certain that coding agents aren’t as vulnerable as humans to errors, given that they’re trained on code written by humans.
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Apple has far-reaching plans to block hundreds of programmatic data companies from iOS • AdExchanger

James Hercher:

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At the end of September, AdExchanger reported that Apple’s iOS 27 update [then two weeks ago] quietly blocked a handful of programmatic data players – including The Trade Desk and its Unified ID 2.0 initiative, LiveRamp, ID5, Permutive and Audigent – from collecting data or serving ads on Safari. (They were also blocked on other mobile browsers [on iOS], since browsers must use WebKit to launch on Apple devices.)

Now, according to two sources with direct knowledge of the WebKit updates, the initial list has been scrapped in favour of an expansive library of hundreds of CDPs, ad tech and mar tech companies, data sellers and ID graph operators.

These companies will exist in a purgatorial state of potential exclusion from advertising to or accessing people on Apple phones and computers, according to the sources. And only Apple seems to know what will get an ad tech vendor blocked or unblocked.

The full list of potentially blocked companies exists in a private GitHub repo, so it cannot be observed without access. One person with access to the full list did briefly allow AdExchanger to observe the list and read names off of it, but would not share it or allow it to be documented.

…The sources who spoke to AdExchanger said Apple’s original list of blocked ad tech and data vendors is now moot, having been replaced by a longer list of companies that can be dynamically blocked by Apple.

The new dynamic process that WebKit uses to identify and block vendors relies on a remote list that Apple devices regularly call upon. Previously, Apple would need to roll out a new version of iOS to add or remove vendors from its list of blocked companies; now, it can just happen on the fly.

And vendors may not even be aware that they have been added to the list, or whether they have graduated from the intermediary “potentially blocked” list to being actively blocked.

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Interesting if true; the problem is that nobody is confirming it.
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Faster Fourier Transforms • arg min

Ben Recht:

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Since the invention of the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) [in 1965], people have looked for even faster Fourier transforms. One question is just how fast you can go. It seems like you probably need at least n operations to compute the FFT, as it takes n steps just to write it down. The FFT is 5*log2(n) times slower than that reasonable speed limit, and that 5*log2(n) factor can be big. It’s 200 when n is a trillion. Can you do something clever to reduce that prefactor of 200?

Well, lo and behold, in the massive paper dump OpenAI took on the mathematics world last week, they claim to have a faster Fourier transform. The main claim from their discriminatively named “main.pdf” is: We give a deterministic algorithm that computes the discrete Fourier transform at every length n in O(n(log n)^1-10^-13) operations. The model uses exact complex arithmetic, unrestricted coefficients, specified Fourier roots, and unit-cost logarithmic-size indexing; scalar preparation and array organization are included.

I was intrigued about what was going on here. The log(n) term, in theory, was a teeny tiny bit smaller than in the standard FFT.

Did I read this paper? Of course not. No one at OpenAI read this paper either, so why should I? I did what every other mathematician in the world does with AI slop mathematics: I fed it back into the slop machine and ran an information retrieval session with a chatbot interface to extract salient facts. Anthropomorphically speaking: I asked ChatGPT what it thinks about its own output. This is how we do mathematical research now. What a world.

Unfortunately, I did not find a faster Fourier transform. Instead,l I found the rot that develops inside applied mathematical theory when formalism becomes so detached from reality that a “breakthrough” is nothing more than an artifact of mathematicians not being able to properly specify the rules of their games in natural language.

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Basically: it’s only useful if your computer can store arbitrarily large numbers with unerring accuracy, and even then it’s only going to be faster than the standard FFT if you’re working on colossally large amounts of data.
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Character.AI files for bankruptcy, to sell some assets to Disney for $20m • Reuters

Anzar Mehraj and ​Rhea Rose Abraham:

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Chatbot platform Character.AI said on Monday it has filed for bankruptcy in the US and has agreed to ​sell some assets for $20m to Walt Disney.

The generative AI platform has faced mounting legal challenges over its chatbots. Earlier this year, Character.AI and Alphabet’s Google settled a lawsuit by the mother of a 14-year-old Florida boy ​who killed himself after the startup’s chatbot allegedly encouraged him ​to do so.

Kentucky has sued the company, saying its chatbots encouraged users to cut, starve or kill themselves, while Pennsylvania filed ​a lawsuit alleging its chatbots posed as doctors.

According to Character.AI’s proposal, Disney ​will be a “stalking-horse” bidder — an initial prospective buyer — for a non-exclusive perpetual license to some intellectual property. Other bidders can top Disney’s offer.

Character.AI expects to close the ​sale of all its assets by late November or early December. ​Character Technologies, its US-based owner, listed estimated assets and liabilities of between $50m and $100m, according to a court filing.

Disney will help the platform in the transition, using staff it has hired from Character.AI. The platform’s services would continue meanwhile, but would be shut down if it can’t find ​a buyer, the ​company said.

Two former Google employees founded Character.AI in 2021. In 2024, Google licensed its technology and rehired the founders.

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An early sign of the bubble popping, or just roadkill?
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2761: Anthropic warns of IoT chatbot worms, phishing an AI, Epic says no more games coding by hand, and more


Fridges in hundreds of French supermarkets were taken over by hackers who raised their temperature to spoil food. But who was behind it? CC-licensed photo by duncan cumming on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


A selection of 9 links for you. Warming up. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


AI models may be capable of self-replicating without access to a datacentre • Anthropic

William Zhou and Daniel Freeman, who work for Anthropic:

»

Our experiments suggest that small AI models may be months away from being capable enough to self-replicate on commercial IoT devices, like smart ovens and off-brand Android TV boxes. A replicator like this would be challenging to shut down, since there’s no centralized point to shut off – though it may be slow (with a doubling time of days). Unlike non-AI malware, it could also figure out unfamiliar devices on its own. In our evals, a 9bn model got inference running on 8 of the 9 hardware types we tested.

Models of 30bn parameters and under can already complete many of the individual steps for replication today, though they make mistakes when composing them end to end. In our simplified evals, GLM-5.2 and stronger models are capable of end to end replication. If small models improve at their historical rate, they’ll match this capability level by the end of this year. Small weight-based replicators may be possible soon after.

Ever-improving AI capabilities make a longstanding concern increasingly realistic: autonomous replication and adaptation (ARA), which involves a model deploying and propagating itself without human control.

In cyber, a worm is a program that copies itself from one computer to the next without human input. Prior work has already shown that AI agents can act like one: scanning their network, executing an exploit, and copying model weights to a target machine across a GPU cluster. Such an “AI worm” could carry its model weights with it as it reproduces (or re-download them from a public hub), and then run inference directly on compromised hardware. Effectively, the weights would become part of the malware payload.

Datacentre GPUs would be a clear, high-value target for such malware. But expensive accelerators aren’t strictly necessary. In this blog post, we show that a distributed botnet of IoT devices—which are cheap and typically poorly defended—could also provide enough compute to run a capable model.

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This is bad. Like, really, really bad. If you got an AI that was also a worm that could also infect an IoT device, well, there are a zillion of them out there, and they have rubbish security for the most part, and part of any LLM’s training includes how to hack into such devices.

It’s hard to think of what a parallel with the Manhattan Project would be, but it must be possible.
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Phishing emails are baiting your AI assistant • Malwarebytes

Pieter Arntz:

»

You ignored the suspicious email. You didn’t open the attachment, click the link, or reply to the sender.

Then you asked your AI assistant to summarize your inbox.

Could the message you wisely avoided find its way back onto your to-do list—only this time presented as an urgent recommendation from a tool you trust?

That’s the risk behind phishing emails containing hidden instructions aimed at AI assistants. Instead of relying only on persuading you, attackers are also trying to influence the software that reads your messages. Recent research from Barracuda describes emails designed to target both audiences at once.

For the human recipient, there was a password-protected attachment, with the password supplied in the email. For an AI assistant processing the message, there were hidden instructions intended to influence how it summarized or handled the content.

By including a prompt injection, attackers give themselves another way to reach you. The malicious instructions could try to make the assistant describe the email as legitimate or urgent, encouraging you to revisit it.

In another example, a hidden block instructed a summarizing AI to add a fake priority action: change a vendor’s payment details. That could result in an employee sending money to an attacker’s account.

The attacker isn’t simply asking the AI to repeat a fraudulent request. They’re trying to turn that request into the assistant’s recommendation.

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Once it was auto-executing Word attachments; now, embedded prompt injections.
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Broadcom CEO likens many AI investors to casino gamblers • Bloomberg via Yahoo Finance

Gao Yuan:

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The AI boom has attracted investors whose strategies resemble those of gamblers, Broadcom chief executive officer Hock Tan said, suggesting some of them have little understanding of what they’re betting on.

Tan, one of the chip industry’s most prominent figures, on Monday shared his frank views on the AI industry and the uncertainty that accompanied its spectacular rise. The head of Broadcom, which designs some of the components integral to the global data center buildout, also criticized whether businesses were wasting money on AI initiatives and questioned the longer-term economics of money-losing AI labs.

But he homed in in particular on the rush to invest in a technology many improperly understood — particularly when it comes to large language models on the so-called technology frontier.

“A lot of investors have no clue what they are investing in,” the head of the American chipmaker said at an event in Singapore. They “set very extreme expectations only to find out that it’s almost like they are in a casino.”

With AI companies such as ChatGPT-maker OpenAI reporting billions of dollars in losses, the industry is yet to find a sustainable business model for services whose production requires massive investments in advanced chips, data centers and model development. Tan said that OpenAI reaching annualized revenue of $50bn in September points to a viable business model but offers little guarantee on long-term profitability.

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In fairness, the same “well I don’t see how this is ever going to be profitable” line was frequently heard early in the dot-com boom. Nobody thought Netscape could make a profit (they were correct), nor Amazon (wrong), nor Pets.com (correct), but they were mightily impressed by WorldCom (fraud) – which is unrelated to Broadcom.
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Palantir CTO: AI researchers smoke, betting AI will cure cancer • Business Insider

Thibault Spirlet:

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Forget sleepmaxxing and cold plunging: smoking is the new lifestyle flex among AI researchers.

At least, that’s according to Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar, who said some AI researchers are taking up smoking to signal their belief that AI will eventually cure cancer.

“So many AI researchers have started smoking as a way of signaling to other researchers how much they believe in AI,” Sankar said in an interview on CBS News’ “Face the Nation” on Sunday.

The logic, he said, is: “I believe so much in AI that it’s going to cure cancer. So I’m showing you my chips are all in.”

Sankar did not name any researchers or provide evidence for the claim. Smoking remains a major cause of preventable illness and death, and no AI breakthrough has eliminated the health risks associated with cigarettes.

But the Palantir executive’s remarks echo a countercurrent already visible in parts of the tech industry.

As Business Insider’s Henry Chandonnet reported last month, a small group of founders, engineers, and investors has embraced cigarettes in a sector otherwise known for optimizing their health with cold plunges, sleep tracking, and peptide treatments.

For some of them, a cigarette break is an opportunity to meet people and network. For others, it’s a way to come across as more relaxed and less polished than the typical startup founder.

«

Alternatively, it’s a way to come across as really stupid about your health. It’s like the reverse of Pascal’s Wager: rather than leading a good life because it would turn out badly if there actually were a God and you were judged, you lead a bad life because you believe there is a god in the machine which will cure you.
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Fridges in French supermarkets hit by cyber attack • BBC News

Ian Aikman and Hugh Schofield:

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Hundreds of French supermarkets have been hit by a cyber attack that caused their fridges and freezers to heat up, spoiling fresh and frozen food estimated to be worth millions of euros.

Hackers gained control of the software that regulates the temperatures of the refrigeration units, forcing some to warm to 50C (120F) overnight, according to one supermarket chain affected.

The chief executive of Coopérative U said several of its supermarkets had been hit by the “extremely serious and unprecedented” attack.

More than 100 of the chain’s supermarkets were targeted, while 180 stores from Intermarché and its Netto brand were affected, with a spokesman saying that another 100 shops were urgently disconnected from the internet to prevent the same thing happening to them.

Other major food retailers including Carrefour, Monoprix and E.Leclerc were also hit by the attack, which targeted software provided by Danish engineering firm Danfoss.

The software allows retailers to manage their cold units remotely.

Normally, supermarket freezers go through a short period of defrosting overnight, in which temperatures rise slightly. But the hackers ordered the units to heat up and stay hot, although Danfoss did not confirm any reports about just how warm the fridges and freezers could become in that process.

…The full scale of the attack is unclear, but figures supplied by individual chains suggest about 400 stores were affected out of 15,000 or so overall in France.

Carrefour said fridges in 80 of its 6,000 stores were hacked, while Monoprix said 5% of its 400-plus stores had been hit, with food removed from sale if its condition could not be guaranteed.

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Retail giant Ahold Delhaize takes systems offline after cyberattack • Bleeping Computer

Sergiu Gatlan:

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Retail giant Ahold Delhaize, one of the world’s largest food retail chains, confirmed today that it was forced to take some systems offline after a “cybersecurity incident.”

As a wholesale company and multinational retailer, Ahold Delhaize operates more than 9,400 local stores across Europe, the United States, and Indonesia, employs nearly 400,000 people, and serves around 60 million customers each week through physical retail locations and online.

Ahold Delhaize reported yearly net sales of over $104bn in 2024, and it owns a wide range of brands, including Delhaize, Maxi, Mega Image, Albert, bol, Alfa Beta, Etos, Gall & Gall, and Profi in Europe, and Food Lion, Stop & Shop, Giant Food, and Hannaford in the American market.

In a succinct press release published earlier today, the company added that it’s working to mitigate the incident and that its stores are open to customers.

“Ahold Delhaize is experiencing a security issue within its network. Our teams are taking steps to assess and mitigate the issue. This includes taking some systems offline to help protect them. At this time, our stores are open and serving customers,” it said.

“Protecting our infrastructure in the best interest of our customers, associates and partners is a top priority. We apologize for any inconvenience this issue may have caused customers and partners.”

However, employees at the Stop & Shop American regional supermarket chain are having trouble accessing their schedules and pay stubs, while customers have been unable to use websites, apps, and customer service platforms at Albert Heijn, Etos, and Gall & Gall stores in the Netherlands, and Delhaize in Belgium.

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One might wonder if the attacks on the French fridges and now this Dutch company are related. Too soon to know but worth bearing in mind.
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Epic Games reportedly delays Star Wars and Marvel shooter, as the Fortnite maker embraces AI-accelerated development • MSN

Kaan Serin:

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Epic Games has reportedly turned to generative AI to finish up development on a Star Wars and Marvel crossover shooter, which has been internally delayed.

That’s according to a Bloomberg report from journalist Jason Schreier, citing anonymous sources familiar with the unannounced game. Epic’s in-development project – a collaboration with Disney – is said to have hit a speed bump, and the Fortnite maker is apparently telling its developers to embrace more gen-AI tools for the rest of the game’s production.

The new shooter purportedly features characters from both the Marvel and Star Wars series, and the company expected to have it out the door in March 2027. Now that the crossover project has slipped, Epic reportedly told its staff to adopt an “AI first” production pipeline and finish the game with tech such as Anthropic’s Claude.

In an internal message seen by Bloomberg, one game director told developers there would be “no more hand-written code” and art work should be “generated with full AI workflows” – much to the surprise of many workers.

“We’re embracing AI-accelerated development, led by Epic developers who are the visionaries and creative drivers for everything we do,” Epic’s communications director, Jake Jones, said in a statement to Bloomberg.

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That’s quite a Rubicon – “no more handwritten code”.
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Meta AI data centre workers drive business boom in rural Louisiana • Business Insider

Lauren Edmonds:

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The construction workers building Meta’s largest-ever data center are arriving in a tiny Louisiana town with more than specialized skills and manpower. They’ve also got cash to spend.

It’s a fact that local entrepreneurs are leveraging to build new businesses. “It’s been a good opportunity for everybody,” David Rodgers, the cofounder of Ice Queen, a local business, told Business Insider. “I tell people, you can’t stop it unless you have $50 billion. You might as well get on board and go with the flow.”

Meta said the data centre, dubbed Hyperion, will span nearly 10 million square feet in rural Holly Ridge and will support more than 7,500 jobs at peak construction.

That’s a workforce larger than the population of Aspen, Colorado. While the influx of workers is straining the local housing market and disrupting aspects of daily life, their presence has also boosted the region’s economy.

…In June, a study commissioned by Grow NELA said that consumer spending and capital investments made during the data center’s construction period will generate $162.9m in sales tax revenues at the local and state levels.

While Meta has temporarily transformed Richland Parish into a modern-day boomtown, most of the construction workers will eventually move on to other jobs, taking their spending with them. It’s a reality that business owners in Richland Parish know is on the horizon.

[Restaurant owner Tim] Allen said Holy Tacos would likely continue catering for other businesses in the area and selling out of their restaurant. TJ and Kaycie said HeBrews Coffee & Eats will lean on the clientele it built before Meta arrived. The Crawfords [who do house rentals] said they are considering either selling the properties or continuing to rent them after construction ends. Ice Queen has diversified and plans to rely on other large-scale clients in the area.

Louisiana Economic Development said Meta is expected to work on the Richland Parish site through 2030.

What happens after that is anyone’s guess. For now, though, there’s money to be made.

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Global smartphone shipments hit a new low with 20% yoy decline, lowest in 14 years • Counterpoint Research

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Global smartphone shipments declined 20% YoY in Q3 2026, the lowest Q3 level since 2012, according to preliminary estimates from Counterpoint Research’s Market Monitor service. The market decline was close to Counterpoint’s expectations, as relentless increases in DRAM and NAND prices intensified memory cost shock in Q3. This sharply inflated BOM (Bill of Materials) costs and deepened supply shortages, significantly disrupting OEM shipments. In response, OEMs passed on higher component costs to consumers, driving up global smartphone retail prices by 20% so far in 2026 and further increasing market average selling price (ASPs).

Commenting on the global smartphone market, Senior Analyst Shilpi Jain said, “Q3 was the second successive quarter to take the full brunt of the memory crisis. The extreme memory shortage is pushing the smartphone market into a more selective phase, reshaping OEM strategies and even consumer behavior. Consumers are holding on to their devices longer than estimated, increasingly considering refurbished devices and prioritizing higher-value devices, while OEMs are adjusting portfolios, pricing, and market strategies to protect profitability. This is creating greater pressure across the mass market, while premium demand remains comparatively resilient, widening the gap between premium and price-sensitive segments.” 

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Same decline as the PC market, which suggests that price has a uniform effect on buyers (ie price elastic).
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2760: Ukraine takes out Russian data centres, OpenAI pulls 3/722 maths preprints, .si domains boom, and more


Low sugar intake in the first years of life has long-term health benefits, research shows. CC-licensed photo by Rosmarie Voegtli on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.

A selection of 9 links for you. Sweet. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


Ukraine’s drones knock out AI data center belonging to “Russia’s Google” • Ars Technica

Jeremy Hsu:

»

Ukrainian drone strikes have knocked out two of five data centers belonging to the Russian tech giant Yandex. The damage has left Yandex, known as “Russia’s Google” because it operates the country’s most popular search engine, struggling to maintain its AI chatbot and other online services.

The Ukrainian drones struck Yandex data centers in the Sasovo and Kaluga regions of Russia on October 8 and October 9, according to Reuters. Those actions came as a direct response to a Russian drone strike campaign targeting Ukraine’s data centers, which has disrupted mobile phone and Internet services for thousands of Ukrainians since late September.

“We continue to respond to Russia’s attacks on Ukraine, and we’re doing so with high precision,” said Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in a post on X. “Another data center was hit as well—our symmetrical response.”

The Ukrainian company Firepoint said its FP-1 one-way attack drones were involved in the latest strike on the Kaluga data center that is Yandex’s largest such facility, Reuters reported. The first Ukrainian attack targeted Yandex’s Sasovo data center that houses two of the company’s three supercomputers used for training the company’s YandexGPT AI model.

Yandex said no employees were hurt but acknowledged disruptions to some services. Russian users reported problems accessing media websites and popular apps for the Ivi video streaming platform, the digital banking service T-Bank and the state-owned Russian Railways, according to the independent Russian news publication Meduza.

Other impacted Russian services included a dating app, a real estate aggregator, a self-publishing book platform and the website of the most successful professional soccer club in the Russian Premier League, according to Reuters.

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It also had the effect of significantly reducing the activity of anonymous politically inflammatory right-wing accounts on various social media platforms. Odd, that. Keep going, Ukraine.
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OpenAI withdraws three preprints a day after releasing 722 manuscripts on unsolved math problems • Retraction Watch

Alicia Gallegos:

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Less than 24 hours after OpenAI posted over 700 preprints describing major math results by an internal AI model, the company has withdrawn three of the manuscripts for errors. 

On Oct. 6, OpenAI published 722 preprints in a GitHub repository about purported progress in solving 372 math problems in geometry, computer science, algebra and other subjects. The company called the release an effort “to push the frontier of human knowledge and enable further progress in mathematics.” 

But on Oct. 7, OpenAI announced the withdrawal of three manuscripts because of a sign error. The error invalidated an argument in one manuscript and the construction used by two dependent papers, according to the announcement. Each of the withdrawn papers carry notices explaining “the gap,” and that OpenAI has “revised 14 other manuscripts with proof repairs, corrected statements, clearer hypotheses and dependencies, and one correction to an obsolete citation.” 

That an error cascaded into three of the OpenAI manuscripts is not surprising, said Alex Townsend, an associate professor of mathematics at Cornell University in Ithaca. He suspects there will be more errors found, he said. 

“Given the skepticism of AI in the mathematics community, I think that OpenAI should have announced the manuscripts that were lean verified first,” Townsend told us, referring to Lean, the open-source programming language that checks math proofs. “They could have made a separate announcement for the other ones and ask for help verifying them. This would have been more clear to the community and general public.”

A spokesperson for OpenAI told us the company identified the errors during an audit. As with “other research manuscripts,” the process is iterative, the spokesperson said.

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They identified the errors during an audit? But didn’t the LLMs work through their proofs, testing each step? Well, no. Not that humans are above making similar mistakes – it’s why proof checking exists – but you might have thought LLMs had reached, well, superhuman status on this.

Meanwhile, you can read multiple (human) mathematicians’ reactions to the paper dump.

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Satya Nadella says we should assume all AI models are “compromised” • The Verge

Terrence O’Brien:

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In a lengthy post on X, Microsoft’s CEO laid out his views on the dangers posed by highly advanced AI models and how to confront those risks. Nadella says we can no longer accept a world where AI is treated as a “set of nested black boxes” whose advice and actions we simply accept or reject. He calls for building a more transparent system where models can be contained, observed, and leaves behind “tamper-proof human readable evidence.”

Many of his recommendations align with what we’ve heard from others in the industry: timely incident disclosure, independent audits, verifiable data, and containment. It’s on that last point that he appears to go slightly farther than some others in the field, saying:

»

We must assume a model is compromised and contain it from the start. Think of it like an emergency brake. An authorized person should always be able to pause or shut down a model mid-task. More advanced models will require more advanced containment technologies that we need to standardize on.

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I think this is what we call a “growing chorus” on this point.
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The generation raised on sugar rations, and what their health reveals 70 years later • The Guardian

Linda Geddes:

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They were born into a Britain still recovering from the hardships of war. Though the air-raid sirens had fallen silent, many everyday foods remained rationed, including sugar. Adults were restricted to about 3 tablespoons (40g) a day to stretch between cups of tea, baking and desserts; children were limited to less than a tablespoon. Babies and very young children were expected to have little or no added sugar.

Then, in 1953, the brakes came off. Separate restrictions on sweets and chocolate were lifted in February, followed by sugar in September. By the second half of 1954, average sugar consumption had almost doubled.

The lifting of postwar sugar rationing inadvertently created a natural experiment, whose consequences scientists are only beginning to unpick. A flurry of recent studies suggests that spending the first 1,000 days of life under sugar rationing may have left traces on people’s health more than seven decades later.

“What makes the end of sugar rationing particularly interesting is the nature of the exposure,” said Dr Jiazhen Zheng at Hong Kong University of Science and Technology in Guangzhou, China, who worked on several of the recent studies. “In September 1953, sugar availability changed quite abruptly at the population level, largely because of policy rather than individual choice. In a sense, history created an experiment that we could never deliberately run over a human lifetime.”

The first of this recent wave of sugar rationing studies was published in the journal Science two years ago. Dr Tadeja Gračner at the University of Southern California and her colleagues used data from the UK Biobank to compare the health of people born shortly before and after sugar rationing ended in the UK. Some had been exposed to this low sugar environment only during their time in the womb; others remained exposed for months or years, while those conceived once rationing ended were not exposed at all.

Gračner found that the longer people had spent under rationing, the lower their risk of developing type 2 diabetes and high blood pressure in mid- to later life: those exposed throughout their first 1,000 days had a 35% lower risk of type 2 diabetes and a 20% lower risk of high blood pressure than those who had never experienced rationing.

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Perhaps those annoying parents who deny their children anything sugary for their first few years are actually onto something.
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Slovenian .si domain registrations outpace .ai after Trump speech • Netcraft

Harry Everett:

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Three years ago, we reported on a rise in web servers using .ai (Anguilla) domains driven by global interest in artificial intelligence. With Trump’s new “super intelligence” announcement, and .si being a registrable ccTLD (country code TLD) representing the country of Slovenia, we investigated domain registration patterns surrounding the announcement. 

Slovenia is a Central European country that sits between Italy, Austria, Hungary, and Croatia. Though unrelated, there is a second connection between Trump and Slovenia. Both Melania and Barron Trump have Slovenian citizenship. 

Interest in the .si TLD has risen sharply since the announcement on September 22. At time of writing, the website for Slovenia’s registry, register.si, shows more new domains registered in the “last 24 hours” than in the “last month” (presumably meaning the previous month). 

Despite the ccTLD being Slovenian, registration is not limited to Slovenian people or entities. Anyone can register a .si domain. Currently, .si domains are cheaper than .ai, at around $11 for one year compared to around $180 for the minimum 2-year registration period for .ai. 

While registrations accelerated after the speech, the initial spike appears to have begun roughly three days earlier. This suggests that some market participants may have been speculating on the possibility of a rename before Trump’s remarks were delivered, though we cannot determine whether registrants were acting on anticipation of the announcement or unrelated factors. Trump shared a poll about this topic on September 19, which appears to line up roughly with the increased registrations of .si domains.   

Splitting the registrations by domain registrar, we can see that these registrations are largely at Dynadot, which has an aftermarket that allows users to sell their domains.

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Would be incredible if there wasn’t some insider trading going on there, of course.
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AI is throwing a Roadside Picnic • metedata digest

Mete Polat:

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This whole situation [of AI-generated proofs and “discoveries”] then posits a question: will the rate of scientific discoveries get so rapid that we’ll completely lose the ability to wrap our heads around it, turning AI output into the proverbial alien artefacts? Artefacts that sow chaos in the wake of their arrival and by their mere existence (when discussing the most recent drop of AI scientific papers, the NYU math professor Tristan Buckmaster said that entire research programs were wiped out overnight). In other words, will the rate of discovering answers split off from the rate of our understanding?

I’m certainly not a science historian nor a philosopher, so I’m not well-placed to speculate about the answers or the exact implications. But it’s nonetheless an interesting lens for examining AI’s ongoing impact on science. This may also be one of the few valid anti-accelerationist arguments: if AI vastly outruns our ability to understand the significance of what it’s doing, the collateral damage may outweigh any pure scientific value.

Poignantly enough, the “Roadside Picnic” book explores human irrelevance and the resulting emotional toll behind this alien visit. You could speculate that, at best, aliens didn’t even notice the humans and, at worst, just didn’t care. The big difference is that an alien visit is entirely out of our control, unlike AI development.

I’m fairly skeptical that any coordinated action is even possible in frontier AI development simply due to its game theory dynamics. But the labs have a choice in how they engage with scientific communities to make sure the understanding keeps up with the rate at which answers arrive and that their models act to augment scientists instead of speed-running them to history-making discoveries. Otherwise, we may become the insects watching in horror as everything we know becomes a site of one big alien picnic.

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The “Roadside Picnic” mention in the title is a reference to Strugatsky’s famous SF novel, where an alien visit leaves a strew of mysterious objects with incomprehensible workings; one scientists suggests the aliens were having the equivalent of a roadside picnic and the objects are the detritus, and we’re the uncomprehending field mice and foxes trying to make sense of spark plugs, penknives and coins. (Thanks Joe S for the link.)
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What ArtCraft’s vibe-coded apps say about Adobe • Tedium

Ernie Smith:

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The names aren’t the ones you’re familiar with, but you nonetheless know what each one is. One is a Photoshop stand-in. Another is Premiere Pro. Another is Acrobat. And yes, there’s even an InDesign riff.

Do they work particularly well? On the surface, yes. Opening up these apps in AppImage shows that these apps, programmed in the Rust programming language, are not only fast, but relatively small. Rather than hundreds of megabytes, these apps load in tens of megabytes. They detected my discrete GPU right away. And within a couple of minutes, I was manipulating an image.

A lot of finicky, below the surface stuff did not work so well. Colour pickers and secondary menu boxes were rough, not elegant. It did not detect my fonts in DesignCraft until I downloaded an update published just a few minutes before I downloaded it. And while I could set a colour with a hex code in PhotoCraft, I could not do the same in DesignCraft.

But it was familiar. I could see myself building a zine with this tool, or using it to access old files that I cannot otherwise open without a Creative Cloud subscription.

There are real reasons to cheer on something like this, even if you otherwise hate AI. The spirit of this evokes a Robin Hood-like mindset, in that it exists because of real ethical and economic issues around Adobe that many end users have long been stuck with. In one sense, it is “fighting AI slop with AI slop.” And even if you don’t end up using these tools, the techniques that these projects land on will ultimately inspire open-source projects that actually rely on craft. There are other apps that have emerged in the past couple of years that hope to bring design to Linux; this open-source tool may have opened up a shortcut for these projects.

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PC market woes continue: shipments fall 20.1% in Q3 2026 • IDC

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Worldwide PC shipments fell 20.1% year over year in Q3 2026 to 62.7m units, according to preliminary results from IDC Research (IDC), the second consecutive decline and a deeper one than the 3.8% drop in Q2. Shipments also slipped 9.1% sequentially, upending the usual pattern in which Q3 outpaces Q2. Continued supply constraints and the inventory pull-in earlier in the year, as vendors and channels rushed to stock up ahead of memory-driven price hikes, left the quarter with little demand to draw on.

During the quarter the channel worked to move through the large volume of PCs shipped in during the previous quarter. As a result, we didn’t see the typical third-quarter seasonal lift in shipment volumes.

“What we’re seeing is the result of the strong first half pull-in. Vendors and channels loaded up on inventory early in the year to get ahead of price hikes, and that has thrown off the usual seasonality, where Q3 is typically larger than Q2,” said Jitesh Ubrani, research director for consumer devices at IDC. “Channels are now worried about carrying too much inventory into a market where high prices are suppressing demand. That could translate into promotions and some short-term relief for consumers, but we don’t expect pricing anywhere near what it was a year ago. Prices will remain elevated.”

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No good news in sight. The three biggest vendors – Lenovo, HP and Dell – all fell faster than the market (-23%, -31% and -25% respectively). Apple and ASUS saw their share increase very slightly, even with a fall in shipments. The decline since the start of the year is accelerating; the final quarter could be a bloodbath.
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AI surveillance startup Flock to cut several hundred jobs amid backlash, sources say • Reuters via The Guardian

»

Flock Safety plans to shed about 18% of its employees, people with direct knowledge of the plans said on Thursday, as the maker of AI-powered surveillance cameras and license-plate readers faces mounting opposition to its products from communities and lawmakers.

The people said the job cuts came after ​a voluntary buyout program and were expected to affect roughly 270 employees at Flock, a surveillance technology startup that has seen rapid growth in recent years. Employees will leave the company at the end of the month.

Sources declined to be identified as the company has yet to make the plan public. In September, Flock announced a voluntary separation program, asking employees to apply if they wanted to ​leave the company, as Wired reported. The company has about 1,500 employees.

Flock faces growing scrutiny from regulators, lawmakers and privacy advocates, despite drawing strong investor interest among venture capitalists. A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Americans are divided on whether Flock cameras are a good idea. About 38% of the country supports the use of Flock cameras in their community, compared with 47% who oppose their use.

Across 49 states, Flock’s network of about 120,000 AI-powered cameras, affixed to streets and highways, automatically read license plates and record vehicles as they pass.

The company, based in Atlanta and founded in 2017, has raised more than $950m from venture capital investors, with its latest $275m round in March led by Andreessen Horowitz valuing the company at $7.5bn. The funds have supported a ​new US manufacturing facility and an upcoming push into drone products, according to the company.

Flock provides cameras and software to more than 4,800 law enforcement agencies and nearly 1,000 businesses. The company says its technology helps investigate and solve crimes, but it has come under increasing scrutiny over alleged privacy violations and data-sharing practices.

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unique link to this extract


• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified

Start Up No.2759: OpenAI revenue disappoints, man versus robot, the Sad Wives of AI, BBC’s Brittin offers future plan, and more


The strides being made by LLMs in solving longstanding maths problems have led some mathematicians to worry about the future of their field. CC-licensed photo by J R on Flickr.

You can sign up to receive each day’s Start Up post by email. You’ll need to click a confirmation link, so no spam.


Due to a technical error (thanks for continually changing your layout, WordPress) the Thursday morning edition of The Overspill didn’t go out on email. It can be read here.) The missing links should also appear on the bottom of the email.


A selection of 9 links for you. Adds up. I’m @charlesarthur on Twitter. On Threads: charles_arthur. On Mastodon: https://newsie.social/@charlesarthur. On Bluesky: @charlesarthur.bsky.social. Observations and links welcome.


OpenAI annualised revenues $20bn less than previously signalled • Financial Times

George Hammond and Stephen Morris:

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OpenAI’s annualised revenue is about $20bn less than the company had signalled, according to financial documents shared with investors, a massive gap likely to damp optimism about the growth of AI demand.

The company has recently told investors its revenues were approaching $50bn on an annualised basis at the end of September, far short of the $70bn reported by the FT and other media outlets late last month based on information that was provided to investors.

The metric, along with the equivalent figure for OpenAI’s rival Anthropic, is the most important indicator of overall demand for AI and underpins vast infrastructure spending and the growth of public equity markets.

US tech stocks fell sharply following the FT’s report on Thursday, extending losses from earlier in the session, with the Nasdaq 100 closing down 1.4%. Chipmaker Nvidia fell 2.9%, Oracle dropped 5.5% and Micron declined 4.8%.

The discrepancy arose from attempts by OpenAI’s investors to produce a direct comparison with Anthropic’s annualised revenues, said a person familiar with the matter. The pair calculate the figure in different ways, with Anthropic including the revenue from sales via cloud partners such as Amazon’s AWS and Google Cloud, while OpenAI does not.

Investors’ efforts to “gross up” OpenAI’s annualised revenue prompted reports that the figure was about $40bn in July, said the person.

The company later told its backers that its annualised revenues had jumped more than 70% since July, prompting reports that the figure was about $70bn at the end of September — a number the company did not deny.

However, the new investor presentation shows close to $30bn annualised revenues in July.

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It’s a good amount of money but is it going to cover costs? And fund all those bonds? And data centres? No wonder the stock market hiccuped.
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A man fought a ‘Terminator’-like robot in a cage. California called it illegal • The New York Times

Adeel Hassan:

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The 6′ tall, steel-framed humanoid robot, which looked like James Cameron’s original “Terminator,” entered the cage, followed by a 5’5″ male human in a helmet and other protective gear.

You can probably guess what happened next. The robot, which was operated by a human pilot using a remote virtual-reality system, pummeled its fleshy opponent, Frankie LaPenna, repeatedly knocking him to the canvas and driving him into the walls of the octagonal enclosure.

Mr. LaPenna, a social media influencer, injured his hand while punching one of the metal robot frames during one of the three bouts he had with different robots. He landed a few punches, but each time he knocked a robot down, it bounced back almost instantly. The crowd of about 100 (humans, not humanoids) was thrilled.

The fight, promoted as “Human vs. Robot,” was staged on Sept. 18 in San Francisco by a tech start-up called REK, which stands for Robot Entertainment Kombat. It caught the attention of the California State Athletic Commission, which sent the company a cease-and-desist letter. The commission, which regulates professional and amateur boxing, kickboxing and mixed martial arts, had not sanctioned the event.

REK, which bills itself as “the humanoid robot fighting league” (“Real robots, real combat”) — celebrated the letter. “We made it boys,” its chief executive, Cix Liv, said in an online post. The letter said that the commission must grant approval to any boxing or mixed martial arts contest, match or exhibition that involves any human in the state of California.

Mr. Liv dismissed the regulator’s claims. “The law clearly states that a ‘match’ is between two persons,” he said in an interview, adding that state regulators were welcome to try to argue in court that a humanoid is somehow human.

…The event produced the most-viewed content that REK has so far shared online, but Mr. Liv said there wasn’t a plan to repeat it. Instead, the company plans to host the first fight between humanoids armed with blades on Friday night in San Francisco.

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There’s dystopian, and then there’s whatever this company is up to.
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Meet the Sad Wives of AI • WIRED

Alessandra Ram:

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If I had to listen to another minute of my husband talking about Claude Code, I might have actually died. It was 11 pm in Berkeley, California, where I was home alone with our 10-month-old daughter, and 2 am in Cambridge, Massachusetts, where he was visiting for his newish job in AI. “JUST LOOK AT THIS!” he shouted. The FaceTime camera zoomed toward a laptop sitting on a hotel bed. “SEE?!”

See what, I thought. I wanted to shower. I still had to take the dog out.

“ARE YOU LOOKING?” he shouted again. I wasn’t. I was looking at our real baby. But that’s the thing. There are two babies in this household now: the small human one and the large language model. Both demand constant attention. Both keep us up at 2 am.

Is this a Sophie’s choice kind of situation? Please. I’d kill the AI baby in an instant.

There’s a strange and under-discussed side effect of the AI boom: what it’s doing to family dynamics. By which I mean: how it’s potentially destroying family dynamics. I’m sure this applies to all kinds of families, gay or straight, rich or poor, with any AI-pilled members. The technology is coming, has come, for us all. But for the purposes of this story, I mostly spoke to white-collar heteros in the Bay Area, because that’s where a certain psychological crisis seems most acute. Often it goes like this: He works in AI, and she does everything and anything else. Other times, it’s bleaker: He desperately wants to work in AI—or feels he must work in AI—and she wants him to do literally anything else.

Either way, the men go in and the women want out. How many? It depends on how you define “working in AI.” About 71% of “AI-skilled workers,” according to one report, are men, and there are roughly 35,000 open AI roles in the US at any given moment. Broaden that to include investors and you’re adding thousands more. Broaden it further to include every man who has mentioned to his wife that he is “looking at some opportunities in the space”—and we’re in the millions. Conservatively, that means hundreds of thousands of spouses, partners, and girlfriends, holding down the fort while someone mansplains the singularity to them. There are, in other words, a lot of us, and more of us are surfacing—gasping for air and a single conversation that doesn’t involve LLMs—by the day.

There’s a name for our ranks. I call us the Sad Wives of AI.

…Yana van der Meulen Rodgers, the chair of labor studies and employment relations at Rutgers University, has a blunt take: What’s happening in Bay Area households isn’t just a lifestyle story. It’s a labor market story. The AI boom, Rodgers says, is creating a “perfect storm” of forces reshaping household dynamics, playing out along predictably gendered lines.

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It’s a great piece. (BTW those who find the other half absent while they mind the home and possibly child[ren] are “Single Married Parents”. Lots of them in this piece.)
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BBC boss Matt Brittin details Silicon Valley revolution at broadcaster • Deadline

Jake Kanter:

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Attempting to lift staff from the gloom of corrosive job-cut announcements, [new BBC director-general Matt] Brittin spoke about the BBC radically rethinking how it meets audience needs online by decentralizing decision-making power, embracing a sense that digital — not traditional broadcast — “can be flagship,” building and testing new online products quickly, and recognizing that it’s ok to “experiment and fail.”

In other words, Brittin outlined a Silicon Valley-isation of the BBC.

“We have to recommit to our mission, our public service mission, pursuing truth, bringing people together, boosting homegrown storytelling,” he told staff, per an audio recording obtained by Deadline. “We have to recommit to that mission. We have to reinvent how we do it. [We] have to understand and protect the magic of the BBC and change everything else, in order to serve those audiences.”

He continued: “I love the BBC. It’s full of words and discussion and slide decks and framing and reframing and reconstituting, and going around the houses, and actually, I’d like us to celebrate activity less, and outcomes more. And getting faster to outcomes that make a difference to an audience.

“Not [just], ‘We did this great marketing campaign,’ but actually, ‘It drove up watch time usage and active accounts,’ right? Or, ‘We did this piece of journalism, and it changed the law, and it landed with these audiences.’”

Brittin illustrated this by introducing BBC employees to Manon Dave, the head of future world design in the corporation’s Media Tech unit. Dave told colleagues that he spent time on holiday redesigning iPlayer without any internal limitations. He wants the streaming service to become a place where audience members say, “I want to iPlayer and chill,” though it is not clear if this means retaining the sexual connotations of the original “Netflix and chill” internet slang.

Dave’s vision for iPlayer included an AI agent called Iggy, which helps recommend and summarize iPlayer content, and can speak to audiences in different languages. Other ideas Dave presented to staff included a personalized “hero” picture at the top of iPlayer’s home screen, which picks out algorithm-led content recommendations based on past viewing habits. He also demonstrated “Vegas mode,” allowing viewers to “roll the dice” and see what iPlayer selects for them.

Brittin said Dave — who at one point during his presentation referred to the director-general as “my big homie” — had captured a “pioneering mindset” that he wants to see more of at the BBC. Brittin added that the BBC plans to begin testing some of Dave’s ideas with audiences “in the coming weeks.”

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Certainly iPlayer needs to be better, and the BBC spends too much time gazing in awe at its navel. Yet it’s surprising what things do work. Apparently the message shown in the second half of World Cup football matches encouraging people to pay their licence fee led to people coughing up. Sometimes it’s the simple things that work.
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UK motorists can now see live fuel prices on Google Maps • The Guardian

Jillian Ambrose:

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Drivers will be able to see live petrol prices on Google Maps for the first time from Thursday, in a move that will help motorists shop around for the cheapest fuel.

Millions of motorists will be able to find the cheapest petrol and diesel prices by searching for a local forecourt in the Google app, in what could prove to be “a major development” in making fuel prices more fair, according to campaigners.

The tech company will use data from the government’s Fuel Finder platform, which displays real-time prices at 99% of forecourts, to show Google Map users the cheapest in their local area.

It is expected to make forecourt pricing more transparent and encourage competition between fuel retailers, as millions face record-high road fuel costs due to the global squeeze on supplies prompted by the US-Israel war on Iran. The average price of diesel in the UK recently hit a record £2 a litre, having risen by more than 40% since late February.

Edmund King, the president of motoring group the AA, said: “Getting transparent fuel prices on to Google Maps is a massive step forward and means most drivers will have easy access to pump prices. Hopefully, this high-level pump-price transparency will also encourage more competitive prices from retailers.”

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The weird thing about this is that the Fuel Finder site works perfectly well. Stick in a postcode and you’ll get stations nearby, and you can pick which fuel you want. Nice use of open data, though.
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OpenAI just carpet-bombed mathematics • The Atlantic

Konstantin Kakaes:

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In the growing chorus of mathematicians revolting against AI companies, Hugo Duminil-Copin, who in 2022 received the Fields Medal, math’s highest honor, has perhaps put mathematicians’ concerns most vividly. In an essay published just before OpenAI announced last month that it had solved one of seven grand mathematical challenges known as the Millennium Prize Problems, he wrote that AI proofs “nuke the mathematical landscape, making it increasingly difficult to inhabit after each blast.”

If resolving a Millennium Prize Problem was like dropping an atomic bomb, then the results that OpenAI shared Tuesday were a mathematical carpet-bombing. Mathematicians had been bracing for the assault: OpenAI had teased that a new model had found solutions to “more than 100 long-standing open problems across most areas of mathematics.” When the drop came, it included 377 new proofs by an as-yet-unnamed proprietary model.

About a third are major proofs of conjectures that are famous across mathematics. Another third are significant within their mathematical subfield. The remaining third are either more minor results or variants. Hundreds of people had spent dozens of years trying to understand—and prove—the results that OpenAI released in a single day.

Mathematicians are still picking through the rubble. It is too early for anyone to have verified the OpenAI work in detail, but several mathematicians have told me that at least some of the papers appear not to prove what they claim to prove. (Every carpet-bombing has a few munitions that fail to explode.) OpenAI has already withdrawn three of its papers; still, “we expect mistakes to be quite rare,” an OpenAI spokesperson told me in an email. The company also said, as part of the initial announcement, that the model had attempted to solve about 3,600 further problems for which the company did not release successful proofs. OpenAI promised to pay mathematicians to study AI-produced results, although the company has yet to specify how generous the funding will be.

“We don’t believe the future of mathematics is set. We’re working with the math community to navigate the future collaboratively,” the spokesperson wrote. Nonetheless, many mathematicians are looking at that future with apprehension. They worry that having AI leap to solve proofs will sacrifice what the struggle to get there might have yielded. They worry especially about how they will train younger mathematicians to find that spark of life, or wanting to at all. And they worry that, if mathematicians have no reason to pursue the mysteries of their field, then the rest of us will stumble into a world run by machines whose workings nobody understands.

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Did any of us expect that the first group of people to be put thoroughly out of work by AI would be mathematicians? Absolutely not. (Gift link.)
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Google, Meta said to be paying premium for land internet routes amid Red Sea clash • Rest of World

Indranil Ghosh:

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US cloud giants are facing steep prices to secure backup internet routes around the Red Sea as fighting rages over the Red Sea strait that carries most data cables between Europe and Asia.

More than 90% of data capacity between Europe and Asia runs through cables under the Red Sea. The cables enter the sea at Bab al-Mandab, a strait less than 32 kilometers (20 miles) wide between Yemen and the African nations of Djibouti and Eritrea.

The Houthis, a US-designated terrorist organization, seized Yemen’s side of the strait in September, including the island of Mayyun. On October 5, Saudi-backed government forces said they had retaken key positions around the strait and the port of Mocha — claims the Houthis denied.

In September, Google bought a pair of fiber strands running along Turkish state pipelines, paying two to three times the roughly €6m ($7m) that newer lines crossing Turkey are expected to cost, said a person familiar with the deal, requesting anonymity because the details are not public. Long-distance fiber is usually sold with a single upfront payment covering 15 years or more of use. Buyers also pay a separate annual fee for maintenance.

Microsoft said on September 23 that it plans to invest more than $400m in subsea and land links across the Middle East by 2030. Iraq also signed a contract with Qatari telecom company Ooredoo on September 10 to carry data toward Europe through an underground route from the southern port of Al-Faw.

Almost all major cloud companies are looking for backup routes around the Red Sea, the person told Rest of World. Google and Meta have started sending some live traffic through a land route across Iraq that they had previously held in reserve, the person said.

Google and Meta did not respond to Rest of World’s requests for comment by the time of publication.

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Musk admits Tesla Robotaxi struggles to see pets at night. Lidar doesn’t • Electrek

Fred Lambert:

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Elon Musk says the main thing holding back Tesla Robotaxi’s night hours is that the cars have a hard time seeing pets in the dark. His example was “grey kittens on grey tarmac.”

That’s a low-light, low-contrast detection problem, which is the textbook weakness of cameras and the exact thing lidar and radar handle. Musk has spent years calling those sensors a “crutch” and a “fool’s errand.”

Late Friday night, Tesla’s Robotaxi account announced that the Austin service is “now available until 11pm.” Until now, it shut down at 10 PM.

Musk reposted the announcement and explained what’s keeping the cars off the road later than that: “The main thing we’re trying to solve is making sure that we don’t run over pets when they’re hard to see at night. Literally trying to avoid grey kittens on grey tarmac in the dark.”

Some context on that extra hour. When Tesla launched Robotaxi in Austin in June 2025, the app took ride requests from 6 AM to midnight. Fifteen months later, the service closes an hour earlier than it did on day one. And it’s a small service. Tesla has barely scaled since launch, even with the addition of the Cybercabs last month.

A camera is a passive sensor. It works with whatever light bounces off an object, and it picks that object out by how much it stands apart from the background. A grey animal on grey pavement at night gives it very little of either.

Lidar is an active sensor. It fires its own laser pulses and times how long they take to come back, which gives the car a distance and a 3D shape for whatever is sitting on the road. It works the same at midnight as it does at noon, and it doesn’t need the kitten to be a different color than the asphalt. It needs the kitten to stick up from the road, and kittens, being 3D objects, tend to do that.

Radar does a similar job with radio waves and adds speed. It’s weaker on something that small, but it keeps working in the fog, dust and glare that blind cameras.

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When Steve Jobs was wrong and recognised his mistake, he simply changed course. Musk’s weakness is he can’t.
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“Uber agents,” undercover AI personas, and other ways newsrooms are using AI in investigations • Nieman Journalism Lab

Andrew Deck:

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The release of the Epstein Files was a huge moment for AI in investigative journalism. Journalists across the U.S. woke up on January 30, 2026 to a Department of Justice drop of over 3.5 million pages of documents and tens of thousands of images and videos.

Duy Nguyen, who leads AI science research at the Times, noted that the PDFs in the Epstein Files would stack as high as the Empire State Building if they were printed out, and would take 11 years for one reporter to read. (Epstein sent an average of 65 emails every day for a decade.) It would take a reporter a month to listen to and watch all the audio and video clips.

Many newsrooms decided that the early organization and research into these documents was a task primed for AI technologies. Engineers from the Associated Press, NPR, and the Times led a session on how they built tools to help reporters sift through the documents.

NPR built an internal search tool that let reporters across the newsroom find the documents relevant to their beats, said Kriti Singh, a design technologist at NPR’s AI Labs. Her team classified documents by type (email, legal filing, flight log, witness list), grouped them by location (city, county, hotel, university), and extracted entities (making sure, for instance, that a search for “Prince Andrew” also surfaced files that mentioned “the Duke of York”).

The Times AI Initiatives team built the Epstein Files Engine, an internal chatbot to help reporters comb through the files. “There are so many sorts of threads that you can pull from such a big corpus, and the chat interface really allows [reporters] to dive deep,” said Nguyen. The engine’s interface was built with LibreChat, a free, open-source, self-hosted AI chat platform.

…Ultimately, more than 100 Times journalists posed more than 5,000 questions to the engine, and it contributed to at least 20 published stories. “This was a signifier of just how powerful an agentic chat interface could be in a newsroom,” said Nguyen. (His team recently published an academic article detailing the tool’s development.)

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(Thanks Gregory B for the link.)
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• Why do social networks drive us a little mad?
• Why does angry content seem to dominate what we see?
• How much of a role do algorithms play in affecting what we see and do online?
• What can we do about it?
• Did Facebook have any inkling of what was coming in Myanmar in 2016?

Read Social Warming, my latest book, and find answers – and more.


Errata, corrigenda and ai no corrida: none notified